Purdue vs. Tennessee Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Sunday, March 31, 2024

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The No. 1 seed Purdue Boilermakers (32-4) take on the No. 2 seed Tennessee Volunteers (27-8) in the NCAA Tournament Elite Eight on Sunday at Little Caesars Arena, airing on CBS starting at 2:20 PM ET.

Sunday’s matchup between the Boilermakers and the Volunteers features the Boilermakers as moderate 3.5-point favorites. The game’s point total is 147.5.

Purdue vs. Tennessee Odds

Point Spread for Purdue vs. Tennessee

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with bookmakers listing Purdue as the favorite.

Purdue vs. Tennessee Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Purdue has -180 odds to pick up the win, while Tennessee is listed at +150 to claim victory.

Purdue vs. Tennessee Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 147.5 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, March 31, 2024
  • Game Time: 2:20 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Detroit, Michigan
  • Arena: Little Caesars Arena

Purdue vs. Tennessee Betting Trends

Against the spread, Purdue is 18-16-2 this year. The Boilermakers have been victorious in 26, or 86.7%, of the 30 contests they have been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season. Purdue’s games this year have gone over the total in 22 out of 35 opportunities (62.9%).

In Tennessee’s 35 games this year, it has 18 wins against the spread. The Volunteers have been the moneyline underdog five total times this season. They’ve finished 2-3 in those games. Tennessee has hit the over 51.4% of the time this season (18 of 35 games with a set point total).

Purdue vs. Tennessee Key Players to Watch

Purdue

Zach Edey puts up 24.6 points and 12.1 rebounds per game — both team highs. He is also averaging 2.1 assists, shooting 62.4% from the field. Braden Smith leads the Boilermakers at 7.5 assists per contest, while also posting 5.8 rebounds and 12.3 points. He is second in the country in assists. Lance Jones averages 12.0 points, 2.7 rebounds and 2.1 assists per contest, shooting 41.1% from the field and 35.7% from downtown with 2.1 made 3-pointers per contest. Fletcher Loyer puts up 10.5 points, 2.0 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game, shooting 43.0% from the floor and 45.0% from downtown with 1.6 made 3-pointers per game.

Tennessee

Dalton Knecht is the Volunteers’ top scorer (21.2 points per game), and he averages 1.8 assists and 4.9 rebounds. Jonas Aidoo is posting a team-high 7.4 rebounds per contest. And he is delivering 11.7 points and 0.9 assists, making 52.1% of his shots from the floor. Zakai Zeigler is posting a team-leading 6.0 assists per contest. And he is contributing 11.9 points and 2.8 rebounds, making 39.8% of his shots from the field and 35.3% from 3-point range, with 2.0 treys per game. The Volunteers get 8.5 points, 6.4 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game from Josiah-Jordan James.

What you need to know about the Purdue Boilermakers

The Boilermakers have been led by their offense, as they rank 10th-best in the nation by tallying 83.8 points per game. They rank 97th in college basketball in points allowed (69.4 per contest). Purdue is dominating when it comes to rebounding, as it ranks best in college basketball in boards ( per game) and best in boards allowed ( per contest).

Purdue ranks second-best in college basketball with a three-point shooting percentage of 41.2%. It ranks 71st in college basketball by draining 8.5 treys per contest. The Boilermakers are surrendering 7.2 three-pointers per game (195th-ranked in college basketball) this year, while allowing a 31.3% three-point percentage (38th-ranked).

The Boilermakers are 5-5 against the spread and 9-1 overall over their last 10 games. In its past 10 contests, Purdue has hit the over six times. On the offensive side of the ball, Purdue has struggled over its last 10 games, scoring 82.1 points per contest over that stretch compared to the 83.8 it has put up over the course of this year. Purdue’s defense has been more stingy lately, as the team has allowed 68.2 points per game during its last 10 compared to the 69.4 points per game its opponents average on the season.

What you need to know about the Tennessee Volunteers

The Volunteers are 49th in college basketball in points scored (79.1 per game) and 52nd in points allowed (67.3). In 2023-24, Tennessee is best in college basketball in rebounds ( per game) and best in rebounds conceded ().

In 2023-24, Tennessee is 55th in the country in 3-point makes (8.7 per game) and 167th in 3-point percentage (34.2%). Defensively, the Volunteers are 258th in the nation in 3-pointers allowed per game at 7.6. They are 38th in 3-point percentage allowed at 31.3%.

The Volunteers have gone 8-2 over their past 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span. Three of Tennessee’s past 10 games have gone over the total. Tennessee is posting 76.1 points per game over its previous 10 games, which is 3.0 fewer points than its average for the season (79.1). The Volunteers are surrendering 67.5 points per game in their last 10 games, compared to their season average of 67.3 points allowed.

Purdue vs. Tennessee Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is Purdue, and we predict that Tennessee will cover the spread (Purdue -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 147.5 points.

How to bet Purdue vs. Tennessee

You can bet on Purdue vs. Tennessee at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Purdue vs. Tennessee picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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