Utah State vs Boise State Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Saturday, March 11, 2023

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The No. 3 seed Utah State Aggies (25-7, 13-5 MWC) play the No. 2 seed Boise State Broncos (24-8, 13-5 MWC) in the MWC Tournament Saturday at Thomas & Mack Center, tipping off at TBA. Both teams will look to get one step closer to earning an automatic place in the NCAA Tournament bracket.

The Aggies match up against the Broncos in a game that Utah State is currently a slight favorite by 2 points. A 144-point over/under is set for the matchup.

Utah State vs. Boise State Odds

Point Spread for Utah State vs. Boise State

The spread for this matchup is set at 2 points, with sportsbooks listing Utah State as the favorite.

Utah State vs. Boise State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Utah State has -135 odds to pick up the win, while Boise State is listed at +115 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 144 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 11, 2023
  • Game Time: TBA ET
  • TV Channel: CBS Sports Network
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Arena: Thomas & Mack Center

Utah State vs. Boise State Betting Trends

Utah State has played 31 games, with 20 wins against the spread. The Aggies have been favorites in 28 games this season and have come away with the win 24 times (85.7%) in those contests. Utah State has eclipsed the over/under in 64.5% of its opportunities this year (20 times in 31 games with a set point total).

Against the spread, Boise State is 17-13-1 this season. The Broncos have been the underdog on the moneyline 10 total times this season. They’ve finished 6-4 in those games. Boise State’s games this year have hit the over on 16 of 31 set point totals (51.6%).

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Utah State vs. Boise State Key Players to Watch

Utah State

Max Shulga is averaging 12.2 points, 4.1 assists and 4.4 rebounds per game. Taylor Funk is averaging 13.7 points, 1.6 assists and 5.2 rebounds per game. Daniel Akin leads his squad in rebounds per game (6.8), and also puts up 12.3 points and 0.9 assists. Defensively, he averages 0.5 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.

Boise State

Tyson Degenhart is the Broncos’ top scorer (14.4 points per game) and assist man (1.8), and produces 5.4 rebounds. Marcus Shaver Jr. is No. 1 on the Broncos in rebounding (6 per game) and assists (3.8), and produces 13.4 points. He also delivers 1.6 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Max Rice gives the Broncos 14.3 points, 4.6 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game. He also averages 1 steal and 0.1 blocked shots. The Broncos get 10 points, 5.5 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game from Naje Smith.

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What you need to know about the Utah State Aggies

Utah State has compiled a 12-7-0 conference record against the spread this season. The Aggies have been carried by their offense, as they rank 24th-best in the country by scoring 79.4 points per game. They rank 178th in college basketball in points allowed (70.2 per contest). Utah State is grabbing 32.9 boards per game (107th-ranked in college basketball) this year, while allowing 28.5 rebounds per contest (45th-ranked).

Utah State is thriving when it comes to three-point shooting, as it ranks 16th-best in college basketball in three-pointers (9.6 per game) and second-best in shooting percentage from beyond the arc (40.4%). This year, the Aggies are ceding 7 three-pointers per game (154th-ranked in college basketball) and are allowing opposing teams to shoot 35.3% (277th-ranked) from three-point land.

The Aggies have gone 8-2 over their past 10 games, with an 8-2 record against the spread during that span. Utah State has gone over the total in six of its past 10 outings. Utah State has been racking up 78.5 points per game in its last 10 times on the court, an average that’s a little lower than the 79.4 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 campaign. Utah State’s defense has been more stingy as of late, as the team has allowed 68.5 points per game over its past 10 compared to the 70.2 points per game its opponents average this season.

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What you need to know about the Boise State Broncos

A total of 14 Boise State conference games this year have hit the over. In 2022-23, the Broncos are 159th in the nation offensively (72.6 points scored per game) and 32nd on defense (64.1 points allowed). At 33.3 rebounds per game and 29.2 rebounds allowed, Boise State is 87th and 66th in the country, respectively.

Beyond the arc, Boise State is 105th in college basketball in 3-pointers made per game (8). It is 60th in 3-point percentage at 36.6%. The Broncos give up 6.4 3-pointers per game and concede 30.9% from beyond the arc, ranking 73rd and 36th, respectively, in the nation.

The Broncos have covered the spread twice, and are 7-3 overall, in their last 10 games. Boise State has hit the over in six of its last 10 outings. Boise State has fared worse offensively in its last 10 games, tallying 71.5 points per contest, 1.1 fewer points its than season average of 72.6. Over their previous 10 games, the Broncos are allowing 70.7 points per contest, 6.6 more points than their season average (64.1).

Utah State vs. Boise State Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is Utah State, and we predict that Boise State will cover the spread (Utah State -2). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 144 points.

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How to bet Utah State vs. Boise State

You can bet on Utah State vs. Boise State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Utah State vs. Boise State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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