UCSD vs Cal Poly Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Thursday, March 2, 2023

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The Cal Poly Mustangs (7-23, 1-17 Big West) will try to stop an 11-game road skid when taking on the UCSD Tritons (10-20, 5-13 Big West) on Thursday, March 2, 2023 at RIMAC Arena, airing at 10:00 PM ET on ESPN+.

Thursday’s game between the Tritons and the Mustangs sees the Tritons as 5.5-point favorites. The matchup has an over/under of 129.5.

UCSD vs. Cal Poly Odds

Point Spread for UCSD vs. Cal Poly

The spread for this matchup is set at 5.5 points, with bookmakers listing UCSD as the favorite.

UCSD vs. Cal Poly Moneyline

As for the moneyline, UCSD has odds to pick up the win, while Cal Poly is listed at to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 129.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, March 2, 2023
  • Game Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: San Diego, California
  • Arena: RIMAC Arena

UCSD vs. Cal Poly Betting Trends

UCSD has 14 wins against the spread in 28 games this season. UCSD’s games this year have hit the over on 16 of 28 set point totals.

Against the spread, Cal Poly is 15-13-0 this year. Cal Poly’s games this year have hit the over nine times in 28 opportunities (32.1%).

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UCSD vs. Cal Poly Key Players to Watch


Bryce Pope is tops on his team in points per game (18.4), and also averages 4.4 rebounds and 1.5 assists. At the other end, he posts 1.2 steals and 0.4 blocked shots. Francis Nwaokorie leads the Tritons at 7.1 rebounds per game, while also averaging 1.2 assists and 12.8 points. Roddie Anderson III leads his team in assists per contest (3.6), and also averages 13.1 points and 3.8 rebounds. Defensively, he totals 1.2 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. Jace Roquemore is posting 6.4 points, 2.6 assists and 3 rebounds per contest.

Cal Poly

Noah Pick is posting points, 2 rebounds and assists per game, making % of his shots from the field. Alimamy Koroma is averaging team highs in points (10.3 per game) and assists (0.4). And he is producing 4.2 rebounds, making 46.2% of his shots from the field. Brantly Stevenson gives the Mustangs 9.7 points, 3.7 rebounds and 1.5 assists per contest. He also posts 0.8 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. Trevon Taylor leads the Mustangs in rebounding (4.8 per game), and averages 8.6 points and 1.2 assists. He also delivers 0.5 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the UCSD Tritons

So far this season, 12 out of UCSD’s 18 Big West games have gone over the point total. The Tritons rank 266th in the nation with 68.6 points per game this year. At the other end, they rank 267th with 73 points allowed per game. UCSD is grabbing 29.1 rebounds per game (313th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while allowing 33.5 rebounds per contest (315th-ranked).

The Tritons post 71.9 points per game in home games, compared to 66.4 points per game on the road, a difference of 5.5 points per contest. UCSD is making 7.6 treys per game (158th-ranked in college basketball). It has a 32.8% shooting percentage (259th-ranked) from downtown. The Tritons are giving up 7.8 three-pointers per game (251st-ranked in college basketball). They are allowing opposing teams to shoot 36.4% (324th-ranked) from beyond the arc.

The Tritons have a 6-4 record against the spread while finishing 3-7 overall over their last 10 contests. UCSD has gone over the total in six of its last 10 outings. UCSD has seen an uptick in scoring recently, putting up 70.5 points per game in its last 10 outings, 1.9 points more than the 68.6 it has scored this season. The past 10 games have seen UCSD concede 1.1 more points per game (74.1) than its season-long average (73).

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What you need to know about the Cal Poly Mustangs

Cal Poly’s conference games have hit the over six out of 18 times this year. In 2022-23, the Mustangs are -1-worst in the country on offense (59.7 points scored per game) and 59th on defense (65.6 points conceded). On the glass, Cal Poly is 324th in the country in rebounds (28.7 per game). It is 36th in rebounds allowed (28.3 per game).

At home the Mustangs are putting up 62.4 points per game, 5.8 more than they are averaging away (56.6). Beyond the arc, Cal Poly is 21st-worst in college basketball in 3-pointers made per game (5.5). And it is third-worst in 3-point percentage at 29%. The Mustangs are 73rd in the nation in 3-pointers allowed (6.4 per game) and 235th in 3-point percentage defensively (34.6%).

The Mustangs are 4-6 against the spread and 0-10 overall in their last 10 contests. In its past 10 contests, Cal Poly has hit the over four times. Over its past 10 games, Cal Poly is posting 54.5 points per game, 5.2 fewer points than its season average (59.7). The Mustangs have fared worse defensively over their last 10 games, ceding 66.1 points per contest, 0.5 more points their than season average of 65.6.

UCSD vs. Cal Poly Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is UCSD, and we predict that UCSD will cover the spread (UCSD -5.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 129.5 points.

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How to bet UCSD vs. Cal Poly

You can bet on UCSD vs. Cal Poly at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s UCSD vs. Cal Poly picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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