Appalachian State vs. Miami (OH) Avocados From Mexico Cure Bowl Prediction: Picks & Start Time – December 16, 2023

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The Appalachian State Mountaineers will meet the Miami (OH) RedHawks in the Avocados From Mexico Cure Bowl.

Appalachian State vs. Miami (OH) Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 6.5 points, with bookmakers listing Appalachian State as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Appalachian State has -257 odds to pick up the win, while Miami (OH) is listed at +197 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 41 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Appalachian State vs. Miami (OH) Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, December 16, 2023
  • Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ABC
  • Location: Orlando, Florida
  • Stadium: FBC Mortgage Stadium

Betting Preview

Appalachian State

Appalachian State sports the 80th-ranked defense this year (389.8 yards allowed per game), and has been more effective offensively, ranking 19th-best with a tally of 451.8 yards per game. Appalachian State has the 90th-ranked defense this year (28.4 points allowed per game), and has been more effective offensively, ranking 20th-best with 34.8 points per game. On offense, Appalachian State has been a top-25 unit in terms of passing yards, ranking 24th-best in the FBS by compiling 278.2 per game. The Mountaineers rank 47th on defense (213.1 passing yards allowed per game). With 176.7 rushing yards allowed per game on defense, which ranks 25th-worst in the FBS, Appalachian State has been forced to ask their 50th-ranked running game (173.7 rushing yards per contest) to keep them competitive. From an offensive standpoint, Appalachian State ranks 39th in the FBS with a 42.6% third-down conversion rate. Meanwhile, the team’s defense ranks 82nd in third-down conversion rate allowed (176.7). Appalachian State has forced 17 total turnovers (13th in the FBS) this season and have turned it over 13 times (71st in the FBS) for +4a turnover margin of +4, 33rd-ranked in college football.

Miami (OH)

Miami (OH) is accumulating 333.1 total yards per game on offense this season (102nd-ranked). Meanwhile, it is surrendering 326.8 total yards per contest (27th-ranked). Miami (OH)’s defensive unit has been leading the charge for the team, as it ranks seventh-best in the FBS with 16.2 points allowed per game. In terms of offense, it is compiling 26.9 points per game, which ranks 68th. Miami (OH) ranks 19th-worst in passing yards per game (174.8), but it has been better on the other side of the ball, ranking 28th in the FBS with 197.2 passing yards surrendered per contest. Miami (OH) is putting up 158.3 rushing yards per contest on offense this season (68th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is giving up 129.5 rushing yards per game (33rd-ranked) on defense. Miami (OH) ranks 89th in the FBS with a 36.5% third-down conversion rate, but it has been lifted up by its defense, which ranks 10th-best by surrendering a 29.6% third-down rate. At +2, Miami (OH) has the 45th-ranked turnover margin in the FBS, with 11 forced turnovers (85th in the FBS) and nine turnovers committed (24th in the FBS).

Appalachian State vs. Miami (OH) Betting Analysis

Appalachian State Betting Insights

Appalachian State has covered the spread six times this season (6-6-1). In games it has played as 6.5-point favorites or more, Appalachian State has an ATS record of 2-3. This season, seven Appalachian State games have gone over the point total. The Mountaineers have won six of the eight games they were favored on the moneyline this season (75%). The Mountaineers have played in five games as a moneyline favorite with odds of -257 or shorter and won each time.

Miami (OH) Betting Insights

Miami (OH) have registered a 10-3-0 record against the spread this year. Miami (OH) has an ATS record of 3-1 when playing as at least 6.5-point underdogs. Miami (OH) games have gone over the total five times this year. The RedHawks have won three of the five games they’ve played as underdogs this season. This season, the RedHawks have won four of their five games when they’re the underdog by at least +197 on the moneyline.

Appalachian State vs. Miami (OH) Against The Spread & Betting Records

Appalachian State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 55.1 55.9 54.4
Implied Total AVG 32.5 33.5 31.6
ATS Record 6-6-1 3-3-0 3-3-1
Over/Under Record 7-6-0 4-2-0 3-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 6-2 5-1 1-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-3 0-0 2-3

Miami (OH)

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 42.9 42.8 42.9
Implied Total AVG 27.3 29.0 26.3
ATS Record 10-3-0 4-1-0 6-2-0
Over/Under Record 5-8-0 1-4-0 4-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 7-0 3-0 4-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-2 0-1 3-1

Players to Watch

Appalachian State

  • To go along with his 3,546 passing yards and 64.3% completion percentage this season, Joey Aguilar has connected on 33 touchdowns against nine interceptions.
  • Aguilar has been providing value on the ground, as he’s scrambled for 235 yards (3.1 YPC) and two rushing touchdowns in 13 games.
  • On zero targets, Kaedin Robinson has 59 receptions (4.5 per game) for 787 yards and 10 TDs in 13 games.
  • Nathaniel Noel has rushed for 827 yards (75.2 yards per carry) and five rushing touchdowns for the Mountaineers in 2023.
  • In 11 games for the Mountaineers, Kanye Roberts has generated 648 rushing yards (5.7 yards per carry) and seven touchdowns.
  • The Mountaineers’ defensive unit has been aided by the play of Andrew Parker, who has played 12 games and registered 83 tackles, two TFL, and two sacks.
  • The Mountaineers’ defense has been aided by the contributions of Nicholas Ross, who has suited up for 12 games and registered one sack to go with one TFL, 81 tackles, and one interception.
  • With 40 tackles, one TFL, and four interceptions in 11 games, Tyrek Funderburk has been an important part of the Mountaineers’ defense in 2023.
  • A significant contributor to the Mountaineers’ defensive unit, Ethan Johnson has one interception to go with 46 tackles, one TFL, and three passes defended in 12 games.

Miami (OH)

  • In 13 games, Rashad Amos has rushed for 887 yards (68.2 per game) and 12 touchdowns.
  • In nine games, Brett Gabbert has thrown for 1,634 yards (181.6 per game), with 14 touchdowns and five interceptions, and a completion percentage of 59.0%.
  • In addition, Gabbert has rushed for 140 yards and two TDs.
  • In nine games, Gage Larvadain has 39 receptions for 660 yards (73.3 per game) and seven touchdowns.
  • Aveon Smith has passed for 638 yards (70.9 per game), completing 50.0% of his passes, with two touchdowns and two interceptions in nine games.
  • On the ground, Smith has scored one touchdown and accumulated 280 yards.
  • In 12 games for the RedHawks, Matt Salopek has totaled three sacks to go with three TFL, 103 tackles, and one interception.
  • On defense, Ty Wise has helped keep opposing offenses in check with 88 tackles, three TFL, seven sacks, and one interception in 11 games.
  • Brian Ugwu has delivered seven sacks to go with two TFL and 54 tackles in 13 games for the RedHawks.
  • On defense, Yahsyn McKee has contributed 50 tackles, one TFL, and three interceptions in 11 games.

Appalachian State vs. Miami (OH) Predictions and Pick

Appalachian State vs. Miami (OH) betting card

  • Pick ATS:

    Miami (OH) (+6.5)

  • Pick OU: Over (41)

How to Bet on Appalachian State vs. Miami (OH)

You can bet on Appalachian State vs. Miami (OH) at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Appalachian State vs. Miami (OH) picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this contest is Appalachian State, and we project that Miami (OH) will cover the spread (Appalachian State -6.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 41 points.

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WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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