UConn vs. Purdue Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Monday, April 8, 2024

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The No. 1 seed UConn Huskies (36-3) and the No. 1 seed Purdue Boilermakers (34-4) meet in the NCAA Tournament National Championship on Monday at State Farm Stadium, tipping off at 9:20 PM ET.

Monday’s game between the Huskies and the Boilermakers sees the Huskies as a strong, 7-point favorite. The over/under for the matchup is set at 143.5.

UConn vs. Purdue Odds

Point Spread for UConn vs. Purdue

The spread for this matchup is set at 7 points, with oddsmakers listing UConn as the favorite.

UConn vs. Purdue Moneyline

As for the moneyline, UConn has -305 odds to pick up the win, while Purdue is listed at +245 to claim victory.

UConn vs. Purdue Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 143.5 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Monday, April 8, 2024
  • Game Time: 9:20 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TBS
  • Location: Glendale, Arizona
  • Arena: State Farm Stadium

UConn vs. Purdue Betting Trends

UConn has 27 wins against the spread in 39 games this season. The Huskies have been chosen as moneyline favorites in 31 games this year and have walked away with the win 29 times (93.5%) in those games. UConn has gone over the point total in 44.7% of its opportunities this year (17 times over 38 games with a set point total).

In Purdue’s 38 games this season, it has 20 wins against the spread. The Boilermakers have been listed as the moneyline underdog only two other times so far this season, and they won both games. Purdue’s games this season have gone over the point total 57.9% of the time (22 out of 38 games with a set point total).

UConn vs. Purdue Key Players to Watch

UConn

Tristen Newton paces his squad in both points (14.9) and assists (6.2) per game, and also posts 6.6 rebounds. Defensively, he delivers 0.9 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Cam Spencer posts 14.4 points, 4.8 rebounds and 3.7 assists per contest. At the other end, he posts 1.5 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. Donovan Clingan leads his team in rebounds per contest (7.4), and also posts 13.1 points and 1.5 assists. Defensively, he posts 0.5 steals and 2.5 blocked shots (ninth in the nation). Alex Karaban puts up 13.5 points, 5.0 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.9 steals and 0.8 blocked shots.

Purdue

Zach Edey is the Boilermakers’ top scorer (24.9 points per game, first in college basketball) and rebounder (12.2, second in college basketball), and delivers 2.1 assists. Braden Smith tops the Boilermakers in assists (7.5 per game), and posts 12.0 points and 5.8 rebounds. He also delivers 1.6 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. The Boilermakers receive 11.9 points, 2.7 rebounds and 2.0 assists per game from Lance Jones. The Boilermakers get 10.6 points, 2.1 rebounds and 2.0 assists per game from Fletcher Loyer.

What you need to know about the UConn Huskies

The Huskies have been thriving both offensively and defensively this season, ranking 21st-best in the country in points per game (81.6) and 10th-best in points allowed per game (63.5). UConn is dominating in terms of rebounding, as it ranks best in college basketball in rebounds ( per game) and best in rebounds allowed ( per contest).

With 8.6 threes per game, UConn is 62nd in the country. It has a 35.9% shooting percentage from three-point land, which ranks 72nd in college basketball. With 6.0 threes conceded per game, the Huskies are 52nd in the nation. They are ceding a 31.4% shooting percentage from beyond the arc, which ranks 41st in college basketball.

The Huskies are 9-1 against the spread and 10-0 overall over their last 10 games. In its past 10 contests, UConn has hit the over once. On the offensive side of the ball, UConn has had a tough time putting the ball in the basket over its last 10 games, scoring 81.4 points per contest over that stretch compared to the 81.6 it has put up over the course of this season. The last 10 games have seen UConn allow 1.5 fewer points per game (62.0) than its season-long average (63.5).

What you need to know about the Purdue Boilermakers

In 2023-24, the Boilermakers are 14th-best in college basketball offensively (82.9 points scored per game) and ranked 81st on defense (68.8 points allowed). In 2023-24, Purdue is best in the nation in rebounds ( per game) and best in rebounds conceded ().

Purdue is 79th in the nation in 3-pointers made (8.4 per game) and second-best in 3-point percentage (40.7%). The Boilermakers give up 7.2 3-pointers per game and concede 31.5% from beyond the arc, ranking 195th and 45th, respectively, in college basketball.

The Boilermakers have gone 9-1 in their last 10 contests, with a 6-4 record against the spread during that span. Four of Purdue’s past 10 outings have gone over the total. In its past 10 games, Purdue is averaging 77.6 points per game, 5.3 fewer points than its season average (82.9). Over their last 10 games, the Boilermakers are allowing 65.4 points per game, 3.4 fewer points than their season average (68.8).

UConn vs. Purdue Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is UConn, and we project that Purdue will cover the spread (UConn -7). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 143.5 points.

How to bet UConn vs. Purdue

You can bet on UConn vs. Purdue at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s UConn vs. Purdue picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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