Vanderbilt vs LSU Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Thursday, March 9, 2023

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The No. 6 seed Vanderbilt Commodores (18-13, 11-7 SEC) will square off in the SEC Tournament against the No. 14 seed LSU Tigers (14-18, 2-16 SEC) on Thursday at Bridgestone Arena, tipping off at 9:30 PM.

The Commodores are currently 4.5-point favorites against the Tigers. The over/under is 142.5 points for the matchup.

Vanderbilt vs. LSU Odds

Point Spread for Vanderbilt vs. LSU

The spread for this matchup is set at 4.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Vanderbilt as the favorite.

Vanderbilt vs. LSU Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Vanderbilt has -192 odds to pick up the win, while LSU is listed at +162 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 142.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, March 9, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: SEC Network
  • Location: Nashville, Tennessee
  • Arena: Bridgestone Arena

Vanderbilt vs. LSU Betting Trends

Vanderbilt is 17-14-0 against the spread this year. The Commodores have won in 10, or 76.9%, of the 13 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. Vanderbilt’s games this year have hit the over on 17 of 32 set point totals.

LSU is 10-21-1 against the spread this season. The Tigers have a 3-17 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 15% of those games). LSU has hit the over 43.8% of the time this season (14 of 32 games with a set point total).

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Vanderbilt vs. LSU Key Players to Watch


Liam Robbins averages 15 points and 6.8 rebounds per contest — both team highs. He is also putting up 1 assists, shooting 50.4% from the field. Tyrin Lawrence puts up 11.8 points, 4.2 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game, shooting 47.9% from the field. Ezra Manjon is tops on his squad in assists per contest (3.8), and also averages 9 points and 2.8 rebounds. At the other end, he totals 0.9 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. Jordan Wright averages 10.1 points, 4.6 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game, shooting 40.5% from the floor and 34.7% from beyond the arc with 1.2 made 3-pointers per contest.


K.J. Williams is averaging team highs in points (17.4 per game) and rebounds (7.6). And he is contributing 0.9 assists, making 48.5% of his shots from the field and 40.6% from 3-point range, with 1.7 triples per contest. Derek Fountain gives the Tigers 8 points, 5.5 rebounds and 0.8 assists per contest. He also posts 1.1 steals and 0.5 blocked shots. The Tigers get 11.8 points, 2.3 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game from Adam Miller. The Tigers get 7.8 points, 2.5 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game from Cam Hayes.

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What you need to know about the Vanderbilt Commodores

A total of 11 out of Vanderbilt’s 18 SEC games this season have gone over the point total. The Commodores rank 174th in the nation with 72 points per game so far this season. At the other end of the court, they rank 230th with 71.7 points allowed per contest. This year, Vanderbilt is grabbing 33.6 boards per game (70th-ranked in college basketball) and giving up 33.3 rebounds per contest (307th-ranked).

Vanderbilt is 63rd in college basketball with 8.5 treys per game this season. Meanwhile, it ranks 189th with a 34% shooting percentage from beyond the arc. The Commodores are ceding 6.9 three-pointers per game (136th-ranked in college basketball). They are allowing opponents to shoot 31.3% (51st-ranked) from beyond the arc.

The Commodores have a 7-3 record against the spread while finishing 8-2 overall in their past 10 contests. In its past 10 contests, Vanderbilt has gone over the total six times. Vanderbilt has seen an uptick in scoring recently, putting up 72.4 points per game in its last 10 outings, 0.4 points more than the 72 it has scored this year. Vanderbilt has been less stingy on defense lately, giving up 74 points per game over its past 10 contests compared to the 71.7 points per game its opponents average over the 2022-23 season.

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What you need to know about the LSU Tigers

So far this season, nine out of LSU’s 19 SEC games with an over/under have gone over the point total. Offensively the Tigers are the 285th-ranked squad in the country (67.6 points per game). Defensively they are 190th (70.5 points allowed per game). On the boards, LSU is 212th in college basketball in rebounds (31.3 per game). It is 194th in rebounds conceded (31.3 per game).

With 7.3 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 33% from downtown, LSU is 192nd and 241st in the nation, respectively, in those categories. The Tigers give up 8.1 3-pointers per game and concede 34.5% from beyond the arc, ranking 286th and 228th, respectively, in the nation.

The Tigers are 4-6 against the spread and 2-8 overall over their last 10 contests. Five of LSU’s last 10 outings have hit the over. While LSU is posting 67.6 points per game in 2022-23, it has bettered that mark in its past 10 games, producing 68.8 a contest. Over their last 10 games, the Tigers are ceding 75 points per contest, 4.5 more points than their season average (70.5).

Vanderbilt vs. LSU Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is Vanderbilt, and we predict that Vanderbilt will cover the spread (Vanderbilt -4.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 142.5 points.

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How to bet Vanderbilt vs. LSU

You can bet on Vanderbilt vs. LSU at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Vanderbilt vs. LSU picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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