UCLA vs Gonzaga Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Thursday, March 23, 2023

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This Sweet 16 battle features the No. 2 seed UCLA Bruins (31-5) hitting the court against the No. 3 seed Gonzaga Bulldogs (30-5) on Thursday at T-Mobile Arena. It tips off at 9:45 PM, with the winner advancing to the West Region bracket final.

The Bruins are currently slight 1-point favorites over the Bulldogs. The matchup’s over/under is 145.5.

UCLA vs. Gonzaga Odds

Point Spread for UCLA vs. Gonzaga

The spread for this matchup is set at 1 point, with sportsbooks listing UCLA as the favorite.

UCLA vs. Gonzaga Moneyline

As for the moneyline, UCLA has -117 odds to pick up the win, while Gonzaga is listed at -104 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 145.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, March 23, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:45 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Arena: T-Mobile Arena

UCLA vs. Gonzaga Betting Trends

UCLA is 20-15-1 against the spread this season. The Bruins have been favorites in 32 games this season and have come away with the win 30 times (93.8%) in those contests. UCLA’s games this year have hit the over on 18 of 34 set point totals.

In Gonzaga’s 34 games this season, it has 14 wins against the spread. The Bulldogs have won two of the four games they were listed as the moneyline underdog this season (50%). Gonzaga’s games this season have gone over the total in 20 of 34 opportunities (58.8%).

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UCLA vs. Gonzaga Key Players to Watch

UCLA

Jaime Jaquez Jr. paces the Bruins with 17.5 points per game and 8.1 rebounds, while also averaging 2.3 assists. Tyger Campbell is tops on his squad in assists per game (4.8), and also puts up 13.4 points and 2.6 rebounds. Defensively, he delivers 1.2 steals and 0 blocked shots. Jaylen Clark puts up 13 points, 6 rebounds and 1.9 assists per contest. Defensively, he delivers 2.6 steals (fifth in the nation) and 0.3 blocked shots. Adem Bona posts 7.7 points, 5.3 rebounds and 0.7 assists per contest, shooting 67.5% from the floor.

Gonzaga

Drew Timme is No. 1 on the Bulldogs in scoring (21.1 points per game), rebounding (7.3) and assists (3.1), shooting 62.1% from the floor. He also delivers 0.7 steals and 1 block. The Bulldogs receive 11.3 points, 6.1 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game from Anton Watson. The Bulldogs get 15.3 points, 6.1 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game from Julian Strawther. Rasir Bolton gets the Bulldogs 10.5 points, 1.9 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game. He also delivers 0.9 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the UCLA Bruins

The Bruins have been led by their defense, as they rank sixth-best in college basketball by allowing just 60.2 points per game. They rank 120th in college basketball in points scored (74.1 per contest). So far this year, UCLA is averaging 32.4 boards per game (135th-ranked in college basketball) and allowing 28.9 rebounds per contest (52nd-ranked).

UCLA is making 6.1 threes per game (311th-ranked in college basketball) this year, while owning a 34.8% three-point percentage (146th-ranked). The Bruins rank 83rd in the country with 6.5 three-pointers allowed per game so far this season. Meanwhile, they rank 38th with a 31% shooting percentage allowed from downtown.

The Bruins have a 6-3-1 record against the spread while finishing 9-1 overall in their past 10 games. In its past 10 contests, UCLA has gone over the total six times. UCLA has been scoring 74.5 points per contest in its last 10 times on the court, an average that’s a little higher than the 74.1 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. UCLA’s defense has been more porous lately, as the team has given up 60.6 points per game over its last 10 compared to the 60.2 points per game its opponents are averaging on the season.

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What you need to know about the Gonzaga Bulldogs

On offense, the Bulldogs are the best team in college basketball (87.3 points per game). On defense, they are 268th (73.1 points conceded per game). Gonzaga collects 33.9 rebounds per game and concede 28.3 boards, ranking 57th and 33rd, respectively, in college basketball.

Beyond the arc, Gonzaga is 134th in the nation in 3-pointers made per game (7.7). It is eighth-best in 3-point percentage at 38.7%. Giving up 8.2 3-pointers per game and conceding 34.7% from beyond the arc, the Bulldogs are 290th and 247th in college basketball, respectively, in those categories.

The Bulldogs have gone 10-0 over their past 10 games, with a 5-5 record against the spread during that span. In its past 10 games, Gonzaga has hit the over seven times. Over its previous 10 games, Gonzaga is averaging 89.8 points per game, 2.5 more than its season average (87.3). In their previous 10 games, the Bulldogs are allowing 71.4 points per game, compared to their season average of 73.1 points allowed.

UCLA vs. Gonzaga Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is UCLA, and we project that Gonzaga will cover the spread (UCLA -1). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 145.5 points.

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How to bet UCLA vs. Gonzaga

You can bet on UCLA vs. Gonzaga at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s UCLA vs. Gonzaga picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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