Merrimack vs Fairleigh Dickinson Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Tuesday, March 7, 2023

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The NEC conference champion will be crowned on Tuesday when the No. 1 seed Merrimack Warriors (17-16, 12-4 NEC) and the No. 2 Fairleigh Dickinson Knights (19-14, 10-6 NEC) play at 7:00 PM.

Tuesday’s matchup between the Warriors and the Knights features the Warriors as modest 4-point favorites. The game’s point total is 138.5.

Merrimack vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Odds

Point Spread for Merrimack vs. Fairleigh Dickinson

The spread for this matchup is set at 4 points, with bookmakers listing Merrimack as the favorite.

Merrimack vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Merrimack has -187 odds to pick up the win, while Fairleigh Dickinson is listed at +163 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 138.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Tuesday, March 7, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN2
  • Location: North Andover, Massachusetts
  • Arena: Hammel Court

Merrimack vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Betting Trends

In Merrimack’s 31 games this season, it has 15 wins against the spread. The Warriors have come away with 11 wins in the 15 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season. Merrimack’s games this year have hit the over on 10 of 31 set point totals.

Fairleigh Dickinson has played 31 games, with 12 wins, against the spread. The Knights have been the moneyline underdog 11 total times this season. They’ve gone 5-6 in those games. Fairleigh Dickinson’s games this season have gone over the total in 19 of 31 opportunities (61.3%).

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Merrimack vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Key Players to Watch


Jordan Minor posts 17.4 points and 9.4 rebounds per game — both team highs. He is also averaging 2.2 assists, shooting 51.7% from the field. Ziggy Reid posts 13.9 points, 4 rebounds and 1.2 assists per contest, shooting 44% from the floor and 35.3% from downtown with 1.6 made 3-pointers per game. Javon Bennett puts up a team-best 3.4 assists per contest. He is also posting 9.6 points and 1.8 rebounds, shooting 36.1% from the floor and 28.1% from downtown with 1.4 made 3-pointers per game. Jordan Derkack averages 7.3 points, 3.7 rebounds and 2.9 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 2.1 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.

Fairleigh Dickinson

Grant Singleton is averaging 14.4 points, 3.7 rebounds and 3.4 assists per game, making 46.6% of his shots from the floor and 38.5% from beyond the arc, with 2.3 triples per game. The Knights receive 14.1 points, 4.7 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game from Ansley Almonor. Sean Moore is averaging 6.5 points, 4.5 rebounds and 1 assists per game, making 45.9% of his shots from the field.

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What you need to know about the Merrimack Warriors

A total of eight out of Merrimack’s 18 NEC games this season have hit the over. The Warriors have had to rely on their defense, which ranks 16th-best in the nation (62.2 points allowed per game), as they rank seventh-worst in college basketball on offense with just 62.5 points per contest. In terms of rebounding, Merrimack is getting beat at both ends of the court, as it ranks -4-worst in college basketball in boards (26 per game) and 10th-worst in rebounds allowed (34.8 per contest).

The Warriors are scoring 64.8 points per game at home. Away from home, they are averaging 60.9 points per contest. Merrimack is sinking 7.5 threes per game (174th-ranked in college basketball). It has a 32.9% shooting percentage (256th-ranked) from downtown. The Warriors rank 24th-best in college basketball by ceding 5.8 treys per game. In terms of three-point percentage allowed, they rank 52nd in college basketball at 31.4%.

The Warriors have gone 10-0 in their past 10 games, with a 7-3 record against the spread in that span. Merrimack has hit the over in six of its past 10 contests. Merrimack has seen an increase in scoring lately, putting up 72.3 points per game in its last 10 outings, 9.8 points more than the 62.5 it has scored this season. Merrimack has been tougher on defense lately, allowing 59.9 points per game over its past 10 outings compared to the 62.2 points per game its opponents are averaging in the 2022-23 season.

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What you need to know about the Fairleigh Dickinson Knights

Fairleigh Dickinson has covered nine times in 18 matchups with a spread in conference action this year. The Knights are 39th in the nation in points scored (78.2 per game) and 317th in points conceded (75.2). On the boards, Fairleigh Dickinson is 226th in the country in rebounds (31.1 per game). It is 127th in rebounds conceded (30.2 per game).

At home the Knights are putting up 81.5 points per game, 7.3 more than they are averaging on the road (74.2). Fairleigh Dickinson is 90th in the nation in 3-pointers made (8.2 per game) and 168th in 3-point percentage (34.5%). In 2022-23 the Knights are 290th in the nation in 3-pointers allowed (8.2 per game) and 24th-worst in defensive 3-point percentage (36.7%).

The Knights have gone 6-4 in their past 10 games, with a 4-6 record against the spread in that span. Seven of Fairleigh Dickinson’s past 10 games have hit the over. Fairleigh Dickinson is averaging 77.3 points per contest over its previous 10 games, which is 0.9 fewer points than its average for the season (78.2). The Knights have played better defensively over their previous 10 games, giving up 72.8 points per contest, 2.4 fewer points than their season average of 75.2 allowed.

Merrimack vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Merrimack, and we expect that Fairleigh Dickinson will cover the spread (Merrimack -4). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 138.5 points.

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How to bet Merrimack vs. Fairleigh Dickinson

You can bet on Merrimack vs. Fairleigh Dickinson at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Merrimack vs. Fairleigh Dickinson picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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