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The Boston Celtics will take on the Miami Heat in a decisive Game 5 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs.
The Celtics take the court as double-digit favorites against the Heat. The Celtics are favored by 14 points. The point total for the game is 200.
Celtics vs. Heat Odds
Point Spread for Celtics vs. Heat
The spread for this matchup is set at 14 points, with oddsmakers listing the Celtics as the favorite.
Boston vs. Miami Moneyline
As for the moneyline, Boston has -1050 odds to win the game, while Miami is listed at +675 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 200 points.
Game Time and How to Watch
- When: Wednesday, May 1, 2024 at 7:30 PM ET
- Where: TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts
- TV: TNT
Celtics vs. Heat Betting Trends
The Celtics have covered the spread 42 times this season (42-36-4). Boston has been the favorite in 79 games this season and won 63 (79.7%) of those contests. Celtics games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 43 times this season.
The Heat have covered the spread in a game 40 times this year (40-39-3). Miami has come away with 11 wins in the 35 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season. This year, Heat games have hit the over 35 times.
Celtics vs. Heat Key Players to Watch
Celtics
Jayson Tatum is putting up 26.9 points, 4.9 assists and 8.1 boards per game. Jaylen Brown is posting 23.0 points, 3.6 assists and 5.5 boards per game. Derrick White’s numbers on the season are 15.2 points, 4.2 boards and 5.2 assists per contest, shooting 46.1% from the field and 39.6% from beyond the arc, with 2.7 made 3-pointers per contest. Jrue Holiday puts up 12.5 points, 5.4 boards and 4.8 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.9 steals and 0.8 blocks.
Heat
Bam Adebayo gets the Heat 19.3 points, 10.4 boards and 3.9 assists per contest. He also averages 1.1 steals and 0.9 blocks. Duncan Robinson gives 12.9 points, 2.6 boards and 2.8 assists per contest, plus 0.7 steals and 0.2 blocks. Tyler Herro averages 20.8 points, 5.3 boards and 4.5 assists, making 44.1% of his shots from the floor and 39.6% from beyond the arc, with 3.1 triples per contest. Caleb Martin’s averages for the season are 10.0 points, 4.4 rebounds and 2.2 assists, making 43.1% of his shots from the field and 34.9% from beyond the arc, with 1.3 triples per contest.
What you need to know about the Celtics
Things are clicking for the Celtics, who are scoring 120.6 points per game (second-best in NBA) and giving up 109.2 points per contest (fifth-best). The Celtics rank second-best in the NBA by pulling down 46.3 rebounds per game. In terms of rebounds allowed, they rank 14th in the league (43.3 allowed per contest). The Celtics are delivering 26.9 dimes per game, which ranks them 14th in the NBA in 2023-24.
Boston is putting up 123.1 points per game in home games. Away from home, it is averaging 118.0 points per contest. When it comes to three-point shooting, things are clicking for Boston, who is making 16.5 threes per game (best in NBA) and shooting 38.8% from three-point land (second-best). Boston ranks fourth-best in the NBA by allowing a three-point shooting percentage of 35.2% to opponents. It ranks 14th in the league by allowing 12.9 treys per contest.
The Celtics are 5-4-1 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their past 10 games. In its past 10 contests, Boston has gone over the total five times. The Celtics’ offense has been much worse over their last 10 games, racking up 110.9 points a contest compared to the 120.6 they’ve averaged this season. Boston’s defense has been more stingy as of late, as the team has given up 102.6 points per game during its last 10 compared to the 109.2 points per game its opponents average on the season.
What you need to know about the Heat
The Heat are the fifth-worst team in the NBA in points scored (110.1 per game) but third-best in points allowed (108.4). On the glass, Miami is 25th in the NBA in rebounds (42.3 per game). It is 11th in rebounds conceded (42.8 per game). The Heat are 18th in the league in assists (25.8 per game) in 2023-24.
At home the Heat are putting up 112.1 points per game, 4.0 more than they are averaging on the road (108.1). The Heat are 18th in the league in 3-pointers made (12.5 per game) and 12th in 3-point percentage (37.0%). Defensively, Miami is 16th in the NBA in 3-pointers conceded per game at 13.0. It is fifth-best in 3-point percentage allowed at 35.3%.
The Heat have gone 5-5 in their last 10 contests, with a 5-5 record against the spread in that span. Six of Miami’s last 10 contests have hit the over. In its past 10 games, Miami is scoring 106.3 points per game, compared to its season average of 110.1. The Heat are allowing 107.0 points per game in their past 10 games, which is 1.4 fewer points than they are allowing for the season (108.4).
Celtics vs. Heat Prediction & Pick
Our pick to win this matchup is Celtics, and we predict that Celtics will cover the spread (Celtics -14). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 200 points.
How to bet Celtics vs. Heat
You can bet on Boston vs. Miami at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.
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