Virginia vs Florida State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, January 14, 2023

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The Florida State Seminoles’ (5-12, 3-3 ACC) ACC schedule includes Saturday’s matchup with the Virginia Cavaliers (12-3, 4-2 ACC) at Donald L. Tucker Civic Center. It begins at 4:00 PM ET.

The Cavaliers are currently solid 9.5-point favorites over the Seminoles. The over/under for the matchup is 130.5.

Virginia vs. Florida State Odds

Point Spread for Virginia vs. Florida State

The spread for this matchup is set at 9.5 points, with bookmakers listing Virginia as the favorite.

Virginia vs. Florida State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Virginia has -491 odds to pick up the win, while Florida State is listed at +368 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 130.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, January 14, 2023
  • Game Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • Location: Tallahassee, Florida
  • Arena: Donald L. Tucker Civic Center

Virginia vs. Florida State Betting Trends

In the Virginia’s 15 games this year, it has five wins against the spread. The Cavaliers have been victorious in seven of the nine contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season. Virginia has gone over the point total in 47.1% of its opportunities this year (eight times over 17 games with a set point total).

Florida State is 7-10-0 against the spread this season. The Seminoles have been the underdog on the moneyline nine total times this season. They’ve finished 1-8 in those games. Florida State’s games this year have gone over the point total 52.9% of the time (nine out of 17 games with a set point total).

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Virginia vs. Florida State Key Players to Watch


Kihei Clark is tops on his team in assists per contest (6.0), and also posts 11.1 points and 2.6 rebounds. Defensively, he puts up 1.5 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. Reece Beekman averages 10.0 points, 3.4 rebounds and 5.0 assists per game, shooting 44.6% from the floor and 47.1% from downtown with 1.1 made 3-pointers per contest. Armaan Franklin is tops on his team in both points (11.4) and assists (1.3) per game, and also averages 4.1 rebounds. Defensively, he delivers 1.0 steal and 0.5 blocked shots. Kadin Shedrick puts up 8.9 points, 4.3 rebounds and 0.7 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.2 steals and 1.8 blocked shots.

Florida State

Matthew Cleveland is posting team highs in points (14.7 per game) and rebounds (7.5). And he is delivering 1.6 assists, making 47.4% of his shots from the field. The Seminoles get 13.3 points, 2.4 rebounds and 3.5 assists per game from Caleb Mills. The Seminoles receive 14.0 points, 3.2 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game from Darin Green Jr.. Jalen Warley is averaging a team-high 3.9 assists per contest. And he is producing 5.6 points and 2.8 rebounds, making 42.5% of his shots from the field.

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What you need to know about the Virginia Cavaliers

The Cavaliers own a top-25 defense this year, ranking 13th-best in college basketball with 59.5 points allowed per game. Offensively, they rank 230th with 69.7 points scored per contest. With 29.7 rebounds per game, Virginia ranks 302nd in college basketball. It surrenders 28.1 rebounds per contest, which ranks 30th in college basketball.

The Cavaliers are averaging 68.4 points per game this season when playing at home, which is 0.1 more points than they’re averaging in away games (68.3). With 7.4 three-pointers per game, Virginia is 186th in the country. It owns a 37.6% shooting percentage from beyond the arc, which ranks 46th in college basketball. So far this year, the Cavaliers are ceding 7.1 treys per game (169th-ranked in college basketball) and are allowing opponents to shoot 34.6% (254th-ranked) from three-point land.

The Cavaliers have covered the spread twice, and are 7-3 overall, in their last 10 games. Five of Virginia’s last 10 outings have gone over the total. Virginia has seen a downturn in scoring recently, putting up 65.5 points per game in its last 10 contests, 4.2 points fewer than the 69.7 it has scored this season. Virginia has been slightly suspect on the defensive end of the floor of late, allowing 60.4 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 59.5 it has conceded this season.

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What you need to know about the Florida State Seminoles

The Seminoles are 243rd in the nation in points scored (69.4 per game) and 310th in points allowed (74.4). On the boards, Florida State is 329th in college basketball in rebounds (28.8 per game). It is 279th in rebounds allowed (32.9 per game).

At home, the Seminoles score 74.0 points per game. Away, they average 63.3. With 6.5 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 34.8% from downtown, Florida State is 272nd and 141st in the nation, respectively, in those categories. The Seminoles give up 8.2 3-pointers per game and concede 36.0% from beyond the arc, ranking 290th and 308th, respectively, in the nation.

The Seminoles are 6-4 against the spread and 4-6 overall in their last 10 contests. In its past 10 contests, Florida State has hit the over five times. Florida State is compiling 70.8 points per game in its previous 10 games, compared to its season average of 69.4. The Seminoles have performed better defensively over their last 10 games, surrendering 73.7 points per contest, 0.7 fewer points than their season average of 74.4 allowed.

Virginia vs. Florida State Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this game is Virginia, and we expect that Virginia will cover the spread (Virginia -9.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 130.5 points.

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How to bet Virginia vs. Florida State

You can bet on Virginia vs. Florida State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Virginia vs. Florida State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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