Oklahoma City vs. Dallas Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Thursday, May 9, 2024

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In Game 2 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs, the Oklahoma City Thunder will meet the Dallas Mavericks.

The Thunder hit the court as 5-point favorites against the Mavericks. The point total for the matchup is set at 218.5.

Thunder vs. Mavericks Odds

Point Spread for Thunder vs. Mavericks

The spread for this matchup is set at 5 points, with bookmakers listing the Thunder as the favorite.

Oklahoma City vs. Dallas Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Oklahoma City has -198 odds to win the game, while Dallas is listed at +164 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 218.5 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Thursday, May 9, 2024 at 9:30 PM ET
  • Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
  • TV: ESPN

Thunder vs. Mavericks Betting Trends

The Thunder have covered the spread 46 times in 82 games with a set spread. Oklahoma City has been the favorite in 61 games this season and won 47 (77%) of those contests. Thunder games have gone over the total 43 times this season.

The Mavericks have gone 48-34-0 against the spread this season. Dallas has been chosen as underdogs in 31 games this year and has walked away with the win 12 times (38.7%) in those games. This season, Mavericks games have hit the over 36 times.

Thunder vs. Mavericks Key Players to Watch

Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is putting up 30.1 points, 6.2 assists and 5.5 boards per game. Chet Holmgren’s numbers for the season are 16.5 points, 2.4 assists and 7.9 boards per contest. Jalen Williams is averaging 19.1 points, 4.5 assists and 4.0 boards per contest. Josh Giddey’s numbers on the season are 12.3 points, 6.4 boards and 4.8 assists per game, shooting 47.5% from the field and 33.7% from beyond the arc, with 1.0 made 3-pointers per game.

Mavericks

Luka Doncic gives the Mavericks 33.9 points, 9.2 boards and 9.8 assists per contest. He also averages 1.4 steals (seventh in NBA) and 0.5 blocks. Kyrie Irving provides 25.6 points, 5.0 boards and 5.2 assists per game, plus 1.3 steals and 0.5 blocks. Daniel Gafford averages 11.0 points, 7.6 boards and 1.6 assists, making 72.5% of his shots from the floor (first in league). The Mavericks get 12.9 points, 5.6 boards and 1.9 assists per game from P.J. Washington.

What you need to know about the Thunder

The Thunder have been led by their offense, as they rank third-best in the NBA by putting up 120.1 points per game. They rank 11th in the league in points allowed (112.7 per contest). The Thunder have found it difficult to grab rebounds this season, ranking fourth-worst in the league with 42.0 boards per game. They rank 23rd by allowing 44.7 rebounds per contest. This season, the Thunder rank 11th in the league in assists, delivering 27.1 per game.

Offensively Oklahoma City has played better when playing at home this year, scoring 123.1 points per game, compared to 117.0 per game when playing on the road. With a 38.9% three-point percentage this season, Oklahoma City ranks best in the NBA. It ranks eighth in the league by draining 13.3 treys per contest. Oklahoma City is ceding 13.4 three-pointers per game (22nd-ranked in NBA) this season, while allowing a 36.1% three-point percentage (12th-ranked).

The Thunder have an 8-2 record against the spread while going 10-0 overall in their past 10 games. Three of Oklahoma City’s past 10 contests have hit the over. The Thunder have been putting up 115.8 points per game in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s a little lower than the 120.1 they’ve scored over the course of the 2023-24 season. Oklahoma City has been tougher on defense as of late, allowing 95.8 points per game during its last 10 contests compared to the 112.7 points per game its opponents are averaging over the 2023-24 season.

What you need to know about the Mavericks

The Mavericks are seventh in the NBA in points scored (117.9 per game) and 20th in points conceded (115.6). On the boards, Dallas is 21st in the league in rebounds (42.9 per game). It is 25th in rebounds conceded (45.1 per game). This season the Mavericks are ranked 19th in the NBA in assists at 25.7 per game.

At home, the Mavericks score 118.7 points per game. Away, they average 117.0. The Mavericks are the third-best squad in the NBA in 3-pointers made (14.6 per game) and 13th in 3-point percentage (36.9%). Dallas gives up 13.1 3-pointers per game and concedes 36.8% from beyond the arc, ranking 18th and 18th, respectively, in the NBA.

The Mavericks have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 5-5 overall in their last 10 games. Dallas has hit the over in three of its past 10 contests. While Dallas is averaging 117.9 points per game in 2023-24, it has fallen short of that over its previous 10 games, tallying 102.3 points per contest. The Mavericks are giving up 105.3 points per game in their previous 10 games, which is 10.3 fewer points than they are allowing for the season (115.6).

Thunder vs. Mavericks Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is Thunder, and we predict that Thunder will cover the spread (Thunder -5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 218.5 points.

How to bet Thunder vs. Mavericks

You can bet on Oklahoma City vs. Dallas at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Oklahoma City vs. Dallas picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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