Purdue vs. Gonzaga Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Friday, March 29, 2024

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This Sweet 16 battle features the No. 1 seed Purdue Boilermakers (31-4) playing against the No. 5 seed Gonzaga Bulldogs (27-7) on Friday at Little Caesars Arena. It tips off at 7:39 PM ET, with the winner moving on to the Midwest Region bracket final.

The Boilermakers face the Bulldogs in a game that Purdue is currently a favorite by 4.5 points. The over/under is 155 points for the game.

Purdue vs. Gonzaga Odds

Point Spread for Purdue vs. Gonzaga

The spread for this matchup is set at 4.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Purdue as the favorite.

Purdue vs. Gonzaga Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Purdue has -205 odds to pick up the win, while Gonzaga is listed at +170 to claim victory.

Purdue vs. Gonzaga Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 155 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Friday, March 29, 2024
  • Game Time: 7:39 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TBS
  • Location: Detroit, Michigan
  • Arena: Little Caesars Arena

Purdue vs. Gonzaga Betting Trends

Against the spread, Purdue is 17-16-2 this season. The Boilermakers have been victorious in 25, or 86.2%, of the 29 contests they have been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season. Purdue’s games this year have gone over the total in 22 out of 33 opportunities (66.7%).

Against the spread, Gonzaga is 17-16-0 this year. The Bulldogs have compiled a 2-2 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 50% of those games). Gonzaga’s games this year have hit the over 17 times in 33 opportunities (51.5%).

Purdue vs. Gonzaga Key Players to Watch

Purdue

Zach Edey paces the Boilermakers with 24.5 points per contest (first in the country) and 12.1 rebounds (second in the country), while also averaging 2.1 assists. Braden Smith leads the Boilermakers at 7.3 assists per game, while also posting 5.7 rebounds and 12.3 points. He is third in the country in assists. Lance Jones puts up 12.0 points, 2.7 rebounds and 2.0 assists per contest. Defensively, he delivers 1.3 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. Fletcher Loyer puts up 10.5 points, 2.1 rebounds and 1.9 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.7 steals and 0.0 blocked shots.

Gonzaga

Anton Watson is putting up 14.5 points, 7.2 rebounds and 2.6 assists per contest, making 58.2% of his shots from the field. Ryan Nembhard paces the Bulldogs in assists (6.9 per game), and produces 12.6 points and 4.0 rebounds. He also averages 1.2 steals and 0.0 blocked shots. Graham Ike paces the Bulldogs in scoring (16.4 points per game) and rebounding (7.3), and posts 0.9 assists. He also puts up 0.6 steals and 0.7 blocked shots. Nolan Hickman is averaging 13.9 points, 2.3 rebounds and 2.7 assists per contest, making 46.9% of his shots from the field and 41.8% from beyond the arc, with 2.2 triples per contest.

What you need to know about the Purdue Boilermakers

The Boilermakers have been lifted by their offense, as they rank 10th-best in college basketball by scoring 83.9 points per game. They rank 99th in college basketball in points allowed (69.5 per contest). In terms of rebounding, things are clicking for Purdue, who is grabbing rebounds per game (best in college basketball) and allowing rebounds per contest (best).

Purdue ranks second-best in college basketball with a three-point shooting percentage of 41.1%. It ranks 71st in college basketball by sinking 8.5 three-pointers per contest. This season, the Boilermakers are giving up 7.2 treys per game (195th-ranked in college basketball) and are allowing opponents to shoot 31.4% (42nd-ranked) from beyond the arc.

The Boilermakers are 4-6 against the spread and 8-2 overall over their last 10 contests. Purdue has hit the over in six of its last 10 contests. Purdue’s offense has been worse over its last 10 games, putting up 81.0 points a contest compared to the 83.9 it has averaged this season. Purdue’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (68.7) is 0.8 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (69.5).

What you need to know about the Gonzaga Bulldogs

On offense, the Bulldogs are the seventh-best squad in the country (85.0 points per game). On defense, they are 81st (68.8 points allowed per game). In 2023-24, Gonzaga is best in the nation in rebounds ( per game) and best in rebounds conceded ().

Gonzaga makes 7.0 3-pointers per game and shoots 36.2% from beyond the arc, ranking 225th and 53rd, respectively, in the nation. The Bulldogs give up 7.4 3-pointers per game and concede 33.7% from beyond the arc, ranking 224th and 164th, respectively, in the country.

The Bulldogs have gone 9-1 in their last 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span. Seven of Gonzaga’s past 10 contests have hit the over. Gonzaga has played better offensively in its past 10 games, scoring 85.3 points per contest, 0.3 more than its season average of 85.0. The Bulldogs are ceding 70.0 points per game in their previous 10 games, compared to their season average of 68.8 points allowed.

Purdue vs. Gonzaga Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is Purdue, and we project that Gonzaga will cover the spread (Purdue -4.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 155 points.

How to bet Purdue vs. Gonzaga

You can bet on Purdue vs. Gonzaga at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Purdue vs. Gonzaga picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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