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On Sunday, October 16, 2022, the New England Patriots (2-3) go on the road to meet the Cleveland Browns (2-3) at FirstEnergy Stadium.
Browns vs. Patriots Odds
Point Spread
The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with sportsbooks listing the Browns as the favorites.
Moneyline
As for the moneyline, the Browns have -140 odds to pick up the win, while the Patriots are listed at +120 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the total for the game is set at 43 points.
Game Info
How to Watch Browns vs. Patriots Live?
- Game Day: Sunday, October 16, 2022
- Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: CBS
- Location: Cleveland, Ohio
- Stadium: FirstEnergy Stadium
Betting Preview
Browns
The Browns have the 20th-ranked defense this year (353.8 yards allowed per game), and they’ve been better on offense, ranking fourth-best with 396.4 yards per game. The Browns are totaling 26.6 points per game on offense this year (sixth in NFL), and they are surrendering 25.0 points per game (24th) on defense.
The Browns are putting up 204.0 passing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 24th in the NFL. On defense, they rank 14th, giving up 215.6 passing yards per contest. While the Browns rank fifth-worst in the NFL in rushing defense with 138.2 rushing yards allowed per game, it’s been a different story offensively, as they rank best in the NFL (192.4 rushing yards per game).
The Browns rank 12th in third-down defense this year (35.2% third-down percentage allowed), but they’ve been thriving on offense, ranking fifth-best in the NFL with a 44.3% third-down percentage. This season, the Browns are accumulating 5.7 yards per play (12th in the league), while allowing 6.0 per play on the defensive side of the ball (25th in the NFL). With four forced turnovers (26th in NFL) against four turnovers committed (fourth in NFL), the Browns (0) own the 17th-ranked turnover margin in the league.
Patriots
The Patriots rank 17th with 345.8 total yards per contest on offense, and they rank 15th with 339.8 total yards given up per game on the defensive side of the ball. With 20.6 points per game on the offensive side of the ball, the Patriots rank 19th in the NFL. On defense, they rank 12th, allowing 19.6 points per game.
The Patriots are compiling 207.8 passing yards per game on offense this season (21st-ranked). Meanwhile, they are surrendering 211.0 passing yards per game (11th-ranked) on defense. The Patriots rank ninth in the NFL with 138.0 rushing yards per contest on offense, and they rank 21st with 128.8 rushing yards surrendered per game on the defensive side of the ball.
From an offensive standpoint, the Patriots are posting a 38.2% third-down conversion rate (20th-ranked). They rank 23rd in the NFL defensively (43.9% third-down rate allowed). With 5.8 yards per play on offense, the Patriots rank ninth in the NFL. Defensively they rank 15th, giving up 5.5 yards per play. At -2, the Patriots sport the 22nd-ranked turnover margin in the NFL, with eight forced turnovers (eighth in NFL) and 10 turnovers committed (28th in NFL).
Browns vs. Patriots Injury Report
Browns
| Player | Pos. | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deion Jones | ILB | Shoulder | Questionable |
| Joe Haeg | OT | Concussion | Out |
| Denzel Ward | CB | Concussion | Out |
| Jadeveon Clowney | DE | Leg | Out |
Patriots
| Player | Pos. | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nelson Agholor | WR | Hamstring | Out |
| Jonathan Jones | CB | Ankle | Out |
| Lawrence Guy | FB | Shoulder | Questionable |
| Jonnu Smith | TE | Ankle | Questionable |
| Mac Jones | QB | Ankle | Questionable |
| Damien Harris | RB | Hamstring | Questionable |
| Christian Barmore | FB | Knee | Questionable |
| Josh Uche | LB | Hamstring | Out |
| Jakobi Meyers | WR | Knee | Questionable |
| Raekwon McMillan | LB | Thumb | Questionable |
Browns vs. Patriots Betting Analysis
Browns Betting Insights
The Browns have covered the spread three times this season (3-2-0). The Browns are 1-1 ATS when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites.
This season, four Browns games have gone over the point total. The Browns won seven of the nine games they were the moneyline favorite last season (77.8%).
