Bills vs Ravens Prediction: Week 4 Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – October 2022

httpscdn.dataskrive.comapiassetEsVcAofbuffalo bills vs baltimore ravens Betsperts Media & Technology

The Baltimore Ravens (2-1) stay home at M&T Bank Stadium on Sunday, October 2, 2022 to take on the Buffalo Bills (2-1).

Bills vs. Ravens Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with bookmakers listing the Bills as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Bills have -165 odds to pick up the win, while the Ravens are listed at +140 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 51 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Bills vs. Ravens Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, October 2, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Baltimore, Maryland
  • Stadium: M&T Bank Stadium

Betting Preview


The Bills have been surging on both sides of the ball, ranking second-best in total offense (441.3 yards per game) and best in total defense (214.0 yards allowed per game). The Bills have been making things happen on both sides of the ball this year, as they rank third-best in scoring offense (30.3 points per game) and fourth-best in scoring defense (12.7 points allowed per game). The Bills have been making things happen on both sides of the ball in the passing game this season, as they rank best in passing offense (329.0 passing yards per game) and second-best in passing defense (156.3 passing yards allowed per game). The Bills have the 15th-ranked offense this year in terms of rushing yards (112.3 per game), and they’ve been more effective defensively, ranking second-best with just 57.7 rushing yards allowed per game. On the offensive side of the ball, the Bills have been a top-five unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking best in the NFL by averaging a 61.0% third-down percentage. They rank 19th on defense (39.4% third-down percentage allowed). The Bills have been a tough matchup for opposing teams in terms of yards per play, as they rank top-five in both offensive yards per play (fourth-best with 6.2) and yards per play allowed on defense (second-best at 4.1) this season. With seven forced turnovers (fourth in NFL) against five turnovers committed (19th in NFL), the Bills (+2) own the sixth-ranked turnover margin in the NFL.


While the Ravens’ defense has been stuck in neutral, ranking worst by surrendering 457.3 total yards per game, their offense ranks fourth-best with 380.3 total yards per contest. The Ravens’ offense has been consistently moving the chains, accumulating 33.0 points per contest (best) this season. Defensively, they rank 24th by allowing 25.7 points per game. The Ravens’ defense has been a bottom-five unit in pass defense this season, allowing 352.7 passing yards per game, which ranks worst in the NFL. On the offensive side of the ball, they rank 14th with 245.0 passing yards per contest. With 135.3 rushing yards per game on offense, the Ravens rank eighth in the NFL. Defensively they rank 14th, giving up 104.7 rushing yards per game. With a 38.2% third-down conversion percentage on offense, the Ravens rank 14th in the NFL. On defense, they rank ninth, allowing a 32.4% third-down rate. While the Ravens’ defense has been stuck in neutral, ranking second-worst by allowing 6.5 yards per play, their offense is best with 6.9 yards per play. The Ravens have a top-five turnover margin this season, ranking second-best at +5.

Bills vs. Ravens Injury Report


Bills: DT Jordan Phillips: Out (Hamstring), WR Jake Kumerow: Out (Ankle), TE Dawson Knox: Questionable (Back), CB Xavier Rhodes: Out (Undisclosed), C Mitch Morse: Questionable (Elbow), FB Jordan Poyer: Questionable (Foot), CB Dane Jackson: Questionable (Neck), DT Ed Oliver: Questionable (Ankle), OT Tommy Doyle: Out (Acl), CB Christian Benford: Out (Hand), FB Justin Murray: Questionable (Foot), WR Gabriel Davis: Questionable (Ankle)


Ravens: OLB Justin Houston: Doubtful (Groin), OT Ronnie Stanley: Questionable (Ankle), C Patrick Mekari: Doubtful (Ankle), DT Michael Pierce: Out (Biceps)

Bills vs. Ravens Betting Analysis

Bills Betting Insights

The Bills have gone 2-1-0 against the spread this season. The Bills are 1-1 ATS when playing as at least 3-point favorites. Bills games have gone over the total once this season. The Bills won nine of the 14 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (64.3%). The Bills had a 9-4 record last year (winning 69.2% of their games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -165 or shorter.

