Illinois vs. Purdue Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 2022

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Big Ten rivals will battle when the No. 21 Illinois Fighting Illini (7-2) meet the Purdue Boilermakers (5-4).

Illinois vs. Purdue Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 6.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Illinois as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Illinois has -240 odds to pick up the win, while Purdue is listed at +193 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 44.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Illinois vs. Purdue Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 12, 2022
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN2
  • Location: Champaign, Illinois
  • Stadium: Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)

Betting Preview

Illinois

Illinois ranks 51st in total offense this year (413.4 yards per game), but has been thriving on the other side of the ball, ranking best in the FBS with 413.4 yards allowed per game. Illinois owns the 89th-ranked offense this season (24.8 points per game), and has been better defensively, ranking best with just 10.4 points allowed per game. Illinois has the 88th-ranked offense this year in terms of passing yards (220.2 passing yards per game), and has been better on the other side of the ball, ranking second-best with only 152.6 passing yards allowed per game. Illinois has the 32nd-ranked offense this season in terms of rushing yards (193.2 per game), and has been more effective on the other side of the ball, ranking fourth-best with only 79.7 rushing yards allowed per game. Defensively, Illinois has been a top-25 unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking third-best by giving up a 26.2% third-down conversion rate. The team’s offense ranks 76th (38.6% third-down conversion rate). Illinois has forced 21 total turnovers (fourth in the FBS) this season and have turned it over 13 times (61st in the FBS) for a turnover margin of +8, the 10th-best in college football.

Purdue

Purdue ranks 44th with 423.6 total yards per contest on offense, and it ranks 40th with 355.6 total yards ceded per contest on defense. From an offensive standpoint, Purdue is putting up 29.4 points per contest (64th-ranked). It ranks 61st in the FBS on the other side of the ball (25.3 points given up per game). Purdue’s pass offense has been leading the charge for the team, as it ranks 16th-best in the FBS with 297.0 passing yards per game. In terms of defense, it is ceding 237.1 passing yards per game, which ranks 79th. Purdue ranks 98th in the FBS with 126.6 rushing yards per game, but it has been carried by its defense, which ranks 25th-best by allowing only 118.4 rushing yards per game. Purdue’s third-down defense has been paving the way for the team, as it ranks 12th-best in the FBS with a 30.2% third-down conversion rate allowed. In terms of offense, it is compiling a 40.1% third-down rate, which ranks 60th. At -4, Purdue owns the 100th-ranked turnover margin in the FBS, with 13 forced turnovers (60th in the FBS) and 17 turnovers committed (106th in the FBS).

Illinois vs. Purdue Betting Analysis

Illinois Betting Insights

Illinois has put together a record of 6-3-0 against the spread this season. Illinois is 3-1 ATS when playing as at least 6.5-point favorites. Illinois games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under three times this season. The Fighting Illini have been the moneyline favorite six total times this season. They’ve finished 5-1 in those games. The Fighting Illini have a record of 1-1 in games they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -240 or shorter (75%).

Boilermakers Betting Insights

Purdue has covered the spread three times in nine games with a set total. Purdue has a perfect 1-0 ATS record when playing as at least 6.5-point underdogs. Purdue’s games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under six times this year. This season, the Boilermakers have been the underdog five times and won two of those games. The Boilermakers are undefeated in two games this season when they’re the underdog by +193 or more on the moneyline.

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Illinois vs. Purdue Against The Spread & Betting Records

Illinois

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 44.6 43.3 47.2
Implied Total AVG 26.7 27.0 26.0
ATS Record 6-3-0 4-2-0 2-1-0
Over/Under Record 3-6-0 2-4-0 1-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 5-1 4-1 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-1 1-0 1-1

Boilermakers

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 53.6 51.8 55.8
Implied Total AVG 31.9 33.4 30.0
ATS Record 3-6-0 1-4-0 2-2-0
Over/Under Record 6-3-0 3-2-0 3-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-1 2-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-3 0-1 2-2

Players to Watch

Illinois

  • As part of the Fighting Illini’s defensive unit, Jer’Zhan Newton has recorded 40 tackles, 9.0 TFL, and five sacks in nine games.
  • Jartavius Martin has helped carry the Fighting Illini’s defense with 1.0 sack to go along with 2.0 TFL, 39 tackles, and three interceptions in nine games.
  • As part of the Fighting Illini’s defense, Sydney Brown has collected four interceptions to go along with 34 tackles, 3.0 TFL, one sack, and five passes defended in nine games.
  • Keith Randolph Jr. has been a key contributor to the Fighting Illini’s defense in 2022, with one interception to go with 31 tackles, 9.0 TFL, three sacks, and one pass defended in nine games.

Boilermakers

  • Cam Allen has been wreaking havoc on defense, posting three interceptions to go with 22 tackles and three passes defended for the Boilermakers.
  • The Boilermakers’ Jack Sullivan has registered 4.0 sacks to go with 4.0 TFL and 15 tackles in nine games.
  • Jalen Graham has collected 1.0 sack to go with 2.0 TFL and 24 tackles in nine games for the Boilermakers.
  • Sanoussi Kane has recorded 23 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one sack In nine games for the Boilermakers.

Illinois vs. Purdue Predictions and Pick

Illinois vs. Purdue betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Fighting Illini (-6.5)

    Pick OU:

    Over (44.5)

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How to Bet on Illinois vs. Purdue

You can bet on Illinois vs. Purdue at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Illinois vs. Purdue picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this matchup is Illinois, and we predict that Illinois will cover the spread (Illinois -6.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 44.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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