Kentucky vs Kansas State Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Sunday, March 19, 2023

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The No. 6 seed Kentucky Wildcats (22-11) take to the court against the No. 3 seed Kansas State Wildcats (24-9) with a Sweet 16 spot in the East Region of the bracket on the line on Sunday at Greensboro Coliseum.

Sunday’s matchup between the Kentucky Wildcats and the Kansas State Wildcats features the Kentucky Wildcats as small 2.5-point favorites. A 143.5-point total has been set for the matchup.

Kentucky vs. Kansas State Odds

Point Spread for Kentucky vs. Kansas State

The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with bookmakers listing Kentucky as the favorite.

Kentucky vs. Kansas State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Kentucky has -156 odds to pick up the win, while Kansas State is listed at +133 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 143.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, March 19, 2023
  • Game Time: 2:40 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Greensboro, North Carolina
  • Arena: Greensboro Coliseum

Kentucky vs. Kansas State Betting Trends

Kentucky has 16 wins against the spread in 33 games this season. The Kentucky Wildcats have won in 15, or 65.2%, of the 23 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. Kentucky’s games this year have gone over the point total 60.6% of the time (20 out of 33 games with a set point total).

Kansas State is 22-11-0 against the spread this season. The Kansas State Wildcats have won five of the 14 games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (35.7%). Kansas State’s games this season have eclipsed the over/under 17 times in 33 opportunities (51.5%).

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Kentucky vs. Kansas State Key Players to Watch


Oscar Tshiebwe averages 16.2 points and 13.5 rebounds per game — both team highs. He is also putting up 1.6 assists, shooting 55.8% from the floor. Jacob Toppin is averaging 12.7 points, 2.2 assists and 6.9 rebounds per contest. Cason Wallace is tops on his team in assists per contest (4.3), and also totals 11.4 points and 3.5 rebounds. At the other end, he totals 2 steals and 0.5 blocked shots. Antonio Reeves is averaging 14.6 points, 1.1 assists and 2.1 rebounds per contest.

Kansas State

Markquis Nowell is posting a team-leading 7.8 assists per game. And he is delivering 16.8 points and 3.6 rebounds, making 38.3% of his shots from the field and 35% from 3-point range, with 2.4 triples per game. Keyontae Johnson tops the Kansas State Wildcats in scoring (17.7 points per game) and rebounding (7.1), and averages 2.2 assists. He also puts up 1.1 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. Nae’Qwan Tomlin gives the Kansas State Wildcats 10.2 points, 5.8 rebounds and 1.2 assists per game. He also puts up 1.2 steals and 0.8 blocked shots. The Kansas State Wildcats receive 8.7 points, 3.6 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game from Desi Sills.

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What you need to know about the Kentucky Wildcats

With 74.6 points per game on offense, the Kentucky Wildcats rank 109th in college basketball. At the other end, they allow 67.6 points per contest, which ranks 102nd in college basketball. Kentucky has been thriving when it comes to rebounding this year, ranking ninth-best in the nation in boards per game (36.5) and ninth-best in boards allowed per contest (26.9).

So far this season, Kentucky is draining 6.3 three-pointers per game (289th-ranked in college basketball) and is shooting 35.2% (117th-ranked) from beyond the arc. The Kentucky Wildcats are ceding 6.6 three-pointers per game (100th-ranked in college basketball). They are allowing opponents to shoot 32.7% (111th-ranked) from beyond the arc.

The Kentucky Wildcats have a 6-4 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall in their last 10 games. Six of Kentucky’s past 10 games have hit the over. Kentucky’s offense has been less productive over its last 10 games, racking up 73.4 points a contest compared to the 74.6 it has averaged this year. Kentucky’s defense has been less stingy as of late, as the team has allowed 69.3 points per game during its last 10 compared to the 67.6 points per game its opponents average on the season.

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What you need to know about the Kansas State Wildcats

In 2022-23, the Kansas State Wildcats are 84th in college basketball offensively (75.5 points scored per game) and 141st on defense (68.9 points allowed). On the glass, Kansas State is 149th in the nation in rebounds (32.2 per game). It is 96th in rebounds conceded (29.9 per game).

With 7 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 33.9% from downtown, Kansas State is 220th and 190th in the country, respectively, in those categories. The Kansas State Wildcats are 64th in college basketball in 3-pointers allowed (6.3 per game) and 15th-best in 3-point percentage defensively (30%).

The Kansas State Wildcats have a 6-4 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall in their past 10 contests. In its past 10 contests, Kansas State has gone over the total four times. Kansas State has fared worse offensively over its last 10 games, compiling 72.9 points per contest, 2.6 fewer points its than season average of 75.5. Over their past 10 games, the Kansas State Wildcats are giving up 70.2 points per contest, 1.3 more points than their season average (68.9).

Kentucky vs. Kansas State Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is Kentucky, and we predict that Kansas State will cover the spread (Kentucky -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 143.5 points.

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How to bet Kentucky vs. Kansas State

You can bet on Kentucky vs. Kansas State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Kentucky vs. Kansas State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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