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The Camellia Bowl will feature a matchup between the Arkansas State Red Wolves and the Northern Illinois Huskies.
Arkansas State vs. Northern Illinois Odds
Point Spread
The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with bookmakers listing Arkansas State as the favorites.
Moneyline
As for the moneyline, Arkansas State has -142 odds to pick up the win, while Northern Illinois is listed at +116 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the total for the game is set at 53.5 points.
Game Info
How to Watch Arkansas State vs. Northern Illinois Live?
- Game Day: Saturday, December 23, 2023
- Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: ESPN
- Location: Montgomery, Alabama
- Stadium: Cramton Bowl
Betting Preview
Arkansas State
With 446.0 yards allowed per game on defense, which ranks seventh-worst in the FBS, Arkansas State has had to lean on its 75th-ranked offense (376.3 yards per contest) to keep them competitive. Offensively, Arkansas State ranks 62nd in the FBS with 27.8 points per game. Meanwhile, the team’s defense ranks 107th in points allowed (446.0 points allowed per contest). Arkansas State sports the 65th-ranked passing offense this season (223.4 passing yards per game), and has been worse on defense, ranking 13th-worst with 261.7 passing yards allowed per game. Arkansas State sports the 76th-ranked rushing offense this season (152.9 rushing yards per game), and has been worse on defense, ranking 16th-worst with 184.3 rushing yards allowed per game. Offensively, Arkansas State ranks 108th in the FBS with a 34.2% third-down conversion rate. Meanwhile, the team’s defense ranks 85th in third-down percentage allowed (184.3). With six forced turnovers (128th in the FBS) against 11 turnovers committed (40th in the FBS), Arkansas State’s -5-5 turnover margin ranks 104th in college football.
Northern Illinois
Northern Illinois ranks 80th in the FBS with 365.8 total yards per game, but it has been carried by its defense, which ranks 20th-best by allowing just 316.8 total yards per game. With 25.3 points per game on offense, Northern Illinois ranks 81st in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 30th, giving up 21.2 points per contest. Northern Illinois has been excelling on pass defense, surrendering just 164.3 passing yards per game (sixth-best). On offense, it ranks 107th in the FBS by compiling 186.3 passing yards per game. In terms of rushing, Northern Illinois ranks 39th in the FBS on offense (179.5 rushing yards per game) and 70th on defense (152.6 rushing yards allowed per contest). With a 41.2% third-down conversion percentage on offense, Northern Illinois ranks 50th in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 79th, allowing a 39.8% third-down rate. At +2, Northern Illinois has the 47th-ranked turnover margin in the FBS, with 12 forced turnovers (75th in the FBS) and 10 turnovers committed (33rd in the FBS).
Arkansas State vs. Northern Illinois Betting Analysis
Arkansas State Betting Insights
Arkansas State has covered the spread seven times in 12 games with a set spread. Arkansas State has a perfect 1-0 ATS record when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites. This season, six Arkansas State games have gone over the point total. The Red Wolves have been listed as the moneyline favorite just one other time so far this season, a game they won. The Red Wolves have played as a moneyline favorite of -142 or shorter in just one game this season, which they won.
Northern Illinois Betting Insights
Northern Illinois is 5-7-0 against the spread this year. In games this year when an underdog by 2.5 points or more, Northern Illinois is 3-1 against the spread. This year, Northern Illinois games have hit the over six times. The Huskies have been underdogs in four games this season and won two (50%) of those contests. The Huskies have a record of when they’re set as an underdog of +116 or more by bookmakers this season.
Arkansas State vs. Northern Illinois Against The Spread & Betting Records
Arkansas State
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 55.0 | 55.0 | 54.9 |
| Implied Total AVG | 33.2 | 33.2 | 33.2 |
| ATS Record | 7-5-0 | 4-2-0 | 3-3-0 |
| Over/Under Record | 6-6-0 | 2-4-0 | 4-2-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 1-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 5-6 | 3-2 | 2-4 |
Northern Illinois
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 48.3 | 50.6 | 46.1 |
| Implied Total AVG | 29.0 | 29.2 | 28.8 |
| ATS Record | 5-7-0 | 2-4-0 | 3-3-0 |
| Over/Under Record | 6-6-0 | 0-6-0 | 6-0-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 4-4 | 2-3 | 2-1 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 2-2 | 1-0 | 1-2 |
Players to Watch
Arkansas State
- To go along with his 2,293 passing yards and 58.8% completion percentage this year, Jaylen Raynor has connected on 15 touchdowns against six interceptions.
- Raynor has been providing value with his legs, as he’s run for 331 yards (3.0 YPC) and five rushing touchdowns in 10 games.
- As part of the Red Wolves’ ground attack, Ja’Quez Cross has rushed for 688 yards and seven touchdowns on 5.7 YPC.
- The Red Wolves’ passing game has been helped by the receiving ability of Cross, who has grabbed 21 balls (on zero targets) for 132 yards and zero touchdowns.
- Courtney Jackson has been a key piece of the Red Wolves’ passing attack in 2023, tallying 38 catches for 658 yards and seven touchdowns.
- Zak Wallace has compiled 556 yards in the ground game (50.5 per game) with six rushing touchdowns in 11 games.
- With two sacks to go with three TFL and 60 tackles in 11 games, Javante Mackey has been an important part of the Red Wolves’ defensive unit in 2023.
- With one interception to go with 64 tackles and one pass defended in 11 games, Trevian Thomas has been a key piece of the Red Wolves’ defensive unit in 2023.
- As part of the Red Wolves’ defense, Melique Straker has amassed two interceptions to go along with 47 tackles, one TFL, and two passes defended in 10 games.
- A key part of the Red Wolves’ defensive unit, Charles Willekes has 61 tackles, two TFL, and one sack in 12 games.
Northern Illinois
- Antario Brown has rushed for 1,162 yards (96.8 per game) and 10 touchdowns in 12 games.
- Brown also has 12 receptions for 52 yards and one TD.
- Rocky Lombardi has thrown for 2,074 yards (172.8 per game), completing 57.2% of his throws, with 10 touchdowns and five interceptions in 12 games.
- On the ground, Lombardi has scored six touchdowns and picked up 110 yards.
- In 12 games, Trayvon Rudolph has 46 receptions for 499 yards (41.6 per game) and two touchdowns.
- Gavin Williams has run for 448 yards (37.3 per game) and three touchdowns in 12 games.
- Williams also has 22 receptions for 141 yards and zero TDs.
- In 11 games for the Huskies, Raishein Thomas has collected one sack to go with two TFL and 58 tackles.
- The Huskies’ Jaden Dolphin has compiled one TFL and 52 tackles in 10 games.
- In nine games for the Huskies, Nate Valcarel has delivered 34 tackles, one TFL, and three interceptions.
- Tyler Jackson has registered 44 tackles In 10 games for the Huskies.
Arkansas State vs. Northern Illinois Predictions and Pick
Arkansas State vs. Northern Illinois betting card
- Pick ATS:
Arkansas State (-2.5)
- Pick OU: Over (53.5)
How to Bet on Arkansas State vs. Northern Illinois
You can bet on Arkansas State vs. Northern Illinois at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.
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Our prediction to win this contest is Arkansas State, and we expect that Arkansas State will cover the spread (Arkansas State -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 53.5 points.