Purdue vs. NC State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, April 6, 2024

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A ticket to the NCAA Tournament National Championship is the prize, as the No. 1 seed Purdue Boilermakers (33-4) and the No. 11 seed NC State Wolfpack (26-14) square off in the Final Four on Saturday at 6:09 PM ET at State Farm Stadium (airing on TBS).

Saturday’s matchup between the Boilermakers and the Wolfpack sees the Boilermakers as a strong, 9-point favorite. The over/under is 146 points for the game.

Purdue vs. NC State Odds

Point Spread for Purdue vs. NC State

The spread for this matchup is set at 9 points, with sportsbooks listing Purdue as the favorite.

Purdue vs. NC State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Purdue has -440 odds to pick up the win, while NC State is listed at +340 to claim victory.

Purdue vs. NC State Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 146 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, April 6, 2024
  • Game Time: 6:09 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TBS
  • Location: Glendale, Arizona
  • Arena: State Farm Stadium

Purdue vs. NC State Betting Trends

Purdue is 19-16-2 against the spread this year. The Boilermakers have been victorious in 27, or 87.1%, of the 31 contests they have been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season. Purdue’s games this year have eclipsed the over/under 55% of the time (22 out of 40 games with a set point total).

In NC State’s 40 games this season, it has 20 wins against the spread. The Wolfpack have gone 9-10 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 47.4% of those games). NC State’s games this year have hit the over on 22 of 40 set point totals (55%).

Purdue vs. NC State Key Players to Watch

Purdue

Zach Edey averages 25.0 points and 12.2 rebounds per game — both team highs. He is also putting up 2.0 assists, shooting 62.4% from the floor. Braden Smith leads his team in assists per game (7.5), and also averages 12.2 points and 5.8 rebounds. At the other end, he delivers 1.5 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. Lance Jones posts 11.8 points, 2.7 rebounds and 2.0 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. Fletcher Loyer averages 10.6 points, 2.1 rebounds and 2.0 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.0 blocked shots.

NC State

DJ Horne tops the Wolfpack in scoring (16.8 points per game), and produces 3.4 rebounds and 2.1 assists. He also puts up 1.3 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. D.J. Burns gets the Wolfpack 13.0 points, 4.1 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game. He also posts 0.5 steals and 0.6 blocked shots. The Wolfpack receive 11.4 points, 2.7 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game from Casey Morsell. Jayden Taylor gives the Wolfpack 11.2 points, 3.6 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game. He also puts up 1.1 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.

What you need to know about the Purdue Boilermakers

The Boilermakers have been lifted by their offense, as they rank 10th-best in college basketball by tallying 83.5 points per game. They rank 97th in college basketball in points allowed (69.4 per contest). When it comes to rebounding, it’s been a dominant stretch for Purdue, who is grabbing rebounds per game (best in college basketball) and allowing boards per contest (best).

Purdue ranks second-best in the country with a three-point shooting percentage of 40.8%. It ranks 79th in college basketball by making 8.4 treys per contest. The Boilermakers rank 208th in the nation with 7.3 threes allowed per game this season. Meanwhile, they rank 53rd with a 31.7% shooting percentage allowed from downtown.

The Boilermakers are 5-5 against the spread and 9-1 overall over their past 10 games. Purdue has hit the over in five of its last 10 outings. Purdue’s offense has been less effective over its last 10 games, scoring 79.7 points a contest compared to the 83.5 it has averaged this year. The last 10 games have seen Purdue concede 1.4 fewer points per game (68.0) than its season-long average (69.4).

What you need to know about the NC State Wolfpack

The Wolfpack put up 76.3 points per game and allow 72.0, making them 98th in the nation offensively and 182nd defensively. NC State is the best team in the nation in rebounds per game () and best in rebounds conceded ().

NC State makes 7.0 3-pointers per game and shoots 34.6% from beyond the arc, ranking 224th and 147th, respectively, in the country. The Wolfpack give up 7.2 3-pointers per game and concede 33.5% from beyond the arc, ranking 195th and 151st, respectively, in the country.

The Wolfpack are 7-3 against the spread and 9-1 overall over their last 10 games. NC State has gone over the total in five of its last 10 outings. NC State has played better offensively over its past 10 games, putting up 78.3 points per contest, 2.0 more than its season average of 76.3. The Wolfpack have played better defensively over their last 10 games, giving up 70.3 points per contest, 1.7 fewer points than their season average of 72.0 allowed.

Purdue vs. NC State Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this game is Purdue, and we expect that Purdue will cover the spread (Purdue -9). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 146 points.

How to bet Purdue vs. NC State

You can bet on Purdue vs. NC State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Purdue vs. NC State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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