Lions vs. Jaguars Prediction: Week 13 Odds, Picks & Moneyline – December 4, 2022

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The Jacksonville Jaguars (4-7) travel to Ford Field on Sunday, December 4, 2022 to play the Detroit Lions (4-7).

Lions vs. Jaguars Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 1 point, with bookmakers listing the Lions as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Lions have -115 odds to pick up the win, while the Jaguars are listed at -105 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 51 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Lions vs. Jaguars Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, December 4, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Detroit, Michigan
  • Stadium: Ford Field

Betting Preview

Lions

Despite sporting a bottom-five defense that ranks worst in the NFL (414.5 yards allowed per game), the Lions have played better offensively, ranking eighth in the NFL by averaging 362.9 yards per game. Despite sporting a bottom-five scoring defense that ranks worst in the NFL (28.2 points allowed per game), the Lions have had more success on offense, ranking eighth in the NFL by averaging 25 points per game.

With 259.9 passing yards allowed per game on defense, which ranks fourth-worst in the NFL, the Lions have had to rely on their 12th-ranked passing offense (233.5 passing yards per contest) to keep them in games. The Lions have the 10th-ranked rushing offense this year (129.5 rushing yards per game), and they’ve been less effective on defense, ranking third-worst with 154.6 rushing yards allowed per game.

Despite having a bottom-five defense on third down that ranks worst in the NFL (50.7% third-down percentage), the Lions have put up better results on the other side of the ball, ranking 14th in the NFL by posting a 40.6% third-down percentage. In addition to 6.3 yards per play allowed on defense, which ranks worst in the NFL, the Lions have put up the seventh-ranked yards-per-play average on offense (5.8). With 14 forced turnovers (14th in NFL) against 14 turnovers committed (16th in NFL), the Lions’ even turnover margin ranks 17th in the NFL.

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Jaguars

The Jaguars are accumulating 359.5 total yards per game on offense this season (ninth-ranked). Meanwhile, they are surrendering 362.9 total yards per contest (24th-ranked). From an offensive standpoint, the Jaguars are putting up 22.2 points per contest (16th-ranked). They rank 14th in the NFL on defense (21.1 points surrendered per game).

The Jaguars rank 13th in the NFL with 229.1 passing yards per contest on offense, and they rank 25th with 248.1 passing yards surrendered per game on defense. The Jaguars rank ninth in the NFL with 130.4 rushing yards per contest on offense, and they rank 15th with 114.8 rushing yards given up per contest on defense.

From an offensive standpoint, the Jaguars are putting up a 41% third-down conversion percentage (12th-ranked). They rank 25th in the NFL on the other side of the ball (43.7% third-down rate allowed). In terms of yards per play, the Jaguars rank 11th in the NFL (5.6) and 20th defensively (5.7 yards allowed per play). After forcing 16 turnovers (seventh in NFL) and turning the ball over 14 times (16th in NFL) this season, the Jaguars sport the eighth-ranked turnover margin of +2.

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Lions vs. Jaguars Injury Report

Lions

Player Pos. Injury Status
Evan Brown C Ankle Out
Julian Okwara LB Elbow Out

Jaguars

Player Pos. Injury Status
Travis Etienne RB Foot Questionable
Darrell Henderson RB Illness Questionable
Zay Jones WR Chest Questionable

Lions vs. Jaguars Betting Analysis

Lions Betting Insights

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The Lions are 7-3-1 against the spread this season. The Lions are winless against the spread when they have played as 1-point favorites or more (0-1).

Games involving the Lions have hit the over seven times this season. The Lions never were listed as the moneyline favorite in a game last season.

The Lions never played a game last season with moneyline odds of -115 or shorter.

Jaguars Betting Insights

The Jaguars have covered the spread four times in 11 games with a set spread. In games they were an underdog in by 1 point or more so far this season, the Jaguars have gone 4-4 against the spread.

This year, Jaguars games have hit the over five times. This season, the Jaguars have been the underdog nine times and won four of those games.

The Jaguars have a record of 4-4 in games where bookmakers have them as underdogs of at least -105 on the moneyline.

