Texas A&M vs Alabama Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Saturday, March 4, 2023

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The Alabama Crimson Tide (26-4, 16-1 SEC) hope to extend a four-game winning streak when visiting the Texas A&M Aggies (22-8, 14-3 SEC) at 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, March 4, 2023 at Reed Arena. The matchup airs on CBS.

Saturday’s matchup between the Aggies and the Crimson Tide features the Aggies as tight 1-point favorites. The matchup’s over/under is 154.

Texas A&M vs. Alabama Odds

Point Spread for Texas A&M vs. Alabama

The spread for this matchup is set at 1 point, with oddsmakers listing Texas A&M as the favorite.

Texas A&M vs. Alabama Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Texas A&M has -122 odds to pick up the win, while Alabama is listed at +101 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 154 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: College Station, Texas
  • Arena: Reed Arena

Texas A&M vs. Alabama Betting Trends

Texas A&M has played 30 games, with 20 wins against the spread. The Aggies have come away with 19 wins in the 23 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season. Texas A&M’s games this year have gone over the point total 15 times in 30 opportunities (50%).

Alabama has played 30 games, with 17 wins, against the spread. The Crimson Tide have compiled a 2-1 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 66.7% of those games). Alabama’s games this year have gone over the point total 50% of the time (15 out of 30 games with a set point total).

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Texas A&M vs. Alabama Key Players to Watch

Texas A&M

Tyrece Radford is posting 13 points, 2.4 assists and 5.4 rebounds per game. Dexter Dennis posts a team-high 5.7 rebounds per game. He is also posting 8.9 points and 1.2 assists, shooting 39.2% from the field and 29.7% from downtown with 1.2 made 3-pointers per game. Henry Coleman III is posting 9.5 points, 1 assists and 5.6 rebounds per contest.

Alabama

Brandon Miller is the Crimson Tide’s top scorer (19.6 points per game) and assist man (1.8), and posts 8 rebounds. Mark Sears is averaging 13.5 points, 3.5 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game, making 43.4% of his shots from the field and 38.3% from 3-point range, with 2.1 triples per game. Noah Clowney is the Crimson Tide’s top rebounder (8.2 per game), and he delivers 10 points and 0.8 assists. Charles Bediako gets the Crimson Tide 5.7 points, 5.6 rebounds and 0.6 assists per game. He also averages 0.6 steals and 1.6 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Texas A&M Aggies

Texas A&M has won 12 games against the spread in conference play this season, while failing to cover five times. The Aggies are scoring 73.5 points per game (135th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while allowing 65.7 points per contest (62nd-ranked). Texas A&M is averaging 34.2 rebounds per game (47th-ranked in college basketball). It is ceding 28 rebounds per contest (28th-ranked).

At home, the Aggies are posting 0.2 fewer points per game (73.5) than they are in road games (73.7). So far this year, Texas A&M is sinking 6.2 threes per game (299th-ranked in college basketball) and is shooting 32.7% (262nd-ranked) from three-point land. The Aggies are surrendering 8.1 treys per game (283rd-ranked in college basketball) this season, while allowing a 32.8% three-point percentage (113th-ranked).

The Aggies have a 7-3 record against the spread while going 8-2 overall over their past 10 games. Four of Texas A&M’s past 10 contests have gone over the total. Texas A&M has been scoring 71.1 points per contest in its last 10 appearances, an average that’s slightly lower than the 73.5 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 campaign. Texas A&M has been a little improved on the defensive end of the floor recently, allowing 65.3 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 65.7 it has surrendered per game this year.

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What you need to know about the Alabama Crimson Tide

Alabama is 11-6-0 ATS in conference action this season. The Crimson Tide are the fourth-best squad in the country in points scored (83.6 per game) and 164th in points conceded (69.6). Alabama is the best squad in the country in rebounds per game (40.8) and is ranked 305th in rebounds conceded (33.1).

The Crimson Tide average 89.5 points per game at home, and 74.8 on the road. Alabama is the 10th-best team in college basketball in 3-pointers made (10.1 per game) and 174th in 3-point percentage (34.5%). The Crimson Tide are the 19th-best team in the nation in 3-pointers allowed (5.7 per game) and fourth-best in 3-point percentage defensively (28.5%).

The Crimson Tide are 4-6 against the spread and 8-2 overall over their last 10 games. In its past 10 games, Alabama has gone over the total six times. Over its last 10 games, Alabama is putting up 84.4 points per contest, 0.8 more than its season average (83.6). The Crimson Tide have fared worse defensively in their last 10 games, surrendering 71.5 points per contest, 1.9 more points their than season average of 69.6.

Texas A&M vs. Alabama Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this game is Alabama, and we project that Alabama will cover the spread (Texas A&M -1). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 154 points.

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How to bet Texas A&M vs. Alabama

You can bet on Texas A&M vs. Alabama at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Texas A&M vs. Alabama picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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