Vikings vs. Bears Prediction: Week 5 Odds, Picks & Moneyline – October 2022

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An NFC North battle between the Minnesota Vikings (3-1) and Chicago Bears (2-2) is on the calendar for Sunday, October 9, 2022 at U.S. Bank Stadium.

Vikings vs. Bears Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 7.5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Vikings as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Vikings have -350 odds to pick up the win, while the Bears are listed at +290 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 44 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Vikings vs. Bears Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, October 9, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Stadium: U.S. Bank Stadium

Betting Preview


The Vikings rank 17th in total offense (344.0 yards per game) and 27th in total defense (394.5 yards allowed per game) this year. The Vikings rank 15th in scoring offense (21.5 points per game) and 13th in scoring defense (20.0 points allowed per game) this year.

The Vikings are putting up 246.0 passing yards per game on offense (12th in the NFL), and they rank 26th on defense with 263.5 passing yards allowed per game. The Vikings are putting up 98.0 rushing yards per game offensively this year (22nd in NFL), and they are giving up 131.0 rushing yards per game (23rd) on the defensive side of the ball.

The Vikings are putting up a 31.2% third-down conversion rate on offense (27th in the NFL), and they rank 12th on defense with a 35.4% third-down percentage allowed. This season, the Vikings are gaining 5.4 yards per play (16th in the league), while surrendering 6.0 per play on the defensive side of the ball (25th in the NFL). The Vikings have forced six total turnovers (12th in NFL) this season and have turned it over five times (ninth in NFL) for a turnover margin of +1, eighth-ranked in the NFL.


The Bears have not been getting things done on offense, ranking second-worst with 274.8 total yards per game. They have been more productive on the other side of the ball, allowing 351.8 total yards per contest (21st-ranked). The Bears’ offense has been bottom-five this season, posting 16.0 points per game, which ranks third-worst in the NFL. On the defensive side of the ball, they rank 12th with 19.3 points ceded per contest.

The Bears rank worst in passing yards per game on offense (97.5), but at least they’ve been dominating on the defensive side of the ball, ranking fourth-best in passing yards surrendered per game (168.5). While the Bears’ run defense has had trouble stopping opposing offenses, ranking worst by surrendering 183.3 rushing yards per game, their offense is the third-best at 177.3 rushing yards per contest.

With a 34.0% third-down conversion rate on offense, the Bears rank 25th in the NFL. On defense, they rank 23rd, giving up a 42.3% third-down rate. The Bears rank 24th in the NFL with 5.0 yards per play on offense, and they rank 16th with 5.6 yards ceded per play on the defensive side of the ball. The Bears sport a 0 turnover margin this season, which ranks 16th in the NFL.

Vikings vs. Bears Injury Report


Player Pos. Injury Status
Blake Proehl WR Acl Questionable
Ben Ellefson TE Groin Out
Lewis Cine FB Ankle Out
Andrew Booth Jr. CB Quad Questionable
Jalen Nailor WR Hamstring Questionable


Player Pos. Injury Status
Cody Whitehair FB Knee Out
N’Keal Harry WR Ankle Questionable
Dane Cruikshank DB Hamstring Doubtful
Jaylon Johnson DB Quad Doubtful
David Montgomery RB Knee Probable

Vikings vs. Bears Betting Analysis

Vikings Betting Insights

The Vikings are 1-3-0 against the spread this season.

Vikings games have gone over the total twice this season. The Vikings won five of the eight games they were favored on the moneyline last season (62.5%).

The Vikings played as a moneyline favorite of -350 or shorter in just one game last season, which they won.

Bears Betting Insights

The Bears have covered the spread one time in four games with a set spread. The Bears have yet to cover a spread (0-1) when playing as at least 7.5-point underdogs.

Games involving the Bears have hit the over once this year. This season, the Bears have won one out of the three games in which they’ve been the underdog.

The Bears have played as an underdog of +290 or more once this season and lost that game.

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Vikings vs. Bears Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 47.3 49.0 45.5
Implied Total AVG 25.5 26.5 24.5
ATS Record 1-3-0 1-1-0 0-2-0
Over/Under Record 2-2-0 1-1-0 1-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-0 2-0 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-0 0-1


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 39.9 39.0 40.8
Implied Total AVG 22.8 22.0 23.5
ATS Record 1-3-0 1-1-0 0-2-0
Over/Under Record 1-3-0 1-1-0 0-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 1-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-2 1-0 0-2

Players to Watch


  • Kirk Cousins has 1,031 passing yards, six touchdowns (10th in the NFL) and four interceptions this year. He has completed 63.1% of his attempts, averaging 257.8 yards per game and 6.6 per attempt.
  • Justin Jefferson‘s 393 receiving yards this season (sixth in the NFL) have come from 42 targets and 28 receptions (sixth in the NFL). He’s averaging 98.3 receiving yards and 7.0 catches per game, with two receiving touchdowns.
  • In four games, Dalvin Cook has picked up 279 yards on the ground, averaging 69.8 yards per game and scoring one touchdown.
  • Cook has received 13 targets in the passing game and has nine catches (2.3 per game) for 47 yards (11.8 per game) and zero TDs.
  • Adam Thielen has 21 catches for 221 yards and one touchdown. He’s been targeted 28 times in the passing game, and averages 5.3 receptions and 55.3 yards through four games played.
  • Over on the defensive side, Jordan Hicks has one interception to go with 38 tackles, 1.0 sack, and two passes defended in 2022.
  • Eric Kendricks has 31 tackles and three passes defended.
  • Cameron Dantzler has totaled 22 tackles and 2.0 TFL this year.
  • This season, Harrison Smith has 26 tackles and one interception.


  • So far this year in four games, Khalil Herbert has racked up 317 rushing yards (leading the Bears and eighth in the NFL) and scored three rushing touchdowns. He averages 79.3 yards per game and 6.1 per carry (fifth in the NFL).
  • Justin Fields has 471 passing yards, two touchdowns and four interceptions. His completion percentage is 50.7% and he averages 117.8 yards per game and 7.0 per attempt.
  • He has tacked on 147 rushing yards (third on the Bears), while scoring one touchdown on the ground (averaging 36.8 yards per game and 4.3 per carry).
  • David Montgomery is averaging 53.0 rushing yards per game this season (159 total yards), but has yet to score a rushing touchdown.
  • In addition to his ground game, Montgomery has pulled down five passes (on six targets) for 38 yards (fifth on the Bears). He averages 12.7 yards per game.
  • Equanimeous St. Brown has been targeted 11 times, resulting in four catches for 86 yards .
  • So far in 2022, Roquan Smith has put up 46 tackles, 2.0 TFL, 0.5 sacks, and one interception over four games.
  • Eddie Jackson’s stats include three interceptions (second in the NFL) as well as 29 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and three passes defended.
  • Jaquan Brisker has 25 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 1.0 sack in the 2022 campaign. He is fourth on the Bears in tackles.
  • Justin Jones’ stat sheet includes 18 tackles, 5.0 TFL, 1.0 sack, and one pass defended in four games

Vikings vs. Bears Predictions and Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is the Vikings, and we predict that Vikings will cover the spread (Vikings -7.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 44 points.

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How to Bet on Vikings vs. Bears

You can bet on Vikings vs. Bears at every legal online sportsbook. For more NFL odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NFL prop odds, check out the latest NFL lines as well as our guide to the best NFL betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Vikings vs. Bears picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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