James Madison vs South Alabama Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Sunday, March 5, 2023

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The No. 4 seed James Madison Dukes (22-10, 12-6 Sun Belt) and the No. 8 seed South Alabama Jaguars (18-15, 9-9 Sun Belt) will try to advance in the Sun Belt tournament on Sunday as they square off at 6:00 PM.

The Dukes are currently slight 1-point favorites over the Jaguars. The over/under is 140.5 points for the matchup.

James Madison vs. South Alabama Odds

Point Spread for James Madison vs. South Alabama

The spread for this matchup is set at 1 point, with bookmakers listing James Madison as the favorite.

James Madison vs. South Alabama Moneyline

As for the moneyline, James Madison has -115 odds to pick up the win, while South Alabama is listed at -105 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 140.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, March 5, 2023
  • Game Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Pensacola, Florida
  • Arena: Pensacola Bay Center

James Madison vs. South Alabama Betting Trends

In James Madison’s 30 games this season, it has 19 wins against the spread. The Dukes have come away with 16 wins in the 23 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season. James Madison’s games this year have gone over the point total 48.4% of the time (15 out of 31 games with a set point total).

Against the spread, South Alabama is 20-11-0 this season. The Jaguars have been the underdog on the moneyline 14 total times this season. They’ve finished 3-11 in those games. South Alabama’s games this year have gone over the point total 16 times in 31 opportunities (51.6%).

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James Madison vs. South Alabama Key Players to Watch

James Madison

Terrence Edwards is tops on his squad in both points (13.3) and assists (2) per contest, and also averages 5.1 rebounds. At the other end, he delivers 1.2 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. Takal Molson leads the Dukes at 2.4 assists per game, while also posting 5 rebounds and 11.2 points. Mezie Offurum leads his squad in rebounds per contest (5.3), and also puts up 9.9 points and 1.1 assists. Defensively, he averages 1 steal and 0.4 blocked shots. Vado Morse puts up 12.1 points, 1.9 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game, shooting 37.9% from the field and 35.9% from downtown with 2.1 made 3-pointers per contest.

South Alabama

Kevin Samuel is the Jaguars’ top rebounder (9 per game), and he delivers 10.3 points and 0.5 assists. Tyrell Jones gives the Jaguars 9.2 points, 3.6 rebounds and 2.3 assists per contest. He also puts up 1.2 steals and 0 blocked shots. Owen White gives the Jaguars 9.2 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1 assists per contest. He also delivers 0.8 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the James Madison Dukes

James Madison’s Sun Belt games have hit the over nine out of 19 times this season. The Dukes are surrendering 67.8 points per game this season (112th-ranked in college basketball), but they’ve really played well offensively, putting up 81 points per contest (15th-best). So far this year, James Madison is averaging 34.8 boards per game (35th-ranked in college basketball) and allowing 30.7 rebounds per contest (157th-ranked).

James Madison is draining 8.2 treys per game (90th-ranked in college basketball). It owns a 35.5% shooting percentage (109th-ranked) from beyond the arc. This year, the Dukes are giving up 6.8 treys per game (126th-ranked in college basketball) and are allowing opposing teams to shoot 30.7% (33rd-ranked) from three-point land.

The Dukes are 7-3 against the spread and 8-2 overall over their last 10 games. Six of James Madison’s last 10 contests have gone over the total. James Madison has been putting up 74.3 points per game in its last 10 times on the court, an average that’s slightly lower than the 81 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 campaign. James Madison has been slightly suspect on the defensive end of the floor of late, allowing 68.5 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 67.8 it has conceded this year.

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What you need to know about the South Alabama Jaguars

South Alabama has covered 12 times in 20 games with a spread in conference action this season. At 71 points scored per game and 65 points conceded, the Jaguars are 190th in the nation offensively and 44th defensively. South Alabama grabs 30.2 rebounds per game and give up 32.9 boards, ranking 269th and 297th, respectively, in the country.

In 2022-23, South Alabama is 139th in college basketball in 3-point makes (7.7 per game) and 174th in 3-point percentage (34.4%). Defensively, the Jaguars are third-best in the country in 3-pointers allowed per game at 4.9. They are ninth-best in 3-point percentage conceded at 29.4%.

The Jaguars have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games, with an 8-2 record against the spread in that span. In its past 10 contests, South Alabama has hit the over five times. In its previous 10 games, South Alabama is posting 73.2 points per contest, 2.2 more than its season average (71). While the Jaguars are allowing 65 points per game in 2022-23, they have improved that mark in their last 10 games, allowing 59.7 points per contest.

James Madison vs. South Alabama Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is James Madison, and we expect that James Madison will cover the spread (James Madison -1). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 140.5 points.

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How to bet James Madison vs. South Alabama

You can bet on James Madison vs. South Alabama at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s James Madison vs. South Alabama picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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