Yale vs Brown Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, March 4, 2023

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The Brown Bears (14-12, 7-6 Ivy League) hope to extend a four-game home winning run when hosting the Yale Bulldogs (19-7, 9-4 Ivy League) on Saturday, March 4, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET.

Yale is a 4.5-point favorite against Brown when the Bulldogs hit the court against the Bears on Saturday. The over/under is 138 points for the game.

Yale vs. Brown Odds

Point Spread for Yale vs. Brown

The spread for this matchup is set at 4.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Yale as the favorite.

Yale vs. Brown Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Yale has -198 odds to pick up the win, while Brown is listed at +165 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 138 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Providence, Rhode Island
  • Arena: Paul Bailey Pizzitola Sports Center

Yale vs. Brown Betting Trends

In Yale’s 24 games this year, it has 16 wins against the spread. The Bulldogs have been favorites in 18 games this season and have come away with the win 14 times (77.8%) in those contests. Yale has gone over the point total in 30.8% of its opportunities this year (eight times over 26 games with a set point total).

Brown is 16-9-1 against the spread this season. The Bears have won five of the 17 games they were listed as the moneyline underdog this season (29.4%). Brown has hit the over 42.3% of the time this year (11 of 26 games with a set point total).

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Yale vs. Brown Key Players to Watch


EJ Jarvis posts a team-leading 5.4 rebounds per contest. He is also averaging 12 points and 0.7 assists, shooting 57.1% from the field. Bez Mbeng paces the Bulldogs at 3.3 assists per game, while also putting up 4.1 rebounds and 9.5 points. Matt Knowling posts 14.5 points and 2.1 assists per contest — both team highs. He is also putting up 5 rebounds, shooting 63% from the floor. John Poulakidas is putting up 11.8 points, 1.4 assists and 3 rebounds per game.


Paxson Wojcik is putting up a team-high 3.2 assists per game. And he is delivering 14.5 points and 7.2 rebounds, making 45.6% of his shots from the floor and 38.5% from 3-point range, with 2.1 triples per game. Nana Owusu-Anane is the Bears’ top rebounder (8.5 per game), and he delivers 10.7 points and 2.2 assists. Kino Lilly Jr. leads the Bears in scoring (16.8 points per game) and assists (2.5), and posts 1.9 rebounds. He also posts 1.1 steals and 0 blocked shots. The Bears get 8.2 points, 6.2 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game from Kalu Anya.

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What you need to know about the Yale Bulldogs

A total of six out of Yale’s 13 Ivy League games this season have hit the over. The Bulldogs have been carried by their defense, as they rank 17th-best in college basketball by surrendering just 62.2 points per game. They rank 74th in college basketball in points scored (76.2 per contest). With 35.2 rebounds per game, Yale ranks 31st in the country. It cedes 28.3 rebounds per contest, which ranks 33rd in college basketball.

The Bulldogs are putting up 83.2 points per game in home games. On the road, they are averaging 70.2 points per contest. This year, Yale is sinking 7.4 threes per game (185th-ranked in college basketball) and is shooting 35.5% (107th-ranked) from beyond the arc. The Bulldogs are surrendering 7.1 treys per game (165th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while allowing a 32.2% three-point percentage (82nd-ranked).

The Bulldogs have gone 8-2 over their last 10 games, with a 7-3 record against the spread in that span. Yale has gone over the total in five of its past 10 outings. In its last 10 games, Yale has been putting up 79.2 points per game, an average that’s slightly higher than the 76.2 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. Yale has been more porous on the defensive side of the ball as of late, allowing 68.5 points per game during its last 10 outings compared to the 62.2 points per game its opponents are averaging in the 2022-23 season.

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What you need to know about the Brown Bears

Brown has compiled an 8-4-1 ATS record so far this year in conference action. At 69.3 points scored per game and 68.8 points conceded, the Bears are 242nd in the nation offensively and 138th defensively. Brown is 120th in the nation in rebounds per game (32.7) and 200th in rebounds conceded (31.5).

The Bears are putting up more points at home (72.1 per game) than on the road (67.3). Beyond the arc, Brown is 109th in the nation in 3-pointers made per game (8). It is 148th in 3-point percentage at 34.9%. The Bears give up 7.4 3-pointers per game and concede 35% from beyond the arc, ranking 205th and 257th, respectively, in college basketball.

The Bears have a 7-2-1 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall over their past 10 games. In its past 10 games, Brown has gone over the total six times. Brown is averaging 76.1 points per contest in its previous 10 games, compared to its season average of 69.3. While the Bears are allowing 68.8 points per game in 2022-23, they have been worse in their past 10 games, allowing 74.9 points per contest.

Yale vs. Brown Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is Yale, and we project that Yale will cover the spread (Yale -4.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 138 points.

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How to bet Yale vs. Brown

You can bet on Yale vs. Brown at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Yale vs. Brown picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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