Army vs. Navy Prediction: Picks & Start Time – December 9, 2023

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The Navy Midshipmen (5-6) and the Army Black Knights (5-6) travel to Foxboro, Massachusetts to square off at Gillette Stadium.

Army vs. Navy Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Army as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Army has -147 odds to pick up the win, while Navy is listed at +120 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 28 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Army vs. Navy Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, December 9, 2023
  • Game Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Foxboro, Massachusetts
  • Stadium: Gillette Stadium

Betting Preview

Army

While Army ranks 55th in total defense with 369.6 yards allowed per game, the team’s offensive unit has been slightly worse, ranking 16th-worst (314.4 yards per game). Army ranks 23rd-worst in scoring offense (20.8 points per game), but has been slightly better on defense, ranking 38th with 22.0 points allowed per game. While Army ranks third-worst in the FBS in passing offense with 103.8 passing yards per game, it’s been a different situation with the defense, which ranks 23rd-best (190.9 passing yards per game allowed). Army has the 10th-best offense this season in terms of rushing yards (210.5 rushing yards per game), but ranks 21st-worst defensively (178.7 rushing yards allowed per game). Army is putting up a 38.0% third-down percentage on offense, which ranks them 74th in the FBS. On the defensive side of the ball, the defense ranks 96th, giving up a 41.3% third-down percentage. With 11 forced turnovers (84th in the FBS) against 15 turnovers committed (93rd in the FBS), Army’s -4-4 turnover margin ranks 98th in college football.

Navy

Navy’s offense has been a bottom-25 unit in total offense this season, compiling 300.7 total yards per game, which ranks seventh-worst in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 52nd with 364.7 total yards surrendered per contest. Navy’s offense has been bottom-25 this season, putting up 18.3 points per game, which ranks 12th-worst in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 46th with 22.9 points ceded per contest. Navy ranks second-worst in passing yards per game (99.0), but it has been more productive defensively, ranking 95th in the FBS with 240.4 passing yards surrendered per contest. Navy’s run offense has been consistently moving the chains, racking up 201.7 rushing yards per game (14th-best) this season. On defense, it ranks 31st by allowing 124.4 rushing yards per game. While Navy’s third-down offense has been stuck in neutral, ranking fourth-worst with a 28.9% third-down conversion rate, its defense ranks 22nd-best with a 32.2% third-down rate allowed. Navy has a top-25 turnover margin this season, ranking sixth-best at +9.

Army vs. Navy Betting Analysis

Army Betting Insights

Army is 5-6-0 against the spread this season. Army has 1-4 ATS when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites. Army games have gone over the total five times this season. The Black Knights have a 1-3 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 25% of those games). In games they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -147 or shorter, the Black Knights have a 0-1 record (winning only 33.3% of their games).

Navy Betting Insights

Navy has covered the spread four times in 11 games with a set total. Navy has an ATS record of 2-2-1 when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs. This season, four Navy games have gone over the point total. This season, the Midshipmen have been the underdog five times and won one of those games. The Midshipmen have a record of in games where bookmakers have them as underdogs of at least +120 on the moneyline.

Army vs. Navy Against The Spread & Betting Records

Army

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 46.3 46.4 46.2
Implied Total AVG 30.2 29.3 31.2
ATS Record 5-6-0 2-4-0 3-2-0
Over/Under Record 5-6-0 3-3-0 2-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-3 1-2 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-3 1-1 2-2

Navy

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 46.7 46.8 46.6
Implied Total AVG 29.5 29.3 29.6
ATS Record 4-6-1 2-3-1 2-3-0
Over/Under Record 4-7-0 1-5-0 3-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-2 2-1 1-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-4 1-1 0-3

Players to Watch

Army

  • In addition to his 859 passing yards and 50.0% completion percentage this season, Bryson Daily has tallied six touchdowns against six interceptions.
  • In addition to the stats he’s generated through the air, Daily has also contributed 821 rushing yards and seven touchdowns in 10 games.
  • As a runner, Kanye Udoh has compiled 436 yards in the ground game with one rushing touchdown in nine games.
  • As part of the Black Knights’ offense, Isaiah Alston has grabbed nine balls on zero targets for 266 yards and two touchdowns.
  • Noah Short has received zero targets in 2023 and has converted them into 18 catches (2.0 per game) for 252 yards and two TDs in nine games.
  • Leo Lowin has played 11 games, registering three sacks to go with 76 tackles for the Black Knights.
  • The Black Knights’ defensive unit has been helped by Quindrelin Hammonds, who has suited up for 11 games and totaled two sacks to go with 56 tackles and three interceptions.
  • Bo Nicolas-Paul has suited up for 10 games, compiling 28 tackles and three interceptions for the Black Knights.
  • Kalib Fortner, as part of the Black Knights’ defense, has collected one sack to go with two TFL and 52 tackles in 10 games.

Navy

  • On the ground, Alex Tecza has five touchdowns and 724 yards (65.8 per game).
  • On the ground, Eli Heidenreich has scored one touchdown and picked up 214 yards (19.5 per game).
  • Heidenreich also has 15 catches for 326 yards and four TDs.
  • In seven games, Tai Lavatai has thrown for 522 yards (74.6 per game), with four touchdowns and two interceptions, and a completion percentage of 53.3%.
  • On the ground, Lavatai has scored two touchdowns and accumulated 171 yards.
  • Xavier Arline has thrown for 320 yards (45.7 per game), completing 54.8% of his passes, with two touchdowns and one interception in seven games.
  • On the ground, Arline has scored two touchdowns and picked up 251 yards.
  • Colin Ramos has been providing a big boost on defense, compiling 92 tackles, one TFL, and two sacks for the Midshipmen.
  • The Midshipmen’s Rayuan Lane has recorded 58 tackles and four interceptions in 11 games.
  • Will Harbour has two sacks to go with two TFL and 60 tackles in 10 games.
  • On defense, Mbiti Williams Jr. has racked up 54 tackles and one interception in nine games.

Army vs. Navy Predictions and Pick

Army vs. Navy betting card

  • Pick ATS:

    Army (-2.5)

  • Pick OU: Over (28)

How to Bet on Army vs. Navy

You can bet on Army vs. Navy at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Army vs. Navy picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this matchup is Army, and we predict that Army will cover the spread (Army -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 28 points.

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WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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