San Diego State vs Charleston (SC) Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Thursday, March 16, 2023

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The No. 5 San Diego State Aztecs (27-6) face off against the No. 12 Charleston (SC) Cougars (31-3) in the first round of the NCAA Tournament on Thursday, beginning at 3:10 PM.

Thursday’s game between the Aztecs and the Cougars sees the Aztecs as 5.5-point favorites. The over/under is 141.5 points for the matchup.

San Diego State vs. Charleston (SC) Odds

Point Spread for San Diego State vs. Charleston (SC)

The spread for this matchup is set at 5.5 points, with sportsbooks listing San Diego State as the favorite.

San Diego State vs. Charleston (SC) Moneyline

As for the moneyline, San Diego State has -231 odds to pick up the win, while Charleston (SC) is listed at +190 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 141.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, March 16, 2023
  • Game Time: 3:10 PM ET
  • TV Channel: truTV
  • Location: Orlando, Florida
  • Arena: Amway Center

San Diego State vs. Charleston (SC) Betting Trends

Against the spread, San Diego State is 15-16-1 this season. The Aztecs have won in 25, or 86.2%, of the 29 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. San Diego State’s games this year have hit the over 42.4% of the time (14 out of 33 games with a set point total).

Charleston (SC) has 19 wins against the spread in 33 games this season. The Cougars have won two of the three games they were listed as the moneyline underdog this season (66.7%). Charleston (SC)’s games this season have gone over the total in 14 of 33 opportunities (42.4%).

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San Diego State vs. Charleston (SC) Key Players to Watch

San Diego State

Matt Bradley paces the Aztecs at 12.9 points per contest, while also putting up 2.1 assists and 3.8 rebounds. Darrion Trammell puts up a team-leading 3.3 assists per game. He is also averaging 9.5 points and 2.2 rebounds, shooting 35.3% from the floor and 30.5% from downtown with 1.3 made 3-pointers per contest. Lamont Butler posts 8.5 points, 2.6 rebounds and 3.2 assists per contest. Defensively, he posts 1.5 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.
Nathan Mensah leads the Aztecs at 5.8 rebounds per contest, while also putting up 0.6 assists and 6.2 points.

Charleston (SC)

Ryan Larson is the Cougars’ top assist man (4.1 per game), and he contributes 10.6 points and 3.3 rebounds. Ante Brzovic leads the Cougars in rebounding (5.9 per game), and posts 11.6 points and 0.9 assists. He also averages 0.7 steals and 0.5 blocked shots. Dalton Bolon leads the Cougars in scoring (12.4 points per game), and puts up 4.2 rebounds and 1.3 assists. He also averages 0.8 steals and 0 blocked shots. Pat Robinson III gives the Cougars 10.6 points, 3.2 rebounds and 1 assists per contest. He also delivers 0.8 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the San Diego State Aztecs

On offense, the Aztecs are averaging 72.1 points per game (170th-ranked in college basketball). They are allowing 63.6 points per contest at the other end of the court (28th-ranked). So far this year, San Diego State is pulling down 32.8 boards per game (112th-ranked in college basketball) and ceding 28 rebounds per contest (27th-ranked).

San Diego State is making 7.2 threes per game (201st-ranked in college basketball). It sports a 35.3% shooting percentage (114th-ranked) from beyond the arc. With a 29.3% three-point percentage allowed this season, the Aztecs are eighth-best in the nation. They rank 70th in college basketball by ceding 6.4 treys per contest.

The Aztecs are 6-4 against the spread and 9-1 overall in their past 10 contests. In San Diego State’s past 10 contests, it has hit the over once. San Diego State has seen a decrease in scoring recently, putting up 65.7 points per game in its last 10 contests, 6.4 points fewer than the 72.1 it has scored this year. San Diego State’s defense has been tougher as of late, as the team has given up 58.7 points per game during its last 10 compared to the 63.6 points per game its opponents average this season.

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What you need to know about the Charleston (SC) Cougars

The Cougars are the 14th-best squad in the nation in points scored (80.8 per game) and 97th in points allowed (67.4). On the boards, Charleston (SC) is fourth-best in the nation in rebounds (37.4 per game). It is 96th in rebounds conceded (29.9 per game).

Charleston (SC) is the ninth-best team in college basketball in 3-pointers made (10.1 per game) and 222nd in 3-point percentage (33.4%). The Cougars give up 5.9 3-pointers per game and concede 30.7% from beyond the arc, ranking 30th and 30th, respectively, in college basketball.

The Cougars have gone 10-0 in their last 10 games, with a 7-3 record against the spread during that span. Charleston (SC) has gone over the total in six of its last 10 outings. Over its previous 10 games, Charleston (SC) is putting up 83.6 points per game, 2.8 more than its season average (80.8). The Cougars have played better defensively over their previous 10 games, allowing 63.6 points per contest, 3.8 fewer points than their season average of 67.4 allowed.

San Diego State vs. Charleston (SC) Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is San Diego State, and we predict that San Diego State will cover the spread (San Diego State -5.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 141.5 points.

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How to bet San Diego State vs. Charleston (SC)

You can bet on San Diego State vs. Charleston (SC) at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s San Diego State vs. Charleston (SC) picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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