UConn vs. Alabama Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, April 6, 2024

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The UConn Huskies (35-3) and Alabama Crimson Tide (25-11) meet in the Final Four of the NCAA Tournament on Saturday with a spot in the championship game up for grabs. The game tips off at 8:49 PM ET (airing on TBS).

Saturday’s game between the Huskies and the Crimson Tide sees the Huskies as a double-digit favorite by 11 points. The over/under for the game is 160.5.

UConn vs. Alabama Odds

Point Spread for UConn vs. Alabama

The spread for this matchup is set at 11 points, with oddsmakers listing UConn as the favorite.

UConn vs. Alabama Moneyline

As for the moneyline, UConn has -650 odds to pick up the win, while Alabama is listed at +470 to claim victory.

UConn vs. Alabama Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 160.5 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, April 6, 2024
  • Game Time: 8:49 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TBS
  • Location: Glendale, Arizona
  • Arena: State Farm Stadium

UConn vs. Alabama Betting Trends

Against the spread, UConn is 26-12-0 this year. The Huskies have been chosen as moneyline favorites in 30 games this year and have walked away with the win 28 times (93.3%) in those games. UConn has gone over the point total in 48.6% of its opportunities this year (17 times over 35 games with a set point total).

Alabama has played 35 games, with 21 wins against the spread. The Crimson Tide have been the underdog on the moneyline nine total times this season. They’ve finished 2-7 in those games. Alabama’s games this season have hit the over 74.3% of the time (26 out of 35 games with a set point total).

UConn vs. Alabama Key Players to Watch

UConn

Tristen Newton is tops on his team in both points (15.0) and assists (6.1) per contest, and also puts up 6.7 rebounds. At the other end, he averages 1.0 steal and 0.3 blocked shots. Cam Spencer is averaging 14.4 points, 3.7 assists and 4.7 rebounds per game. Donovan Clingan is tops on the Huskies at 7.5 rebounds per game, while also putting up 1.5 assists and 12.9 points. Alex Karaban puts up 13.5 points, 4.9 rebounds and 1.4 assists per contest. Defensively, he delivers 0.9 steals and 0.8 blocked shots.

Alabama

Mark Sears leads the Crimson Tide in scoring (21.5 points per game), and averages 4.2 rebounds and 4.0 assists. He also delivers 1.7 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. Aaron Estrada is the Crimson Tide’s top assist man (4.6 per game), and he contributes 13.3 points and 5.5 rebounds. Grant Nelson is putting up a team-best 5.6 rebounds per contest. And he is producing 11.7 points and 1.6 assists, making 49.1% of his shots from the field. The Crimson Tide receive 11.3 points, 3.5 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game from Rylan Griffen.

What you need to know about the UConn Huskies

Things are clicking for the Huskies, who are scoring 81.4 points per game (22nd-best in college basketball) and ceding 63.3 points per contest (ninth-best). UConn has been shining when it comes to rebounding this year, ranking best in college basketball in rebounds per game () and best in boards allowed per contest ().

UConn is draining 8.6 three-pointers per game (62nd-ranked in college basketball) this season, while sporting a 35.8% three-point percentage (77th-ranked). This year, the Huskies are giving up 5.8 treys per game (35th-ranked in college basketball) and are allowing opponents to shoot 30.9% (28th-ranked) from downtown.

The Huskies have a 9-1 record against the spread while going 10-0 overall over their past 10 contests. In UConn’s past 10 games, it has gone over the total twice. UConn’s offense has been better over its last 10 games, putting up 81.9 points per contest compared to the 81.4 it has averaged this year. UConn’s defense has been tough as of late, as the team has allowed 60.9 points per game over its past 10 compared to the 63.3 points per game its opponents are averaging on the season.

What you need to know about the Alabama Crimson Tide

In 2023-24, the Crimson Tide are best in college basketball offensively (90.6 points scored per game) but third-worst on defense (81.1 points allowed). In 2023-24, Alabama is best in college basketball in rebounds ( per game) and best in rebounds conceded ().

Alabama is the second-best squad in college basketball in 3-pointers made (11.2 per game) and 22nd-best in 3-point percentage (37.1%). Giving up 7.4 3-pointers per game and conceding 31.5% from beyond the arc, the Crimson Tide are 224th and 45th in the nation, respectively, in those categories.

The Crimson Tide have gone 6-4 in their last 10 contests, with a 4-6 record against the spread in that span. Alabama has hit the over in eight of its last 10 games. Alabama has fared worse offensively in its previous 10 games, tallying 89.8 points per contest, 0.8 fewer points its than season average of 90.6. The Crimson Tide are ceding 90.7 points per game in their past 10 games, which is 9.6 more points than they are allowing for the season (81.1).

UConn vs. Alabama Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this game is UConn, and we project that Alabama will cover the spread (UConn -11). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 160.5 points.

How to bet UConn vs. Alabama

You can bet on UConn vs. Alabama at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s UConn vs. Alabama picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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