Samford vs Chattanooga Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Saturday, March 4, 2023

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The No. 2 seed Samford Bulldogs (21-10, 15-3 SoCon) will play the No. 7 seed Chattanooga Mocs (16-16, 7-11 SoCon) in the SoCon Tournament Saturday at Harrah’s Cherokee Center Asheville, starting at 6:00 PM.

The Bulldogs are currently slim 1.5-point favorites against the Mocs. The over/under is 154.5 points for the matchup.

Samford vs. Chattanooga Odds

Point Spread for Samford vs. Chattanooga

The spread for this matchup is set at 1.5 points, with bookmakers listing Samford as the favorite.

Samford vs. Chattanooga Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Samford has -127 odds to pick up the win, while Chattanooga is listed at +107 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 154.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Asheville, North Carolina
  • Arena: Harrah’s Cherokee Center Asheville

Samford vs. Chattanooga Betting Trends

In Samford’s 27 games this season, it has 14 wins against the spread. The Bulldogs have been chosen as favorites in 20 games this year and have walked away with the win 17 times (85%) in those games. Samford’s games this year have hit the over on 15 of 29 set point totals.

Chattanooga has played 29 games, with 12 wins, against the spread. The Mocs are 3-10 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 23.1% of those games). Chattanooga’s games this year have gone over the point total 48.3% of the time (14 out of 29 games with a set point total).

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Samford vs. Chattanooga Key Players to Watch


Jermaine Marshall puts up a team-leading 6.5 rebounds per game. He is also posting 12.8 points and 1.1 assists, shooting 46.5% from the field and 38% from downtown with 1.3 made 3-pointers per game. Logan Dye posts a team-high 13 points per game. He is also posting 5.1 rebounds and 1.1 assists, shooting 50.7% from the floor and 38.3% from downtown with 1.2 made 3-pointers per game. Bubba Parham leads the Bulldogs at 2.6 assists per contest, while also putting up 3.3 rebounds and 9.6 points. A.J. Staton-McCray averages 8.2 points, 4.1 rebounds and 0.6 assists per game, shooting 45.7% from the field.


Jake Stephens gets the Mocs 21.7 points, 10.2 rebounds and 3.6 assists per game. He also averages 0.8 steals and 2.3 blocked shots. Jamal Johnson is putting up team highs in points (13.5 per game) and rebounds (4.2). And he is producing 1.2 assists, making 42% of his shots from the floor and 39.2% from beyond the arc, with 2.6 treys per game. Dalvin White is the Mocs’ top assist man (2.8 per game), and he contributes 9.3 points and 2.4 rebounds. A.J. Caldwell is averaging a team-best 4.2 rebounds per contest. And he is producing 5.3 points and 2.1 assists, making 38.7% of his shots from the field and 35.3% from beyond the arc, with 1.3 triples per game.

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What you need to know about the Samford Bulldogs

Samford has won 10 games against the spread in conference play this season, while failing to cover eight times. The Bulldogs rank 33rd in the country with 78.6 points per game so far this year. At the other end of the court, they rank 209th with 71.1 points allowed per game. Samford is averaging 32.8 boards per game (114th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while allowing 29.4 rebounds per contest (82nd-ranked).

Samford ranks 32nd in college basketball with 9 threes per game so far this season. Meanwhile, it ranks 126th with a 35.2% shooting percentage from three-point land. The Bulldogs have struggled to defend threes, ranking 24th-worst in college basketball with 8.8 threes allowed per game. They rank 311th by allowing a 36.1% three-point percentage to opposing teams this season.

The Bulldogs are 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall in their last 10 contests. In its past 10 games, Samford has gone over the total seven times. Samford’s offense has been improved over its last 10 games, putting up 79.8 points per contest compared to the 78.6 it has averaged this year. Samford’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (74.9) is 3.8 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (71.1).

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What you need to know about the Chattanooga Mocs

Chattanooga has put together an 8-11-0 record against the spread in conference action this season. In 2022-23, the Mocs are 58th in the nation on offense (77 points scored per game) and 227th defensively (71.6 points conceded). Chattanooga grabs 33.5 rebounds per game and give up 31 boards, ranking 81st and 177th, respectively, in college basketball.

In 2022-23 Chattanooga is best in college basketball in 3-point makes (11.4 per game), and it ranks No. 32 in 3-point percentage (37.4%). In 2022-23, the Mocs are 326th in the country in 3-pointers allowed (8.6 per game) and 183rd in defensive 3-point percentage (33.8%).

The Mocs are 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall over their past 10 contests. In its past 10 games, Chattanooga has gone over the total four times. While Chattanooga is scoring 77 points per game in 2022-23, it has fallen short of that over its past 10 games, tallying 74.4 points per contest. While the Mocs are allowing 71.6 points per game in 2022-23, they have been worse over their previous 10 games, allowing 72.9 points per contest.

Samford vs. Chattanooga Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is Samford, and we project that Samford will cover the spread (Samford -1.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 154.5 points.

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How to bet Samford vs. Chattanooga

You can bet on Samford vs. Chattanooga at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Samford vs. Chattanooga picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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