UConn vs Providence Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Thursday, March 9, 2023

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The No. 4 seed UConn Huskies (24-7, 13-7 Big East) take on the No. 5 seed Providence Friars (21-10, 13-7 Big East) in the Big East Tournament Thursday at Madison Square Garden, tipping off at 2:30 PM. Both teams will try to get one step closer to earning an automatic place in the NCAA Tournament bracket.

UConn is a 6-point favorite against Providence when the Huskies face off with the Friars on Thursday. The game has an over/under of 143.5.

UConn vs. Providence Odds

Point Spread for UConn vs. Providence

The spread for this matchup is set at 6 points, with sportsbooks listing UConn as the favorite.

UConn vs. Providence Moneyline

As for the moneyline, UConn has -272 odds to pick up the win, while Providence is listed at +225 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 143.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, March 9, 2023
  • Game Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: Fox Sports 1
  • Location: New York City, New York
  • Arena: Madison Square Garden

UConn vs. Providence Betting Trends

UConn is 19-11-0 against the spread this season. The Huskies have been chosen as favorites in 26 games this year and have walked away with the win 20 times (76.9%) in those games. UConn’s games this year have hit the over on 18 of 31 set point totals.

Against the spread, Providence is 18-13-0 this season. The Friars have gone 5-7 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 41.7% of those games). Providence’s games this season have hit the over on 17 of 31 set point totals (54.8%).

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UConn vs. Providence Key Players to Watch

UConn

Adama Sanogo paces the Huskies with 16.9 points per game and 7.2 rebounds, while also putting up 1.3 assists. Jordan Hawkins posts 16.4 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game. Defensively, he delivers 0.8 steals and 0.6 blocked shots. Tristen Newton averages a team-best 4.5 assists per game. He is also putting up 10.1 points and 4.2 rebounds, shooting 38% from the floor and 35.1% from downtown with 1.1 made 3-pointers per game. Andre Jackson posts 6.8 points, 6.4 rebounds and 4.3 assists per game. At the other end, he delivers 1 steal and 0.6 blocked shots.

Providence

Bryce Hopkins is posting team highs in points (16.1 per game) and rebounds (8.5). And he is producing 2.3 assists, making 45.9% of his shots from the floor. Devin Carter gives the Friars 13.3 points, 5 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game. He also averages 1.7 steals and 1.1 blocked shots. Ed Croswell is putting up 13.4 points, 7.7 rebounds and 0.7 assists per contest, making 61.2% of his shots from the field. Jared Bynum is the Friars’ top assist man (4.4 per game), and he puts up 10.1 points and 2.5 rebounds.

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What you need to know about the UConn Huskies

A total of 11 out of UConn’s 20 Big East games this season have hit the over. On offense, the Huskies are putting up 79 points per game (29th-ranked in college basketball). They are surrendering 64.8 points per contest at the other end of the court (40th-ranked). UConn has been getting things done in terms of rebounding this season, ranking 12th-best in college basketball in boards per game (36.1) and sixth-best in rebounds allowed per contest (26.5).

So far this year, UConn is sinking 8.9 threes per game (37th-ranked in college basketball) and is shooting 35.6% (103rd-ranked) from beyond the arc. The Huskies are dominating when it comes to defending against three-pointers, as they rank second-best in college basketball in treys allowed (4.7 per game) and 13th-best in three-point percentage allowed (29.7%).

The Huskies have gone 8-2 over their past 10 games, with a 7-3 record against the spread during that span. UConn has hit the over in five of its last 10 contests. In its last 10 games, UConn has been racking up 78.2 points per game, an average that’s slightly lower than the 79 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. UConn has been more porous on defense as of late, giving up 67.6 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 64.8 points per game its opponents average over the 2022-23 season.

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What you need to know about the Providence Friars

Providence has compiled a 13-7-0 record against the spread in conference play this year. The Friars are 37th in college basketball in points scored (78.5 per game) and 217th in points conceded (71.3). In 2022-23, Providence is 24th-best in the country in rebounds (35.5 per game) and 69th in rebounds conceded (29.2).

Providence makes 6.7 3-pointers per game and shoots 35.5% from beyond the arc, ranking 258th and 107th, respectively, in the nation. Defensively, the Friars are 113th in the nation in 3-pointers conceded per game at 6.7. They are 167th in 3-point percentage allowed at 33.5%.

The Friars are 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall in their last 10 games. Providence has gone over the total in seven of its last 10 contests. While Providence is scoring 78.5 points per game in 2022-23, it has fallen short of that over its past 10 games, amassing 77.8 points per contest. In their previous 10 games, the Friars are allowing 77.4 points per game, 6.1 more points than their season average (71.3).

UConn vs. Providence Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is UConn, and we expect that UConn will cover the spread (UConn -6). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 143.5 points.

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How to bet UConn vs. Providence

You can bet on UConn vs. Providence at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s UConn vs. Providence picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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