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The Phoenix Suns and Minnesota Timberwolves are facing off in the opening round of the NBA Playoffs, with a decisive Game 4 next to come.
The Suns are just a 1-point favorite when they and the Timberwolves square off in a game oddsmakers expect to be a tight one. The over/under for the matchup is set at 212.5.
Suns vs. Timberwolves Odds
Point Spread for Suns vs. Timberwolves
The spread for this matchup is set at 1 point, with bookmakers listing the Suns as the favorite.
Phoenix vs. Minnesota Moneyline
As for the moneyline, Phoenix has -115 odds to win the game, while Minnesota is listed at -105 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the total for the game is set at 212.5 points.
Game Time and How to Watch
- When: Sunday, April 28, 2024 at 9:30 PM ET
- Where: Footprint Center in Phoenix, Arizona
- TV: TNT
Suns vs. Timberwolves Betting Trends
The Suns have covered the spread 35 times this season (35-45-2). Phoenix has won 39, or 65%, of the 60 games it has played as the favorite this season. Games involving the Suns have hit the over 36 times this season.
The Timberwolves have covered the spread 40 times over 82 games with a set spread. Minnesota has won in nine, or 45%, of the 20 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year. This year, 41 of the Timberwolves’ games have gone over the point total.
Suns vs. Timberwolves Key Players to Watch
Suns
Kevin Durant is averaging 27.1 points, 5.0 assists and 6.6 boards per contest. Devin Booker posts 27.1 points, 4.5 boards and 6.9 assists per game, shooting 49.2% from the floor and 36.4% from downtown, with 2.2 made 3-pointers per game. Jusuf Nurkic’s numbers for the season are 10.9 points, 4.0 assists and 11.0 boards per contest. Grayson Allen averages 13.5 points, 3.9 boards and 3.0 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.9 steals and 0.6 blocks.
Timberwolves
Anthony Edwards’ averages for the season are 25.9 points, 5.4 rebounds and 5.1 assists, making 46.1% of his shots from the field and 35.7% from beyond the arc, with 2.4 triples per contest. Rudy Gobert chips in with 14.0 points per game, plus 12.9 boards and 1.3 assists. Karl-Anthony Towns gets the Timberwolves 21.8 points, 8.3 boards and 3.0 assists per contest, plus 0.7 steals and 0.7 blocks. Naz Reid gets the Timberwolves 13.5 points, 5.2 boards and 1.3 assists per game, plus 0.8 steals and 0.9 blocks.
What you need to know about the Suns
With 116.2 points per game on offense, the Suns rank 10th in the NBA. On defense, they cede 113.2 points per contest, which ranks 13th in the league. The Suns rank third-best in the NBA by allowing just 41.3 rebounds per game. They rank 10th in the league by averaging 44.1 rebounds per contest. So far this season, the Suns rank 12th in the league in assists, putting up 27.0 per game.
Offensively Phoenix has played worse in home games this season, putting up 115.8 points per game, compared to 116.7 per game in road games. Phoenix ranks fifth-best in the NBA with a three-point shooting percentage of 38.2%. It ranks 20th in the league by sinking 12.4 threes per contest. Phoenix is ceding 13.1 three-pointers per game (18th-ranked in league). It is allowing opponents to shoot 36.4% (15th-ranked) from three-point land.
The Suns are 4-6 against the spread and 5-5 overall in their past 10 games. Four of Phoenix’s last 10 games have gone over the total. On offense, the Suns have had a tough time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 107.0 points per contest over that span compared to the 116.2 they’ve racked up over the course of this season. The past 10 games have seen Phoenix concede 5.4 fewer points per game (107.8) than its season-long average (113.2).
What you need to know about the Timberwolves
In 2023-24, the Timberwolves are 18th in the NBA on offense (113.0 points scored per game) and best on defense (106.5 points allowed). In 2023-24, Minnesota is 15th in the league in rebounds (43.6 per game) and fourth-best in rebounds conceded (41.4). The Timberwolves are 15th in the NBA in assists (26.6 per game) in 2023-24.
The Timberwolves average 112.0 points per game at home, and 114.0 on the road. The Timberwolves are 15th in the league in 3-pointers made (12.6 per game) and third-best in 3-point percentage (38.7%). Minnesota is the third-best team in the NBA in 3-pointers allowed (11.4 per game) and sixth in 3-point percentage defensively (35.4%).
The Timberwolves have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall over their last 10 contests. In its past 10 games, Minnesota has gone over the total seven times. Minnesota is putting up 115.0 points per contest over its past 10 games, which is 2.0 more than its average for the season (113.0). The Timberwolves are giving up 106.4 points per game over their previous 10 games, which is 0.1 fewer points than they are allowing for the season (106.5).
Suns vs. Timberwolves Prediction & Pick
Our prediction to win this matchup is Timberwolves, and we predict that Timberwolves will cover the spread (Suns -1). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 212.5 points.
How to bet Suns vs. Timberwolves
You can bet on Phoenix vs. Minnesota at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.
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