Youngstown State vs Northern Kentucky Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Monday, March 6, 2023

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The No. 1 seed Youngstown State Penguins (24-8, 15-5 Horizon League) will take the court in the Horizon League Tournament against the No. 4 seed Northern Kentucky Norse (20-12, 14-6 Horizon League). The teams will square off Monday at 7:00 PM live on ESPNU.

The Penguins are currently moderate 3.5-point favorites over the Norse. The over/under is 139 points for the game.

Youngstown State vs. Northern Kentucky Odds

Point Spread for Youngstown State vs. Northern Kentucky

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Youngstown State as the favorite.

Youngstown State vs. Northern Kentucky Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Youngstown State has -172 odds to pick up the win, while Northern Kentucky is listed at +145 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 139 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Monday, March 6, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPNU
  • Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
  • Arena: Indiana Farmers Coliseum

Youngstown State vs. Northern Kentucky Betting Trends

Youngstown State has 18 wins against the spread in 31 games this season. The Penguins have been favorites in 28 games this season and have come away with the win 21 times (75%) in those contests. Youngstown State has eclipsed the over/under in 73.3% of its opportunities this year (22 times over 30 games with a set point total).

Northern Kentucky has played 30 games, with 13 wins, against the spread. The Norse are 3-6 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 33.3% of those games). Northern Kentucky’s games this season have gone over the total in 12 of 30 opportunities (40%).

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Youngstown State vs. Northern Kentucky Key Players to Watch

Youngstown State

Adrian Nelson totals a team-leading 9.4 rebounds per game. In addition, he’s recording 13.5 points and 1.1 assists, shooting 50.7% from the floor. Malek Green puts up 13.8 points, 7.1 rebounds and 1.1 assists per contest, shooting 53.1% from the field. Brandon Rush posts 14.2 points, 2.6 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest, shooting 48.8% from the floor and 39.2% from beyond the arc with 2.3 made 3-pointers per contest.

Northern Kentucky

Marques Warrick is putting up team highs in points (19 per game) and assists (2.8). And he is producing 2.3 rebounds, making 45.1% of his shots from the floor and 39.8% from beyond the arc, with 2.6 triples per contest. Sam Vinson gets the Norse 11.4 points, 4.1 rebounds and 3 assists per contest. He also averages 2.4 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. Chris Brandon is the Norse’s top rebounder (9.6 per game), and he posts 6.8 points and 0.8 assists. Xavier Rhodes is putting up a team-high 3.8 assists per contest. And he is contributing 7.5 points and 2.2 rebounds, making 44.2% of his shots from the field.

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What you need to know about the Youngstown State Penguins

Youngstown State has won 12 games against the spread in conference action this season, while failing to cover nine times. The Penguins have been led by their offense, as they rank fourth-best in the country by tallying 83.1 points per game. They rank 250th in college basketball in points allowed (72.5 per contest). With 32.3 rebounds per game, Youngstown State ranks 145th in college basketball. It cedes 29.3 rebounds per contest, which ranks 77th in college basketball.

This year, Youngstown State is sinking 8.1 three-pointers per game (96th-ranked in college basketball) and is shooting 37.3% (35th-ranked) from three-point land. The Penguins are allowing 7.2 treys per game (177th-ranked in college basketball). They are allowing opponents to shoot 34.9% (249th-ranked) from beyond the arc.

The Penguins are 5-5 against the spread and 8-2 overall in their last 10 contests. Youngstown State has gone over the total in six of its last 10 contests. Youngstown State has been putting up 80.7 points per contest in its last 10 appearances, an average that’s slightly lower than the 83.1 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 campaign. Youngstown State’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (71.2) is 1.3 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (72.5).

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What you need to know about the Northern Kentucky Norse

So far this year, nine out of Northern Kentucky’s 21 Horizon League games with an over/under have hit the over. The Norse are 273rd in the nation in points scored (68.2 per game) and 29th in points allowed (63.7). On the glass, Northern Kentucky is 263rd in the nation in rebounds (30.4 per game). It is 116th in rebounds allowed (30.1 per game).

At 8.4 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 35.7% from downtown, Northern Kentucky is 72nd and 100th in the country, respectively, in those categories. The Norse are 213th in college basketball in 3-pointers conceded (7.5 per game) and 21st-worst in 3-point percentage defensively (36.8%).

The Norse have a 7-3 record against the spread while finishing 6-4 overall over their last 10 games. In its past 10 contests, Northern Kentucky has hit the over five times. Northern Kentucky is scoring 69.8 points per contest over its previous 10 games, compared to its season average of 68.2. The Norse have played worse defensively in their past 10 games, giving up 65.2 points per contest, 1.5 more points their than season average of 63.7.

Youngstown State vs. Northern Kentucky Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this game is Youngstown State, and we expect that Youngstown State will cover the spread (Youngstown State -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 139 points.

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How to bet Youngstown State vs. Northern Kentucky

You can bet on Youngstown State vs. Northern Kentucky at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Youngstown State vs. Northern Kentucky picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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