TCU vs Arizona State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Friday, March 17, 2023

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The No. 6 seed TCU Horned Frogs (21-12) and the No. 11 seed Arizona State Sun Devils (23-12) will meet in the opening round of the NCAA Tournament on Friday at 10:05 PM. The matchup airs on truTV.

Friday’s matchup between the Horned Frogs and the Sun Devils sees the Horned Frogs as 5-point favorites. The matchup’s point total is 142.5.

TCU vs. Arizona State Odds

Point Spread for TCU vs. Arizona State

The spread for this matchup is set at 5 points, with oddsmakers listing TCU as the favorite.

TCU vs. Arizona State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, TCU has -220 odds to pick up the win, while Arizona State is listed at +181 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 142.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Friday, March 17, 2023
  • Game Time: 10:05 PM ET
  • TV Channel: truTV
  • Location: Denver, Colorado
  • Arena: Ball Arena

TCU vs. Arizona State Betting Trends

Against the spread, TCU is 16-17-0 this year. The Horned Frogs have come away with 14 wins in the 19 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season. TCU’s games this year have hit the over on 16 of 35 set point totals.

Arizona State has 16 wins against the spread in 35 games this year. The Sun Devils have won 53.8% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (7-6). Arizona State has gone over the point total 51.4% of the time this year (18 of 35 games with a set point total).

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TCU vs. Arizona State Key Players to Watch


Damion Baugh paces the Horned Frogs at 5.8 assists per contest, while also posting 4.5 rebounds and 12.6 points. Emanuel Miller puts up a team-leading 6.6 rebounds per game. In addition, he’s posting 12.4 points and 1.8 assists, shooting 51.6% from the field. Mike Miles leads his team in both points (17.3) and assists (2.6) per game, and also posts 2.8 rebounds. At the other end, he puts up 1.2 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. JaKobe Coles posts 8.6 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.2 assists per contest. At the other end, he delivers 0.6 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.

Arizona State

Desmond Cambridge is the Sun Devils’ top scorer (13.8 points per game), and he delivers 2.3 assists and 3.5 rebounds. Frankie Collins is the Sun Devils’ top assist man (4.4 per game), and he produces 9.7 points and 4.2 rebounds. Warren Washington is posting a team-leading 6.8 rebounds per game. And he is delivering 9.2 points and 1.5 assists, making 56.5% of his shots from the floor. DJ Horne is posting 12.4 points, 3.4 rebounds and 2.4 assists per contest, making 36.5% of his shots from the field and 34.3% from 3-point range, with 2 treys per game.

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What you need to know about the TCU Horned Frogs

The Horned Frogs are putting up 75.2 points per game (94th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while ceding 67.9 points per contest (114th-ranked). So far this year, TCU is averaging 33.2 boards per game (90th-ranked in college basketball) and ceding 31.8 rebounds per contest (225th-ranked).

When it comes to threes, TCU has been inefficient, as it ranks 21st-worst in college basketball in treys made (5.5 per game) and 16th-worst in three-point percentage (30.6%). The Horned Frogs rank 22nd-best in college basketball by giving up a three-point shooting percentage of 30.4% to opposing teams. They rank 53rd in college basketball by ceding 6.2 three-pointers per contest.

The Horned Frogs have a 3-7 record against the spread while finishing 4-6 overall over their last 10 contests. In its past 10 contests, TCU has gone over the total twice. TCU has been scoring 70.4 points per contest in its last 10 times on the court, an average that’s a little lower than the 75.2 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 campaign. The past 10 games have seen TCU concede 4.5 more points per game (72.4) than its season-long average (67.9).

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What you need to know about the Arizona State Sun Devils

The Sun Devils are 190th in college basketball in points scored (71.1 per game) and 114th in points conceded (67.9). On the glass, Arizona State is 107th in the nation in rebounds (32.9 per game). It is 16th-worst in rebounds conceded (34.5 per game).

Arizona State is 152nd in the country in 3-pointers made (7.6 per game) and 305th in 3-point percentage (31.9%). Giving up 7.7 3-pointers per game and conceding 34.1% from beyond the arc, the Sun Devils are 242nd and 201st in the nation, respectively, in those categories.

The Sun Devils have gone 6-4 over their past 10 contests, with a 5-5 record against the spread during that span. Arizona State has hit the over in five of its past 10 outings. While Arizona State is posting 71.1 points per game in 2022-23, it has fallen short of that over its previous 10 games, producing 70.8 points per contest. The Sun Devils are surrendering 70.3 points per game in their last 10 games, which is 2.4 more points than they are allowing for the season (67.9).

TCU vs. Arizona State Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this game is TCU, and we project that Arizona State will cover the spread (TCU -5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 142.5 points.

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How to bet TCU vs. Arizona State

You can bet on TCU vs. Arizona State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s TCU vs. Arizona State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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