Air Force vs. Nevada Prediction: Picks & Start Time – September 2022

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MWC rivals will battle when the Air Force Falcons (2-1) meet the Nevada Wolf Pack (2-2).

Air Force vs. Nevada Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 24 points, with sportsbooks listing Air Force as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Air Force has -3531 odds to pick up the win, while Nevada is listed at +1254 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 46.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Air Force vs. Nevada Live?

  • Game Day: Friday, September 23, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: Fox Sports 1
  • Location: Colorado Springs, Colorado
  • Stadium: Falcon Stadium

Betting Preview

Air Force

Offensively, Air Force ranks 42nd in the FBS with 468.7 yards per game. Meanwhile, its defense ranks 32nd in total defense (303.0 yards allowed per contest). Air Force is compiling 34.3 points per game on offense (60th in the FBS), and ranks 29th defensively with 14.7 points allowed per game. Air Force has the 18th-best pass defense this season (166.3 passing yards allowed per game), but ranks second-worst offensively (72.7 passing yards per game). Air Force owns the 66th-ranked defense this year in terms of rushing yards (136.7 rushing yards allowed per game), and has been more effective on offense, ranking best with 396.0 rushing yards per game. From an offensive standpoint, Air Force ranks 39th in the FBS with a 47.2% third-down percentage. Meanwhile, the team’s defense ranks 32nd in third-down percentage allowed (136.7). With six forced turnovers (24th in the FBS) against five turnovers committed (74th in the FBS), Air Force’s +1+1 turnover margin ranks 46th in college football.

Nevada

Nevada ranks 13th-worst in total yards per game (290.0), but it has been more effective on the other side of the ball, ranking 84th in the FBS with 383.3 total yards ceded per contest. In terms of points scored Nevada ranks 95th in the FBS (25.5 points per game), and it is 79th on the other side of the ball (27.0 points allowed per game). Nevada’s passing offense has been a bottom-25 unit this season, posting 151.5 passing yards per game, which ranks 16th-worst in the FBS. On the defensive side of the ball, it ranks 105th with 272.0 passing yards allowed per contest. Nevada ranks 89th in the FBS with 138.5 rushing yards per contest on offense, and it ranks 44th with 111.3 rushing yards ceded per contest on the defensive side of the ball. With a 35.3% third-down conversion percentage on offense, Nevada ranks 95th in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 105th, allowing a 43.5% third-down rate. Nevada owns a top-25 turnover margin this season, ranking third-best at +8.

Air Force vs. Nevada Betting Analysis

Air Force Betting Insights

Air Force is 2-1-0 against the spread this season. Games involving the Air Force have hit the over twice this season. The Falcons have put together a 2-1 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 66.7% of those games). The Falcons have yet to play a game with moneyline odds of -3531 or shorter.

Wolf Pack Betting Insights

Nevada has covered the spread twice over four games with a set number. Nevada has yet to cover the spread (0-1) when it is at least 24-point underdogs. Games involving Nevada have hit the over twice this season. The Wolf Pack have split the two games they’ve played as underdogs this season. The Wolf Pack have not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +1254.

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Air Force vs. Nevada Against The Spread & Betting Records

Air Force

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 47.8 48.3 47.0
Implied Total AVG 32.0 32.0 32.0
ATS Record 2-1-0 2-0-0 0-1-0
Over/Under Record 2-1-0 2-0-0 0-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-1 2-0 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

Wolf Pack

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 50.1 56.5 43.8
Implied Total AVG 30.0 30.0 30.0
ATS Record 2-2-0 1-1-0 1-1-0
Over/Under Record 2-2-0 2-0-0 0-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-1 0-1 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 1-0 0-1

Players to Watch

Air Force

  • With 12 tackles and two interceptions in three games, Camby Goff has been an important part of the Falcons’ defense in 2022.
  • The Falcons’ defense has been helped by Michael Mack II, who has suited up for three games and registered 14 tackles.
  • As part of the Falcons’ defensive unit, Trey Taylor has delivered one interception to go along with 10 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one pass defended in three games.
  • A key piece of the Falcons’ defense, Jayden Goodwin has 11 tackles in three games.

Wolf Pack

  • As a tone-setter on defense, the Wolf Pack’s Dom Peterson has registered six tackles, 3.0 TFL, and three sacks in four games.
  • Bentlee Sanders has delivered 10 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and four interceptions in four games for the Wolf Pack.
  • Tyson Williams has amassed 1.0 sack to go with 3.0 TFL, 16 tackles, and one interception in four games for the Wolf Pack.
  • Isaiah Essissima has registered six tackles and two interceptions in four games for the Wolf Pack.

Air Force vs. Nevada Predictions and Pick

Air Force vs. Nevada betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Wolf Pack (+24)

    Pick OU:

    Under (46.5)

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How to Bet on Air Force vs. Nevada

You can bet on Air Force vs. Nevada at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Air Force vs. Nevada picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this contest is Nevada, and we predict that Nevada will cover the spread (Air Force -24). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 46.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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