The Browns went 5-2 last year (winning 71.4% of their games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -140 or shorter.
Patriots Betting Insights
The Patriots have covered the spread twice over five games with a set spread. The Patriots are 1-2 ATS when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs.
Games involving the Patriots have hit the over twice this year. This season, the Patriots have been listed as the underdog in three games and failed to win any of those contests.
The Patriots have not won as an underdog of +120 or more on the moneyline this season in two such games.
Browns vs. Patriots Against The Spread & Betting Records
Browns
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 42.9 | 41.3 | 45.3 |
| Implied Total AVG | 23.0 | 22.7 | 23.5 |
| ATS Record | 3-2-0 | 2-1-0 | 1-1-0 |
| Over/Under Record | 4-1-0 | 3-0-0 | 1-1-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 1-1 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
Patriots
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 43.7 | 46.3 | 42.0 |
| Implied Total AVG | 24.2 | 24.5 | 24.0 |
| ATS Record | 2-2-1 | 1-1-0 | 1-1-1 |
| Over/Under Record | 2-3-0 | 1-1-0 | 1-2-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 2-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 |
Players to Watch
Browns
- On the ground, Nick Chubb averages 6.1 yards per attempt (sixth in the NFL) and 118.6 yards per game for 593 total rushing yards (first in the NFL). He has scored seven rushing touchdowns this season.
- Jacoby Brissett has thrown for 1,060 yards, five touchdowns and three interceptions this year. He averages 265.0 yards per game and 6.6 per attempt, while completing 64.0%.
- He’s also rushed for 112 yards (third on the Browns) and added one touchdown on the ground, while averaging 28.0 rushing yards per game.
- In five games, Kareem Hunt has picked up 247 yards on the ground, averaging 49.4 yards per game and scoring two touchdowns.
- Hunt has gotten 16 targets in the passing game and has 14 catches (2.8 per game) for 83 yards (16.6 per game) and one TD.
- Amari Cooper has racked up 304 receiving yards and three touchdowns (seventh in the NFL) with 27 catches on 43 targets. He is averaging 5.4 receptions and 60.8 yards per game.
- On the defensive side for the Browns, Denzel Ward has powered the unit with 20 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one interception in 2022.
- John Johnson has 29 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 0.5 sacks this season.
- This season, Jacob Phillips has recorded 2.0 sacks (second on the Browns) to go along with his 2.0 TFL and 29 tackles.
- This season, Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah has 28 tackles and 3.0 TFL. He’s third on the Browns in tackles.
Patriots
- Rhamondre Stevenson averages 74.4 rushing yards per game this year (372 total yards), while scoring one rushing touchdown.
- Stevenson’s offensive contributions include 13 receptions (2.6 per game) on 16 targets for 71 yards (14.2 per game), though he has not scored a touchdown through the air.
- Damien Harris has scored three rushing touchdowns, while totaling 257 rushing yards (4.5 per attempt and 51.4 per game).
- Through three games this season, Mac Jones has totaled 786 passing yards, while throwing two touchdowns against five interceptions and completing 66.0% of his passes.
- He’s added 37 yards on the ground (third on the Patriots), with one rushing touchdown. He’s averaging 12.3 yards per game and 2.6 per attempt.
- Jakobi Meyers has been targeted 27 times, resulting in 20 catches for 261 yards .
- Matthew Judon has put up 6.0 sacks (first on the Patriots and first in the NFL) to go with 3.0 TFL and 18 tackles over five games in 2022.
- Deatrich Wise has 21 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and 4.0 sacks. He is fourth on the Patriots in tackles.
- Over the 2022 season, Jonathan Jones has 19 tackles and one interception in five games.
- Jack Jones has intercepted two passes in addition to 12 tackles and three passes defended. He’s seventh in the league in interceptions.
Browns vs. Patriots Predictions and Pick
Our prediction to win this game is the Patriots, and we project that Patriots will cover the spread (Browns -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 43 points.
How to Bet on Browns vs. Patriots
You can bet on Browns vs. Patriots at every legal online sportsbook. For more NFL odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NFL prop odds, check out the latest NFL lines as well as our guide to the best NFL betting sites.
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