Fresno State vs. Kent State Prediction: Picks & Start Time – September 23, 2023

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It’ll be the Fresno State Bulldogs (3-0) against the Kent State Golden Flashes (1-2) in college football play at Bulldog Stadium (CA) in Fresno, California.

Fresno State vs. Kent State Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 27 points, with oddsmakers listing Fresno State as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Fresno State has -4500 odds to pick up the win, while Kent State is listed at +1450 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 47.5 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Fresno State vs. Kent State Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, September 23, 2023
  • Game Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS Sports
  • Location: Fresno, California
  • Stadium: Bulldog Stadium (CA)
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Betting Preview

Fresno State

Fresno State is putting up 400.3 yards per game offensively this season (59th in the FBS), and is allowing 319.7 yards per game (46th) on the other side of the ball. Fresno State is totaling 34.0 points per game on offense, which ranks them 41st in the FBS. On defense, the defense ranks 61st, surrendering 22.0 points per contest. Fresno State is putting up 291.7 passing yards per game on offense (26th in the FBS), and ranks 79th on the other side of the ball with 225.0 passing yards allowed per game. Fresno State ranks 21st-worst in rushing offense (108.7 rushing yards per game), but has been better on defense, ranking 31st with 94.7 rushing yards allowed per game. Fresno State is putting up a 45.1% third-down conversion rate offensively this season (43rd in the FBS), and is giving up a 34.1% third-down percentage (44th) on defense. Fresno State has forced 10 total turnovers (third in the FBS) this season and have turned it over two times (11th in the FBS) for a turnover margin of +8, the best in college football.

Kent State

Kent State has not been getting things done offensively, ranking 15th-worst with 302.3 total yards per game. It has been more productive on defense, allowing 394.7 total yards per contest (98th-ranked). Kent State ranks 14th-worst in points per game (16.7), but it has been more effective defensively, ranking 108th in the FBS with 31.3 points allowed per contest. Kent State ranks 18th-worst in passing yards per game on offense (163.7), but at least it has been playing well on defense, ranking 24th-best in passing yards surrendered per contest (173.3). Kent State’s defense has been bottom-25 in run defense this season, ceding 221.3 rushing yards per game, which ranks seventh-worst in the FBS. Offensively, it ranks 90th with 138.7 rushing yards per contest. Kent State ranks 74th in third-down conversion rate (40.0%) on offense, but it has been less productive defensively, ranking sixth-worst in the FBS with a 53.7% third-down percentage allowed. At +2, Kent State has the 30th-ranked turnover margin in the FBS, with five forced turnovers (55th in the FBS) and three turnovers committed (27th in the FBS).

Fresno State vs. Kent State Betting Analysis

Fresno State Betting Insights

Fresno State has covered the spread two times this season (2-1-0). Fresno State is winless against the spread when it has played as 27-point or greater favorites (0-1). This season, Fresno State games have hit the over twice. The Bulldogs have been listed as the moneyline favorite just one other time so far this season, a game they won. The Bulldogs have not yet played as a moneyline favorite of -4500 or shorter.

Kent State Betting Insights

Kent State is 1-1-0 against the spread this year. Kent State has an ATS record of 1-1 when playing as at least 27-point underdogs. Kent State games have gone over the total once this year. The Golden Flashes will play as the underdog for the first time this season. The Golden Flashes have not won as an underdog of +1450 or more on the moneyline this season in two such games.

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Fresno State vs. Kent State Against The Spread & Betting Records

Fresno State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 52.7 63.5 47.3
Implied Total AVG 33.0 47.0 26.0
ATS Record 2-1-0 0-1-0 2-0-0
Over/Under Record 2-1-0 1-0-0 1-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 0-0 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-0 0-0 1-0

Kent State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 55.8 55.8
Implied Total AVG 46.5 46.5
ATS Record 1-1-0 0-0-0 1-1-0
Over/Under Record 1-1-0 0-0-0 1-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 0-0 0-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

Players to Watch

Fresno State

  • To go along with his 874 passing yards and 64.4% completion percentage this season, Mikey Keene has tallied eight touchdowns against two interceptions.
  • Erik Brooks has been an asset for the Bulldogs, compiling 361 receiving yards and three touchdowns on 27 receptions.
  • Elijah Gilliam has tallied 230 rushing yards (76.7 yards per game) and two touchdowns while averaging 4.0 yards per carry in three games for the Bulldogs.
  • Gilliam has recorded four grabs (on zero targets) for 37 yards and zero touchdowns in addition to the stats he’s posted in the ground game.
  • Jaelen Gill has gotten zero targets in 2023 and has turned them into 18 receptions (6.0 per game) for 181 yards and two TDs in three games.
  • As part of the Bulldogs’ defensive unit, Levelle Bailey has compiled 17 tackles, one TFL, and one interception in three games.
  • As part of the Bulldogs’ defensive unit, Carlton Johnson has recorded six tackles and three interceptions in three games.
  • Morice Norris has helped spur the Bulldogs’ defense with 12 tackles, four TFL, and one sack in three games.
  • With 19 tackles, Dean Clark has helped carry the Bulldogs’ defense over three games.

Kent State

  • In three games, Gavin Garcia has run for 238 yards (79.3 per game) and two touchdowns.
  • In three games, Trell Harris has 11 catches for 208 yards (69.3 per game) and one touchdown.
  • Michael Alaimo has passed for 491 yards (163.7 per game), completing 54.7% of his passes, with one touchdown and three interceptions in three games.
  • In two games, Jaylen Thomas has run for 71 yards (35.5 per game) and one TD.
  • Devin Nicholson has been providing a big boost on defense, posting 22 tackles and two TFL for the Golden Flashes.
  • The Golden Flashes’ Nick Giacolone has posted three TFL, 14 tackles, and one interception in three games.
  • In three games for the Golden Flashes, Khali Saunders has posted 10 tackles, one TFL, and one interception.
  • With six tackles, three TFL, and one sack in three games, CJ West has been wreaking havoc on defense for the Golden Flashes.

Fresno State vs. Kent State Predictions and Pick

Fresno State vs. Kent State betting card

  • Pick ATS:

    Kent State (+27)

  • Pick OU: Over (47.5)

How to Bet on Fresno State vs. Kent State

You can bet on Fresno State vs. Kent State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Fresno State vs. Kent State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this game is Fresno State, and we expect that Kent State will cover the spread (Fresno State -27). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 47.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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