Ravens Betting Insights

The Ravens have covered the spread twice over three games with a set spread. Ravens games have gone over the total twice this season. This is the first time the Ravens will play as underdogs this season. The Ravens have not been a bigger underdog this season than the +140 moneyline set for this game.

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Bills vs. Ravens Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 51.3 47.5 53.3
Implied Total AVG 28.3 29.0 28.0
ATS Record 2-1-0 1-0-0 1-1-0
Over/Under Record 1-2-0 1-0-0 0-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-1 1-0 1-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 44.2 43.5 44.5
Implied Total AVG 24.3 24.0 24.5
ATS Record 2-1-0 0-1-0 2-0-0
Over/Under Record 2-1-0 1-0-0 1-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-1 0-1 2-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

Players to Watch


  • Josh Allen ranks third in the NFL with 1,014 passing yards through three games this year, averaging 338.0 per game with a 71.2% completion percentage and nine touchdowns (second in the NFL) against two interceptions.
  • He has also rushed for 113 yards (first on the Bills) and added one touchdown on the ground, while averaging 37.7 rushing yards per game.
  • Stefon Diggs‘ 344 receiving yards this season (third in the NFL) have come from 34 targets and 27 receptions (third in the NFL). He’s averaging 114.7 receiving yards and 9.0 catches per game, with four receiving touchdowns (first in the NFL).
  • Isaiah McKenzie has two touchdown catches this season, and has 11 receptions for 132 yards on 15 targets, while averaging 3.7 catches and 44.0 yards per game.
  • Devin Singletary has rushed for 80 yards without a TD on the ground (26.7 yards per game across three games).
  • He has added 13 catches (on 17 targets) for 94 receiving yards with one touchdown. He’s averaging 31.3 receiving yards and 4.3 receptions per game.
  • On defense, Gregory Rousseau has 3.5 sacks (sixth in the NFL) to go with 4.0 TFL and 11 tackles in 2022.
  • Matt Milano has 14 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one interception so far this season. He’s third on the Bills in tackles.
  • Tremaine Edmunds has recorded 17 tackles, 2.0 TFL, 1.0 sack, and one pass defended.
  • Taron Johnson has 19 tackles on the year.


  • Through three games played this year, Lamar Jackson has amassed 749 passing yards, with 10 touchdowns (first in the NFL) against two interceptions and completing 63.6% of his passes.
  • Jackson has also rushed for two touchdowns and 243 yards (first on the Ravens and fifth in the NFL).
  • Mark Andrews has 22 catches (seventh in the NFL) for 245 yards and three receiving touchdowns (second in the NFL). He has been targeted 31 times and averages 7.3 receptions per game through three games played.
  • Devin Duvernay has totaled 121 receiving yards and three touchdowns (second in the NFL) on eight receptions, while being targeted eight times this season.
  • Rashod Bateman has 226 receiving yards and two touchdowns from eight receptions after getting 16 targets.
  • Marcus Williams’ 2022 effort includes 27 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and three interceptions through three games. He leads the Ravens in tackles.
  • Chuck Clark has 24 tackles.
  • Patrick Queen has 1.5 sacks (second on the Ravens) as well as 1.0 TFL and 18 tackles in the 2022 season.
  • Marlon Humphrey’s stats include one interception (10th in the NFL) as well as 19 tackles and one pass defended in three games

Bills vs. Ravens Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this game is the Ravens, and we project that Ravens will cover the spread (Bills -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 51 points.

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How to Bet on Bills vs. Ravens

You can bet on Bills vs. Ravens at every legal online sportsbook. For more NFL odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NFL prop odds, check out the latest NFL lines as well as our guide to the best NFL betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Bills vs. Ravens picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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