Old Dominion vs Texas State Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Thursday, March 2, 2023

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The Old Dominion Monarchs (19-11, 11-7 Sun Belt) will attempt to build on a three-game winning streak when hosting the Texas State Bobcats (14-18, 6-12 Sun Belt) on Thursday, March 2, 2023 at Pensacola Bay Center. It airs at 6:00 PM ET on ESPN+.

Thursday’s matchup between the Monarchs and the Bobcats features the Monarchs as 4-point favorites. The matchup’s point total is 130.

Old Dominion vs. Texas State Odds

Point Spread for Old Dominion vs. Texas State

The spread for this matchup is set at 4 points, with bookmakers listing Old Dominion as the favorite.

Old Dominion vs. Texas State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Old Dominion has -191 odds to pick up the win, while Texas State is listed at +160 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 130 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, March 2, 2023
  • Game Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Pensacola, Florida
  • Arena: Pensacola Bay Center

Old Dominion vs. Texas State Betting Trends

Against the spread, Old Dominion is 16-13-0 this year. The Monarchs have been chosen as favorites in 15 games this year and have walked away with the win 11 times (73.3%) in those games. Old Dominion has hit the over in 37.9% of its opportunities this year (11 times over 29 games with a set point total).

Texas State is 10-18-1 against the spread this season. The Bobcats are 5-12 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 29.4% of those games). Texas State’s games this year have hit the over on 18 of 29 set point totals (62.1%).

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Old Dominion vs. Texas State Key Players to Watch

Old Dominion

Mekhi Long leads the Monarchs at 8.7 rebounds per contest, while also averaging 1.2 assists and 10.9 points. Tyreek Scott-Grayson posts 13.6 points, 4.7 rebounds and 2.6 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1 steal and 0.5 blocked shots. Dericko Williams posts 5.9 points, 5.8 rebounds and 0.4 assists per contest, shooting 41.1% from the floor.

Texas State

Tyler Morgan is the Bobcats’ top rebounder (6.1 per game), and he delivers 9.1 points and 1.6 assists. The Bobcats receive 9.5 points, 6.2 rebounds and 1.1 assists per game from Nighael Ceaser. Nate Martin gives the Bobcats 7.9 points, 4.9 rebounds and 0.8 assists per contest. He also delivers 0.4 steals and 0.8 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Old Dominion Monarchs

Old Dominion has compiled an 11-7-0 conference record against the spread this season. On offense, the Monarchs are putting up 67.9 points per game (275th-ranked in college basketball). They are allowing 66.2 points per contest on defense (70th-ranked). Old Dominion is pulling down 34.9 boards per game (32nd-ranked in college basketball). It is allowing 30.5 rebounds per contest (144th-ranked).

Old Dominion has found it difficult to rack up threes, ranking 18th-worst in college basketball with 5.4 threes made per game. It ranks 305th with a 31.8% shooting percentage from beyond the arc this season. With 7.4 three-pointers conceded per game, the Monarchs are 204th in the nation. They are giving up a 31.2% shooting percentage from beyond the arc, which ranks 47th in college basketball.

The Monarchs are 7-3 against the spread and 8-2 overall over their last 10 contests. Old Dominion has gone over the total in four of its past 10 contests. Old Dominion has been racking up 67.7 points per contest in its last 10 times on the court, an average that’s a little lower than the 67.9 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 campaign. Old Dominion’s defense has been tougher lately, as the team has given up 65.7 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 66.2 points per game its opponents average this season.

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What you need to know about the Texas State Bobcats

So far this season, 11 out of Texas State’s 19 Sun Belt games with an over/under have gone over the point total. The Bobcats score 66.1 points per game and allow 67.7, making them 319th in the nation offensively and 108th on defense. In 2022-23, Texas State is 284th in the country in rebounds (29.8 per game) and 29th in rebounds allowed (28).

Texas State is the -2-worst squad in the nation in 3-pointers made (4.3 per game) and 19th-worst in 3-point percentage (30.5%). Giving up 6.3 3-pointers per game and conceding 36.4% from beyond the arc, the Bobcats are 62nd and 325th in the nation, respectively, in those categories.

The Bobcats have gone 3-7 over their last 10 games, with a 3-7 record against the spread in that span. Nine of Texas State’s last 10 contests have hit the over. Texas State has fared better offensively over its past 10 games, averaging 68.9 points per contest, 2.8 more than its season average of 66.1. While the Bobcats are ceding 67.7 points per game in 2022-23, they have been worse in their past 10 games, allowing 73.7 points per contest.

Old Dominion vs. Texas State Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is Old Dominion, and we predict that Old Dominion will cover the spread (Old Dominion -4). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 130 points.

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How to bet Old Dominion vs. Texas State

You can bet on Old Dominion vs. Texas State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Old Dominion vs. Texas State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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