UNLV vs. Nevada Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 26, 2022

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MWC rivals will clash when the UNLV Rebels (4-7) face the Nevada Wolf Pack (2-9).

UNLV vs. Nevada Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 12 points, with bookmakers listing UNLV as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, UNLV has -503 odds to pick up the win, while Nevada is listed at +371 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 49 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch UNLV vs. Nevada Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 26, 2022
  • Game Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: MW Network
  • Location: Paradise, Nevada
  • Stadium: Allegiant Stadium

Betting Preview

UNLV

UNLV is putting up 359.0 yards per game on offense this season (96th in the FBS), and are surrendering 375.4 yards per game (67th) on the other side of the ball. UNLV ranks 79th in scoring offense (26.3 points per game) and 97th in scoring defense (29.1 points allowed per game) this season. UNLV is compiling 215.5 passing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 89th in the FBS. The defense ranks 66th, allowing 222.0 passing yards per contest. UNLV is averaging 143.5 rushing yards per game on offense (76th in the FBS), and ranks 74th on defense with 153.4 rushing yards allowed per game. UNLV has been a bottom-25 offense on third down this season, ranking 23rd-worst with a 33.8% third-down percentage. On the defensive side of the ball, the Rebels rank 59th in the FBS (37.8% third-down percentage allowed). UNLV ranks 29th in college football with a +5 turnover margin after forcing 18 turnovers (39th in the FBS) while committing 13 (29th in the FBS).

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Nevada

Nevada has not been getting things done on offense, ranking seventh-worst with 290.5 total yards per game. It has been better on defense, giving up 405.4 total yards per contest (95th-ranked). Nevada has been outplayed on both offense and defense this season, ranking 11th-worst in points (18.5 per game) and 24th-worst in points surrendered (31.3 per game). Nevada’s passing offense has been a bottom-25 unit this season, registering 177.2 passing yards per game, which ranks 15th-worst in the FBS. On the defensive side of the ball, it ranks 77th with 230.6 passing yards allowed per contest. Nevada’s rushing offense has been a bottom-25 unit this season, compiling 113.4 rushing yards per game, which ranks 21st-worst in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 96th with 174.7 rushing yards conceded per contest. Nevada’s defense has been a bottom-25 unit on third down this season, allowing a 43.1% third-down conversion rate, which ranks 24th-worst in the FBS. Offensively, it ranks 98th with a 43.1% third-down rate. Nevada sports a +4 turnover margin this season, which ranks 36th in the FBS.

UNLV vs. Nevada Betting Analysis

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UNLV Betting Insights

UNLV has covered the spread seven times this season (7-4-0). In games it has played as 12-point favorites or more, UNLV has an ATS record of 1-1. UNLV games have gone over the total five times this season. The Rebels have won four of the five games they were favored on the moneyline this season (80%). The Rebels have played as a moneyline favorite of -503 or shorter in just two games this season, and they won both.

Wolf Pack Betting Insights

Nevada has covered the spread three times over 11 games with a set total. In games they have played as 12-point underdogs or more, the Wolf Pack have an ATS record of 1-4. Nevada games have gone over the total five times this year. This season, the Wolf Pack have won one out of the seven games in which they’ve been the underdog. This season, the Wolf Pack have been at least a +371 underdog on the moneyline five times, losing each of those contests.

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UNLV vs. Nevada Against The Spread & Betting Records

UNLV

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 53.0 54.1 52.1
Implied Total AVG 32.0 32.8 31.3
ATS Record 7-4-0 3-2-0 4-2-0
Over/Under Record 5-6-0 4-1-0 1-5-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-1 3-0 1-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-6 0-2 0-4

Wolf Pack

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 47.9 49.3 46.1
Implied Total AVG 30.7 29.8 31.8
ATS Record 3-8-0 1-5-0 2-3-0
Over/Under Record 5-6-0 3-3-0 2-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-3 0-2 1-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-6 1-3 0-3

Players to Watch

UNLV

  • With 4.0 sacks to go with 7.0 TFL, 70 tackles, and two interceptions in 11 games, Austin Ajiake has been a significant part of the Rebels’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • Adam Plant Jr. has helped lead the Rebels’ defense with 7.0 sacks to go along with 7.0 TFL and 31 tackles in 11 games.
  • The Rebels’ defensive unit has been helped by the play of Jeffae Williams, who has played 11 games and registered two interceptions to go along with 29 tackles, 2.0 TFL, one sack, and two passes defended.
  • With 26 tackles and three interceptions, Nohl Williams has helped propel the Rebels’ defense over 11 games.

Wolf Pack

  • In 11 games for the Wolf Pack, Bentlee Sanders has collected 3.0 TFL, 33 tackles, and five interceptions.
  • The Wolf Pack’s Dom Peterson has amassed 4.0 sacks to go with 5.0 TFL and 14 tackles in 11 games.
  • The Wolf Pack’s Tyson Williams has collected one interception to go with 31 tackles, 4.0 TFL, one sack, and one pass defended in 11 games.
  • Drue Watts has posted 26 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and three sacks In 11 games for the Wolf Pack.

UNLV vs. Nevada Predictions and Pick

UNLV vs. Nevada betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Wolf Pack (+12)

    Pick OU:

    Over (49)

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How to Bet on UNLV vs. Nevada

You can bet on UNLV vs. Nevada at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s UNLV vs. Nevada picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this game is UNLV, and we expect that Nevada will cover the spread (UNLV -12). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 49 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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