UConn vs Villanova Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, March 4, 2023

httpscdn.dataskrive.comapiassetKNZls3U Betsperts Media & Technology

A pair of streaking squads square off when the UConn Huskies (23-7, 12-7 Big East) visit the Villanova Wildcats (16-14, 10-9 Big East) on Saturday, March 4, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET. The Huskies are putting their four-game winning streak on the line versus the Wildcats, who have won three in a row.

UConn is a small 2.5-point favorite against Villanova when the Huskies hit the court against the Wildcats on Saturday. The over/under is 138.5 points for the matchup.

UConn vs. Villanova Odds

Point Spread for UConn vs. Villanova

The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with sportsbooks listing UConn as the favorite.

UConn vs. Villanova Moneyline

As for the moneyline, UConn has -138 odds to pick up the win, while Villanova is listed at +118 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 138.5 points.

First Bet Offer on this game up to $1,000

Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • Arena: Wells Fargo Center

UConn vs. Villanova Betting Trends

Against the spread, UConn is 18-11-0 this season. The Huskies have won in 19, or 76%, of the 25 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. UConn’s games this year have hit the over on 18 of 30 set point totals.

In Villanova’s 30 games this year, it has 13 wins against the spread. The Wildcats have a 3-6 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 33.3% of those games). Villanova’s games this season have hit the over 15 times in 30 opportunities (50%).

FanDuel NCAAB Promo
No Sweat First Bet up to $1,000

UConn vs. Villanova Key Players to Watch


Adama Sanogo is tops on his team in both points (17.2) and rebounds (7.2) per contest, and also averages 1.3 assists. At the other end, he delivers 0.9 steals and 0.8 blocked shots. Jordan Hawkins posts 16.1 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game. At the other end, he delivers 0.8 steals and 0.6 blocked shots. Tristen Newton puts up a team-best 4.5 assists per game. He is also putting up 10.1 points and 4.2 rebounds, shooting 38.2% from the floor and 35.5% from beyond the arc with 1.1 made 3-pointers per contest. Andre Jackson puts up 6.6 points, 6.3 rebounds and 4.3 assists per game. At the other end, he delivers 1 steal and 0.6 blocked shots.


Eric Dixon paces the Wildcats in scoring (16 points per game) and rebounding (6.5), and produces 1.5 assists. He also posts 0.6 steals and 0.6 blocked shots. Caleb Daniels is recording a team-high 2.5 assists per game. He’s also delivering 14.9 points and 4.4 rebounds, making 41.3% of his shots from the field, and 35.7% from 3-point range resulting in 2.3 triples per contest. The Wildcats receive 9.4 points, 4.8 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game from Brandon Slater. Cam Whitmore gives the Wildcats 12.6 points, 5.1 rebounds and 0.7 assists per contest. He also averages 1.4 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.

DraftKings NCAAB Promo
Bet $5, Win $150

What you need to know about the UConn Huskies

UConn has won nine games against the spread in conference action this season, while failing to cover 10 times. The Huskies are posting 79.2 points per game (28th-ranked in college basketball) this year, while allowing 65 points per contest (42nd-ranked). UConn is dominating in terms of rebounding, as it ranks 11th-best in college basketball in boards (36.2 per game) and sixth-best in rebounds allowed (26.5 per contest).

The Huskies post 83.3 points per game when playing at home, compared to 70 points per game on the road, a difference of 13.3 points per contest. This season, UConn is making 9 threes per game (32nd-ranked in college basketball) and is shooting 35.9% (81st-ranked) from beyond the arc. The Huskies are playing well in terms of defending against three-pointers, as they rank second-best in college basketball in threes allowed (4.6 per game) and 17th-best in three-point percentage allowed (30%).

The Huskies have gone 8-2 over their last 10 contests, with a 7-3 record against the spread in that span. UConn has gone over the total in six of its past 10 outings. On offense, UConn has picked up its output slightly over its last 10 games, scoring 79.7 points per contest over that stretch as opposed to the 79.2 it has put up over the course of this season. UConn has been slightly suspect on the defensive end of the floor of late, allowing 67.3 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 65 it has surrendered this season.

Caesars NCAAB Promo
$1,250 bet on Caesars on this game

What you need to know about the Villanova Wildcats

So far this year, eight out of Villanova’s 19 Big East games with an over/under have hit the over. The Wildcats are 218th in the country in points scored (69.9 per game) and 112th in points conceded (67.8). In 2022-23, Villanova is 325th in the country in rebounds (28.7 per game) and 73rd in rebounds allowed (29.3).

At home the Wildcats are putting up 71.3 points per game, four more than they are averaging away (67.3). Beyond the arc, Villanova is 56th in college basketball in 3-pointers made per game (8.6). It is 219th in 3-point percentage at 33.6%. In 2022-23, the Wildcats are 240th in college basketball in 3-pointers conceded (7.7 per game) and 187th in defensive 3-point percentage (33.9%).

The Wildcats are 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their last 10 contests. Villanova has hit the over in four of its past 10 outings. Villanova is posting 68.2 points per contest over its previous 10 games, which is 1.7 fewer points than its average for the season (69.9). Over their past 10 games, the Wildcats are allowing 66.5 points per game, compared to their season average of 67.8 points allowed.

UConn vs. Villanova Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is UConn, and we project that UConn will cover the spread (UConn -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 138.5 points.

BetMGM First Bet Offer up to $1000
First Bet Offer

How to bet UConn vs. Villanova

You can bet on UConn vs. Villanova at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s UConn vs. Villanova picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

Deals of the Day

See All