Lions vs. Jaguars Against The Spread & Betting Records

Lions

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 49.4 50.3 48.3
Implied Total AVG 26.9 27.3 26.4
ATS Record 7-3-1 4-1-1 3-2-0
Over/Under Record 7-4-0 4-2-0 3-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 0-1 0-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 4-6 2-3 2-3

Jaguars

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 44.3 43.7 45.1
Implied Total AVG 24.3 23.3 25.4
ATS Record 4-7-0 3-3-0 1-4-0
Over/Under Record 5-6-0 1-5-0 4-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 0-2 0-2 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 4-5 3-1 1-4

Players to Watch

Lions

  • Jared Goff ranks ninth in the NFL with 2,682 passing yards in 11 games this year, averaging 243.8 per game with a 63.7% completion percentage and 17 touchdowns (ninth in the NFL) against seven interceptions.
  • Jamaal Williams‘ rushing output this season includes 734 yards and 13 TDs. He’s averaging 66.7 yards per game and 4.1 per attempt (36th in the NFL).
  • In the passing game, Amon-Ra St. Brown, has totaled 716 receiving yards and four touchdowns after grabbing 65 balls (ninth in the NFL) on 88 targets. Per game, he’s averaging 71.6 yards and 6.5 receptions over 10 games.
  • D’Andre Swift has rushed for 292 yards, averaging 36.5 yards per game and scoring three touchdowns.
  • He’s added 24 catches (on 35 targets) for 186 receiving yards with two touchdowns. He’s averaging 23.3 receiving yards and three receptions per game.
  • On the defensive side, Alex Anzalone has 1.5 sacks (fifth on the Lions) to go with two TFL, 84 tackles, and one interception in 2022.
  • DeShon Elliott has four TFL, 72 tackles, and one interception.
  • Jeff Okudah has put up 53 tackles, two TFL, and one interception this year.
  • Malcolm Rodriguez has one sack in addition to his four TFL and 60 tackles on the season.

Jaguars

  • Trevor Lawrence is averaging 6.9 passing yards per attempt (18th in the NFL) and 241.4 yards per game this year, completing 66.5% of his passes on the way to 2,655 total yards, 16 touchdowns and six interceptions through 11 games.
  • He’s added 179 yards on the ground (third on the Jaguars), with three rushing touchdowns. He’s averaging 16.3 yards per game and 4.6 per attempt.
  • Christian Kirk has put together a 2022 stat sheet that includes 56 catches for 725 yards and seven receiving touchdowns (fourth in the NFL) through 11 games played. He has been on the receiving end of 91 targets and is averaging 5.1 receptions per game.
  • So far this season, Marvin Jones Jr. has caught 31 passes for 368 receiving yards with two touchdowns through the air. He has been targeted 53 total times and is averaging 3.1 receptions per game through 10 games played.
  • Evan Engram has 356 receiving yards and one touchdown from 37 receptions after getting 52 targets.
  • So far in 2022, Foyesade Oluokun has put up one sack to go with nine TFL and 113 tackles over 11 games.
  • Rayshawn Jenkins has 65 tackles, one TFL, and one interception. He is third on the Jaguars in tackles.
  • Devin Lloyd has intercepted two passes on top of 74 tackles and seven passes defended in the 2022 season.
  • Josh Allen‘s stat sheet includes 36 tackles, four TFL, three sacks, and one pass defended in 11 games

Lions vs. Jaguars Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is the Lions, and we expect that Lions will cover the spread (Lions -1). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 51 points.

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How to Bet on Lions vs. Jaguars

You can bet on Lions vs. Jaguars at every legal online sportsbook. For more NFL odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NFL prop odds, check out the latest NFL lines as well as our guide to the best NFL betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Lions vs. Jaguars picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Brian Twining

Sports, of all kind, have been a huge part of my life and daily routine for as long as I can remember. My favorite sports to watch are College Basketball, College Football, the NFL, MLB, Nascar, & the FIFA World Cup. My favorite sports to bet on are the NFL, Nascar, College Hoops, and College Football.

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