Maryland vs Purdue Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Thursday, February 16, 2023

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The Maryland Terrapins (17-8, 8-6 Big Ten) will be attempting to extend an eight-game home winning run when hosting the Purdue Boilermakers (23-3, 12-3 Big Ten) on Thursday, February 16, 2023 at Xfinity Center. It airs at 6:30 PM ET on BTN.

Maryland is a tight 1-point favorite against Purdue when the Terrapins face off with the Boilermakers on Thursday. The game’s over/under is 132.5.

Maryland vs. Purdue Odds

Point Spread for Maryland vs. Purdue

The spread for this matchup is set at 1 point, with bookmakers listing Maryland as the favorite.

Maryland vs. Purdue Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Maryland has -115 odds to pick up the win, while Purdue is listed at -105 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 132.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, February 16, 2023
  • Game Time: 6:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: Big Ten Network
  • Location: College Park, Maryland
  • Arena: Xfinity Center

Maryland vs. Purdue Betting Trends

Maryland is 15-9-1 against the spread this year. The Terrapins have won in 16, or 94.1%, of the 17 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. Maryland’s games this year have hit the over on eight of 26 set point totals.

In Purdue’s 26 games this season, it has 11 wins against the spread. The Boilermakers are 3-1 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 75% of those games). Purdue’s games this season have gone over the total in 11 of 26 opportunities (42.3%).

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Maryland vs. Purdue Key Players to Watch


Donta Scott averages 12 points, 6.2 rebounds and 1.5 assists per contest, shooting 40.4% from the floor and 30% from beyond the arc with 1.3 made 3-pointers per contest. Hakim Hart puts up 11.6 points, 4.5 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game, shooting 50.3% from the field and 30.1% from downtown with 1 made 3-pointers per contest. Julian Reese leads his team in rebounds per contest (6.4), and also averages 10.6 points and 1 assists. At the other end, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.9 blocked shots.


Zach Edey is the Boilermakers’ top scorer (22.2 points per game, fifth in college basketball) and rebounder (13, second in college basketball), and produces 1.5 assists. Braden Smith is registering a team-best 4.4 assists per game. He’s also producing 9.9 points and 4.4 rebounds, hitting 44.7% of his shots from the field, and 41.9% from beyond the arc resulting in 1.2 treys per contest. Fletcher Loyer gets the Boilermakers 12.2 points, 1.7 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game. He also puts up 0.6 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. The Boilermakers get 6.5 points, 5.3 rebounds and 0.8 assists per game from Caleb Furst.

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What you need to know about the Maryland Terrapins

Maryland has covered eight times in 14 matchups with a spread in conference action this season. On offense, the Terrapins are scoring 70.8 points per game (192nd-ranked in college basketball). They are allowing 62.8 points per contest at the other end of the court (26th-ranked). This season, Maryland is grabbing 32 boards per game (170th-ranked in college basketball) and giving up 29.8 rebounds per contest (103rd-ranked).

The Terrapins average 74.1 points per game when playing at home, compared to 61.9 points per game when playing on the road, a difference of 12.2 points per contest. Maryland ranks 21st-worst in college basketball with a 30.4% shooting percentage from downtown. Meanwhile, it is sinking 6.4 three-pointers per game (288th-ranked in college basketball). The Terrapins are allowing 5.7 treys per game (27th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while allowing a 31.7% three-point percentage (64th-ranked).

The Terrapins have a 7-3 record against the spread while finishing 7-3 overall over their last 10 contests. Four of Maryland’s last 10 games have hit the over. Maryland has seen a decrease in scoring lately, putting up 70 points per game in its last 10 outings, 0.8 points fewer than the 70.8 it has scored this year. Maryland’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (62) is 0.8 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (62.8).

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What you need to know about the Purdue Boilermakers

Purdue has won seven games against the spread this season in conference action, while failing to cover or pushing eight times. The Boilermakers are 130th in the country in points scored (73.9 per game) and 16th-best in points conceded (61.7). On the glass, Purdue is ninth-best in the country in rebounds (36.8 per game). It is best in rebounds conceded (24.2 per game).

In 2022-23 the Boilermakers are scoring seven more points per game at home (76.2) than away (69.2). Purdue is 190th in the country in 3-pointers made (7.3 per game) and 216th in 3-point percentage (33.6%). The Boilermakers are 52nd in the country in 3-pointers conceded (6.2 per game) and 22nd-best in 3-point percentage defensively (30%).

The Boilermakers have a 5-4-1 record against the spread while going 8-2 overall in their past 10 games. Purdue has gone over the total in five of its last 10 games. While Purdue is scoring 73.9 points per game in 2022-23, it has fallen short of that in its previous 10 games, producing 70.7 points per contest. Over their previous 10 games, the Boilermakers are allowing 61.9 points per contest, 0.2 more points than their season average (61.7).

Maryland vs. Purdue Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Purdue, and we predict that Purdue will cover the spread (Maryland -1). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 132.5 points.

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How to bet Maryland vs. Purdue

You can bet on Maryland vs. Purdue at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Maryland vs. Purdue picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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