USC vs. Fresno State Prediction: Picks & Start Time – September 17

httpscdn.dataskrive.comapiassetqYpVjuXusc trojans vs fresno state bulldogs Betsperts Media & Technology

The No. 7 USC Trojans (2-0) and Fresno State Bulldogs (1-1) will face each other in a matchup at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum in Los Angeles, California.

USC vs. Fresno State Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 12 points, with oddsmakers listing USC as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, USC has -473 odds to pick up the win, while Fresno State is listed at +352 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 71 points.


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Game Info

How to Watch USC vs. Fresno State Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, September 17, 2022
  • Game Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Los Angeles, California
  • Stadium: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum

Betting Preview


  • Last year, USC racked up 8.2 more points per game (28.7) than Fresno State surrendered (20.5).
  • When the Trojans put up more than 20.5 points last year, they were 4-5 against the spread and 4-5 overall.
  • USC racked up 96.5 more yards per game (443.6) than Fresno State gave up per contest (347.1) last season.
  • The Trojans were 4-7 against the spread and 4-7 overall when the team piled up over 347.1 yards last year.
  • USC rushed for 145.3 yards per game last year, 20.2 more than the 125.1 Fresno State allowed per contest.
  • The Trojans had a 3-4 ATS record and a 3-4 overall record when the team ran for more than 125.1 yards last year.

Fresno State

  • Last season Fresno State put up just 1.6 more points per game (33.4) than USC allowed (31.8).
  • When the Bulldogs scored more than 31.8 points last year, they were 5-2 against the spread and 7-0 overall.
  • Fresno State averaged 54.7 more yards per game (463.7) than USC gave up per contest (409.0) last season.
  • In games that the Bulldogs picked up more than 409.0 yards last year, the team was 5-3 against the spread and 7-1 overall.
  • Last season Fresno State averaged 137.0 rushing yards per game, 30.2 fewer than USC allowed per contest (167.2).
  • When the Bulldogs rushed for over 167.2 yards last year they compiled a 2-1 ATS record and a 3-0 overall record.

USC vs. Fresno State Betting Analysis

USC Betting Insights

  • USC covered the spread four times in 12 games last season.
  • USC won once ATS (1-2) when favored by 12 points or more last year.
  • The Trojans finished 4-3 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 57.1% of those games).
  • When they played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -473 or shorter, the Trojans went 1-1 (66.7%).
  • There were six USC games (out of 12) that hit the over last year.

Bulldogs Betting Insights

  • Fresno State posted a 8-5-0 record against the spread last season.
  • Fresno State did not lose ATS (1-0) as underdogs of 12 points or greater last year.
  • The Bulldogs split the two games they played as underdogs last season.
  • The Bulldogs were 0-0 last season when entering a game as the underdog by +352 or more on the moneyline.
  • Out of 13 Fresno State games last year, six went over the total.

USC vs. Fresno State Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 59.2 59.6 58.6
Implied Total AVG 34.6 35.7 33.0
ATS Record 4-8-0 2-5-0 2-3-0
Over/Under Record 6-6-0 6-1-0 0-5-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-3 2-3 2-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-5 0-2 0-3


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 58.0 58.8 57.2
Implied Total AVG 36.4 39.3 33.0
ATS Record 8-5-0 3-4-0 5-1-0
Over/Under Record 6-7-0 4-3-0 2-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 8-2 5-1 3-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 0-0 1-1

Last Season’s Leaders


  • On defense last year, Kana’i Mauga helped lead the way with one interception to go with 62 tackles, 4.0 TFL, one sack, and three passes defended in 12 games.
  • On defense in 2021, Tuli Tuipulotu had 32 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and 5.5 sacks in 12 games played.
  • In 12 games a season ago, Drake Jackson delivered 23 tackles, 7.0 TFL, five sacks, and one interception.
  • Chris Steele compiled 1.0 sack to go with 2.0 TFL, 20 tackles, and two interceptions in 12 games.


  • Evan Williams helped lead the defense with 78 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and three interceptions in 13 games.
  • On defense, Arron Mosby posted 6.0 sacks to go with 7.0 TFL and 36 tackles.
  • In 13 games, Kevin Atkins collected 34 tackles, 11.0 TFL, and seven sacks.
  • With 7.0 sacks to go along with 6.0 TFL and 41 tackles, David Perales made a big impact on D.

USC vs. Fresno State Predictions and Pick

USC vs. Fresno State betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Bulldogs (+12)

    Pick OU:

    Under (71)

How to Bet on USC vs. Fresno State

You can bet on USC vs. Fresno State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s USC vs. Fresno State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this contest is Fresno State, and we project that Fresno State will cover the spread (USC -12). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 71 points.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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