Auburn vs. Maryland Transperfect Music City Bowl Prediction: Picks & Start Time – December 30, 2023

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The Auburn Tigers will battle the Maryland Terrapins in the Transperfect Music City Bowl.

Auburn vs. Maryland Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 4.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Auburn as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Auburn has -207 odds to pick up the win, while Maryland is listed at +165 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 47.5 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Auburn vs. Maryland Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, December 30, 2023
  • Game Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ABC
  • Location: Nashville, Tennessee
  • Stadium: Nissan Stadium

Betting Preview

Auburn

Auburn is putting up 357.8 yards per game offensively this year (88th in the FBS), and is surrendering 363.0 yards per game (50th) on the other side of the ball. Auburn is averaging 27.3 points per game on offense (65th in the FBS), and ranks 35th defensively with 21.9 points allowed per game. While Auburn’s pass defense ranks 31st with 201.7 passing yards allowed per game,the offense has been less successful, ranking 10th-worst (157.1 passing yards per game). Auburn sports the 85th-ranked defense this year in terms of rushing yards (161.3 rushing yards allowed per game), and has been more effective offensively, ranking 14th-best with 200.8 rushing yards per game. Auburn has struggled on third down, ranking 19th-worst in the FBS (33.6%) this season. However, the defense ranks 15th-best on the other side of the ball, allowing a 31.6% third-down percentage. Auburn ranks 64th in college football with an even turnover margin after forcing 15 turnovers (37th in the FBS) while committing 15 (90th in the FBS).

Maryland

Maryland is accumulating 393.9 total yards per game on offense this season (59th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is giving up 338.1 total yards per contest (35th-ranked). Maryland is generating 29.6 points per game on offense this season (53rd-ranked). Meanwhile, it is allowing 23.3 points per game (48th-ranked) on defense. Maryland’s pass offense has been thriving, posting 284.8 passing yards per contest (20th-best) this season. Defensively, it ranks 38th by surrendering 207.3 passing yards per game. Maryland’s running game has been struggling, ranking 18th-worst in the FBS with 109.1 rushing yards per game. It has been better on the defensive side of the ball, giving up 130.8 rushing yards per contest (34th-ranked). Maryland ranks 30th in the FBS with a 44.2% third-down conversion percentage on offense, and 31st with a 34.6% third-down percentage allowed on defense. Maryland has thrived in terms of turnovers, as the team’s turnover margin of +7 ranks 13th-best in the FBS, with 19 forced turnovers (ninth in the nation) and 12 turnovers committed (44th in the nation).

Auburn vs. Maryland Betting Analysis

Auburn Betting Insights

Auburn has covered the spread six times this season (6-6-0). In games this season when favored by 4.5 points or more, Auburn are 3-3 against the spread. Auburn games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under five times this season. The Tigers have won four of the five games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (80%). The Tigers are 2-0 (winning 75% of their games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -207 or shorter.

Maryland Betting Insights

Maryland is 6-6-0 against the spread this season. Maryland has an ATS record of 1-2 when playing as at least 4.5-point underdogs. This year, Maryland games have hit the over seven times. The Terrapins have been the underdog in three games this season, and they have failed to win any of those contests. The Terrapins are this season when entering a game as the underdog by +165 or more on the moneyline.

Auburn vs. Maryland Against The Spread & Betting Records

Auburn

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 50.9 49.8 52.5
Implied Total AVG 33.3 35.3 30.4
ATS Record 6-6-0 4-3-0 2-3-0
Over/Under Record 5-7-0 3-4-0 2-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-1 2-1 2-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-5 0-3 1-2

Maryland

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 50.2 51.0 49.0
Implied Total AVG 32.7 35.3 29.0
ATS Record 6-6-0 3-4-0 3-2-0
Over/Under Record 7-5-0 5-2-0 2-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 6-2 3-1 3-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-3 0-2 0-1

Players to Watch

Auburn

  • Payton Thorne has led the charge for the Tigers’ offense this year, posting 1,671 passing yards with 15 passing touchdowns, nine interceptions and a 62.6% completion percentage.
  • In addition to the stats he’s posted in the passing game, Thorne has also added 520 rushing yards and three touchdowns in 12 games.
  • As part of the Tigers’ running attack, Jarquez Hunter has scampered for 865 yards and seven touchdowns on 5.9 YPC.
  • Hunter has 16 receptions (1.5 per game) for 111 yards (10.1 per game) and zero touchdowns in 11 games for the Tigers.
  • Rivaldo Fairweather has been an important piece of the Tigers’ passing attack in 2023, tallying 33 receptions for 349 yards and six touchdowns.
  • To go along with 145 passing yards (14.5 yards per game) in 10 games, Robby Ashford has thrown for two touchdowns, two interceptions, and a completion percentage of 51.9%.
  • Ashford has run for 217 yards (21.7 yards per game) and five touchdowns in 10 games.
  • Eugene Asante has helped lead the Tigers’ defense with 73 tackles, two TFL, and three sacks in 12 games.
  • As part of the Tigers’ defense, Jaylin Simpson has posted one TFL, 33 tackles, and four interceptions in 11 games.
  • Jalen McLeod has helped carry the Tigers’ defense with 38 tackles and five sacks in 11 games.
  • The Tigers’ defensive unit has been helped by the play of Marcus Harris, who has played 11 games, recording five sacks to go with five TFL and 34 tackles.

Maryland

  • In 12 games, Taulia Tagovailoa has passed for 3,377 yards (281.4 per game), with 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and a completion percentage of 66.4%.
  • Roman Hemby has rushed for 663 yards (55.3 per game) and four touchdowns in 12 games.
  • Hemby also has 37 catches for 288 yards and three TDs.
  • In 12 games, Tai Felton has 48 catches for 723 yards (60.3 per game) and six touchdowns.
  • Jeshaun Jones has 53 receptions for 747 yards (67.9 per game) and four touchdowns in 11 games.
  • Beau Brade has posted one interception to go with 67 tackles and one pass defended in 11 games for the Terrapins.
  • The Terrapins’ Tarheeb Still has recorded two TFL, 38 tackles, and five interceptions in nine games.
  • The Terrapins’ Dante Trader has delivered two interceptions to go with 49 tackles and two passes defended in 10 games.
  • Ruben Hyppolite II has posted one sack to go with 55 tackles in 12 games for the Terrapins.

Auburn vs. Maryland Predictions and Pick

Auburn vs. Maryland betting card

  • Pick ATS:

    Maryland (+4.5)

  • Pick OU: Over (47.5)

How to Bet on Auburn vs. Maryland

You can bet on Auburn vs. Maryland at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Auburn vs. Maryland picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this game is Maryland, and we project that Maryland will cover the spread (Auburn -4.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 47.5 points.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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