Memphis vs SMU Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Thursday, March 2, 2023

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The SMU Mustangs’ (10-19, 5-11 AAC) AAC schedule includes Thursday’s matchup with the Memphis Tigers (22-7, 12-4 AAC) at Moody Coliseum. It starts at 9:00 PM ET on ESPN2.

Thursday’s game between the Tigers and the Mustangs sees the Tigers as 6-point favorites. The over/under is 153.5 points for the game.

Memphis vs. SMU Odds

Point Spread for Memphis vs. SMU

The spread for this matchup is set at 6 points, with sportsbooks listing Memphis as the favorite.

Memphis vs. SMU Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Memphis has -278 odds to pick up the win, while SMU is listed at +226 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 153.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, March 2, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN2
  • Location: Dallas, Texas
  • Arena: Moody Coliseum

Memphis vs. SMU Betting Trends

Memphis has played 29 games, with 12 wins against the spread. The Tigers have won in 19, or 86.4%, of the 22 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. Memphis’ games this year have gone over the total in 17 out of 29 opportunities (58.6%).

Against the spread, SMU is 11-16-2 this year. The Mustangs have gone 3-14 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 17.6% of those games). SMU’s games this year have hit the over 19 times in 29 opportunities (65.5%).

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Memphis vs. SMU Key Players to Watch

Memphis

DeAndre Williams registers a team-best 7.9 rebounds per game. In addition, he’s putting up 17.5 points and 2.8 assists, shooting 54.2% from the field. Elijah McCadden puts up 7.8 points, 4 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest, shooting 57.6% from the floor. Alex Lomax posts 7.4 points, 3.4 rebounds and 3.4 assists per game, shooting 43.7% from the floor.

SMU

Samuell Williamson is the Mustangs’ top rebounder (7.2 per game), and he produces 9.1 points and 2.7 assists. The Mustangs get 13.3 points, 2.8 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game from Zach Nutall. Efe Odigie is posting 11.5 points, 7 rebounds and 1 assists per contest, making 49.8% of his shots from the field.

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What you need to know about the Memphis Tigers

Memphis has compiled a 5-9-2 conference record against the spread this season. The Tigers have been carried by their offense, as they rank 24th-best in college basketball by scoring 79.9 points per game. They rank 271st in college basketball in points allowed (73.2 per contest). Memphis is 156th in college basketball with 32.1 rebounds per game this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 178th with 31 rebounds allowed per game.

Offensively the Tigers have played worse in home games this season, putting up 81 points per game, compared to 82.1 per game on the road. Memphis is draining 5.7 three-pointers per game (331st-ranked in college basketball) this season, while sporting a 33.8% three-point percentage (208th-ranked). With 8.1 three-pointers conceded per game, the Tigers rank 285th in college basketball. They are ceding a 31.6% shooting percentage from beyond the arc, which ranks 60th in college basketball.

The Tigers have gone 8-2 over their last 10 games, with a 5-4-1 record against the spread during that span. Five of Memphis’ past 10 games have gone over the total. Memphis has been racking up 81.5 points per contest in its last 10 appearances, an average that’s a little higher than the 79.9 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. Memphis’ defense has been less stingy lately, as the team has given up 75.4 points per game over its last 10 compared to the 73.2 points per game its opponents are averaging on the season.

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What you need to know about the SMU Mustangs

SMU is 6-9-1 ATS in conference action this year. The Mustangs are 208th in the nation in points scored (70.4 per game) and 306th in points allowed (74.6). On the glass, SMU is 213th in the nation in rebounds (31.3 per game). It is 19th-worst in rebounds conceded (34.3 per game).

The Mustangs are scoring more points at home (71.5 per game) than on the road (67.5). Beyond the arc, SMU is 284th in college basketball in 3-pointers made per game (6.4). It is 320th in 3-point percentage at 31.5%. The Mustangs are 228th in the nation in 3-pointers allowed (7.6 per game) and 178th in 3-point percentage defensively (33.8%).

The Mustangs are 4-5-1 against the spread and 3-7 overall in their last 10 games. In its past 10 games, SMU has hit the over eight times. SMU is posting 73.8 points per game over its last 10 games, which is 3.4 more than its average for the season (70.4). The Mustangs have fared worse defensively in their previous 10 games, giving up 78.4 points per contest, 3.8 more points their than season average of 74.6.

Memphis vs. SMU Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is Memphis, and we predict that Memphis will cover the spread (Memphis -6). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 153.5 points.

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How to bet Memphis vs. SMU

You can bet on Memphis vs. SMU at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Memphis vs. SMU picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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