UTSA vs. Middle Tennessee Prediction: Picks & Start Time – September 2022

httpscdn.dataskrive.comapiassetllb6A6yutsa roadrunners vs middle tennessee blue raiders Betsperts Media & Technology

C-USA rivals will do battle when the UTSA Roadrunners (2-2) battle the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (3-1) at Johnny “Red” Floyd Stadium in Murfreesboro, Tennessee.

UTSA vs. Middle Tennessee Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 4.5 points, with bookmakers listing UTSA as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, UTSA has -189 odds to pick up the win, while Middle Tennessee is listed at +154 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 64 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch UTSA vs. Middle Tennessee Live?

  • Game Day: Friday, September 30, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS Sports Network
  • Location: Murfreesboro, Tennessee
  • Stadium: Johnny “Red” Floyd Stadium

Betting Preview


Despite sporting a bottom-25 defense that ranks 20th-worst in the FBS (438.0 yards allowed per game), UTSA has had more success on offense, ranking 27th in the FBS offensively totaling 478.5 yards per game. Despite sporting a bottom-25 scoring defense that ranks 19th-worst in the FBS (35.0 points allowed per game), UTSA has put up better results on offense, ranking 37th in the FBS by averaging 37.0 points per game. On offense, UTSA has been a top-25 unit in terms of passing yards, ranking sixth-best in the FBS by putting up 351.5 per game. The Roadrunners rank 70th on defense (225.0 passing yards allowed per game). Despite sporting a bottom-25 run defense that ranks 10th-worst in the FBS (213.0 rushing yards allowed per game), UTSA has had more success on offense, ranking 100th in the FBS by averaging 127.0 rushing yards per game. While UTSA ranks 12th-worst in the FBS in third-down efficiency on defense with a 48.5% third-down percentage allowed, it’s been a different story on the other side of the ball, where the Roadrunners rank 15th-best in the FBS (51.0% third-down conversion rate). UTSA has forced five total turnovers (80th in the FBS) this season and have turned it over four times (30th in the FBS) for +1a turnover margin of +1, 48th-ranked in college football.

Middle Tennessee

Middle Tennessee ranks 99th with 361.8 total yards per contest on offense, and it ranks 45th with 342.8 total yards given up per game on the defensive side of the ball. Middle Tennessee is generating 33.8 points per contest on offense this season (53rd-ranked). Meanwhile, it is allowing 25.0 points per contest (69th-ranked) on defense. From an offensive angle, Middle Tennessee is compiling 249.8 passing yards per contest (65th-ranked). It ranks 89th in the FBS on the other side of the ball (249.8 passing yards allowed per game). While Middle Tennessee’s run offense has been sputtering, ranking 21st-worst with 112.0 rushing yards per game, its defense ranks 21st-best with just 93.0 rushing yards surrendered per contest. In terms of third-down efficiency, Middle Tennessee ranks 94th in the FBS (35.1% third-down conversion percentage) and 61st on the other side of the ball (36.5% third-down rate allowed). Middle Tennessee has excelled in terms of turnovers, as its turnover margin of +4 ranks 19th-best in the FBS, with nine forced turnovers (11th in the nation) and five turnovers committed (49th in the nation).

UTSA vs. Middle Tennessee Betting Analysis

UTSA Betting Insights

UTSA has covered the spread two times in four games with a set spread. UTSA is winless against the spread when it is 4.5-point or greater favorites (0-1). All UTSA games have gone over the total this season. The Roadrunners have been the moneyline favorite only one other time so far this season, a game they won. The Roadrunners have not yet played a game with moneyline odds of -189 or shorter.

Blue Raiders Betting Insights

Middle Tennessee is 3-1-0 against the spread this season. In games they have played as 4.5-point or bigger underdogs, Middle Tennessee owns an ATS record of 2-1. This season, Middle Tennessee games have hit the over twice. This season, the Blue Raiders have been the underdog three times and won two of those games. The Blue Raiders are 0-0 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +154 or more on the moneyline.

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UTSA vs. Middle Tennessee Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 59.5 63.8 55.3
Implied Total AVG 37.8 44.0 31.5
ATS Record 2-2-0 1-1-0 1-1-0
Over/Under Record 4-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 0-0 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-2 0-1 0-1

Blue Raiders

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 55.9 52.5 57.0
Implied Total AVG 36.3 36.0 36.3
ATS Record 3-1-0 1-0-0 2-1-0
Over/Under Record 2-2-0 1-0-0 1-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 1-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-1 0-0 2-1

Players to Watch


  • With 0.5 sacks to go with 2.0 TFL and 17 tackles in four games, Trevor Harmanson has been a key piece of the Roadrunners’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • The Roadrunners’ defensive unit has been aided by the contributions of Jamal Ligon, who has suited up for four games and registered 20 tackles.
  • Dadrian Taylor has suited up for four games, collecting 13 tackles and 2.0 TFL for the Roadrunners.
  • Clifford Chattman has been a significant part of the Roadrunners’ defensive unit in 2022, with 18 tackles in four games.

Blue Raiders

  • On defense, Jordan Ferguson has helped set the tone with 17 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and three sacks in four games.
  • On defense, Jalen Davis has helped lead the way with seven tackles, 3.0 TFL, 1.5 sacks, and one interception in four games.
  • Teldrick Ross has been causing chaos on defense, posting 1.0 TFL and 24 tackles for the Blue Raiders.
  • Zaylin Wood has recorded 2.0 sacks to go with 1.0 TFL, six tackles, and one interception in four games for the Blue Raiders.

UTSA vs. Middle Tennessee Predictions and Pick

UTSA vs. Middle Tennessee betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Blue Raiders (+4.5)

    Pick OU:

    Over (64)

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How to Bet on UTSA vs. Middle Tennessee

You can bet on UTSA vs. Middle Tennessee at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s UTSA vs. Middle Tennessee picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this game is Middle Tennessee, and we project that Middle Tennessee will cover the spread (UTSA -4.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 64 points.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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