Arkansas vs Auburn Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Thursday, March 9, 2023

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The No. 10 seed Arkansas Razorbacks (19-12, 8-10 SEC) will square off in the SEC Tournament against the No. 7 seed Auburn Tigers (20-11, 10-8 SEC) on Thursday at Bridgestone Arena, starting at 7:00 PM.

Thursday’s matchup between the Razorbacks and the Tigers features the Razorbacks as moderate 3-point favorites. The matchup’s over/under is 144.

Arkansas vs. Auburn Odds

Point Spread for Arkansas vs. Auburn

The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with sportsbooks listing Arkansas as the favorite.

Arkansas vs. Auburn Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Arkansas has -159 odds to pick up the win, while Auburn is listed at +136 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 144 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, March 9, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: SEC Network
  • Location: Nashville, Tennessee
  • Arena: Bridgestone Arena

Arkansas vs. Auburn Betting Trends

Arkansas has 15 wins against the spread in 31 games this season. The Razorbacks have been chosen as favorites in 23 games this year and have walked away with the win 17 times (73.9%) in those games. Arkansas has hit the over in 41.9% of its opportunities this year (13 times over 31 games with a set point total).

Auburn has played 31 games, with 15 wins, against the spread. The Tigers have been the underdog on the moneyline a total of six times this season, and they’ve lost all of those games. Auburn’s games this year have gone over the total in 18 of 31 opportunities (58.1%).

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Arkansas vs. Auburn Key Players to Watch

Arkansas

Anthony Black paces the Razorbacks at 4.2 assists per game, while also averaging 5.1 rebounds and 12.8 points. Ricky Council IV paces his team in both points (16.5) and assists (2.4) per game, and also averages 3.4 rebounds. At the other end, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. Davonte Davis puts up 10.8 points, 4 rebounds and 2.7 assists per contest. Defensively, he posts 1.4 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. Makhi Mitchell paces his squad in rebounds per game (5.5), and also puts up 6.7 points and 1.1 assists. At the other end, he averages 0.8 steals and 1.4 blocked shots.

Auburn

Johni Broome is No. 1 on the Tigers in scoring (14 points per game) and rebounding (8.4), and puts up 1.4 assists. He also averages 0.9 steals and 2.4 blocked shots. Wendell Green Jr. is the Tigers’ top assist man (4.2 per game), and he puts up 13.9 points and 3.5 rebounds. Jaylin Williams gets the Tigers 11.2 points, 5 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game. He also puts up 1.1 steals and 0.8 blocked shots. The Tigers get 9.9 points, 4.7 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game from Allen Flanigan.

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What you need to know about the Arkansas Razorbacks

Arkansas has put together a 7-11-0 ATS record in conference games so far this year. Offensively, the Razorbacks are posting 74.8 points per game (109th-ranked in college basketball). They are giving up 67.2 points per contest on defense (95th-ranked). With 32.5 boards per game, Arkansas is 131st in college basketball. It surrenders 29.4 rebounds per contest, which ranks 81st in college basketball.

Arkansas is making 5.2 threes per game (14th-worst in college basketball), and it owns a 32.1% three-point percentage (294th-ranked). The Razorbacks rank ninth-best in the country by giving up 5.3 threes per game. In terms of three-point percentage allowed, they rank 34th in college basketball at 30.9%.

The Razorbacks are 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall in their last 10 contests. In its past 10 contests, Arkansas has hit the over seven times. Arkansas has seen an uptick in scoring recently, racking up 75.4 points per game in its last 10 outings, 0.6 points more than the 74.8 it has scored this year. Arkansas has been slightly suspect on the defensive end of the floor of late, giving up 71.7 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 67.2 it has conceded this season.

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What you need to know about the Auburn Tigers

In Auburn’s 18 chances this year in SEC play, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 10 times. In 2022-23, the Tigers are 157th in college basketball on offense (72.7 points scored per game) and 80th on defense (66.8 points conceded). In 2022-23, Auburn is 88th in the nation in rebounds (33.3 per game) and 221st in rebounds allowed (31.7).

Auburn makes 6.5 3-pointers per game and shoots 31.4% from beyond the arc, ranking 278th and 322nd, respectively, in college basketball. The Tigers are the 16th-best squad in the country in 3-pointers conceded (5.6 per game) and sixth-best in 3-point percentage defensively (28.8%).

The Tigers have gone 4-6 over their past 10 games, with a 5-5 record against the spread during that span. Auburn has gone over the total in five of its last 10 contests. While Auburn is posting 72.7 points per game in 2022-23, it has improved that mark over its last 10 games, producing 73.4 a contest. While the Tigers are ceding 66.8 points per game in 2022-23, they have been worse over their last 10 games, allowing 72.2 points per contest.

Arkansas vs. Auburn Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this game is Arkansas, and we expect that Auburn will cover the spread (Arkansas -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 144 points.

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How to bet Arkansas vs. Auburn

You can bet on Arkansas vs. Auburn at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Arkansas vs. Auburn picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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