Iowa State vs TCU Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Wednesday, February 15, 2023

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The TCU Horned Frogs (17-8, 6-6 Big 12) will aim to stop a three-game road skid when squaring off against the Iowa State Cyclones (16-8, 7-5 Big 12) on Wednesday, February 15, 2023 at James H. Hilton Coliseum, airing at 9:00 PM ET on ESPNU.

Wednesday’s matchup between the Cyclones and the Horned Frogs sees the Cyclones as 5.5-point favorites. The over/under is 134.5 points for the matchup.

Iowa State vs. TCU Odds

Point Spread for Iowa State vs. TCU

The spread for this matchup is set at 5.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Iowa State as the favorite.

Iowa State vs. TCU Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Iowa State has -243 odds to pick up the win, while TCU is listed at +198 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 134.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Wednesday, February 15, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPNU
  • Location: Ames, Iowa
  • Arena: James H. Hilton Coliseum

Iowa State vs. TCU Betting Trends

Iowa State has 13 wins against the spread in 24 games this year. The Cyclones have been favorites in 11 games this season and have come away with the win nine times (81.8%) in those contests. Iowa State’s games this year have gone over the total in nine out of 25 opportunities (36%).

Against the spread, TCU is 13-12-0 this season. The Horned Frogs have gone 4-5 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 44.4% of those games). TCU’s games this season have gone over the total in 14 of 25 opportunities (56%).

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Iowa State vs. TCU Key Players to Watch

Iowa State

Jaren Holmes records a team-best 13.5 points per game. He is also averaging 3.5 rebounds and 3.4 assists, shooting 40.8% from the floor and 38.4% from downtown with 1.4 made 3-pointers per contest. Tamin Lipsey posts a team-high 4.7 assists per contest. He is also posting 7.5 points and 3.5 rebounds, shooting 52.4% from the floor. Gabe Kalscheur averages 12.7 points, 2.4 rebounds and 1.7 assists per contest. Defensively, he puts up 1.5 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
Caleb Grill is tops on the Cyclones at 4.3 rebounds per game, while also averaging 1.5 assists and 10.5 points.


Emanuel Miller tops the Horned Frogs in rebounding (6.3 per game), and averages 12.9 points and 1.9 assists. He also posts 0.9 steals and 0.9 blocked shots. Damion Baugh is the Horned Frogs’ top assist man (5.5 per game), and he averages 13.2 points and 4.3 rebounds. Mike Miles paces the Horned Frogs in scoring (18.1 points per game) and assists (3), and puts up 2.8 rebounds. He also averages 1.4 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. JaKobe Coles is putting up 8.5 points, 4.1 rebounds and 1.1 assists per game, making 48.4% of his shots from the floor.

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What you need to know about the Iowa State Cyclones

In Iowa State’s 12 Big 12 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total seven times. The Cyclones have been lifted by their defense, as they rank 17th-best in the nation by giving up just 61.8 points per game. They rank 215th in college basketball in points scored (70.1 per contest). Iowa State is pulling down 31 boards per game (231st-ranked in college basketball). It is giving up 28 rebounds per contest (28th-ranked).

Offensively the Cyclones have fared better when playing at home this year, scoring 74.1 points per game, compared to 64.5 per game on the road. Iowa State is draining 6.8 treys per game (246th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while putting up a 34.8% three-point percentage (162nd-ranked). The Cyclones are allowing 7.2 threes per game (182nd-ranked in college basketball) this year, while allowing a 32.4% three-point percentage (108th-ranked).

The Cyclones have a 4-6 record against the spread while finishing 4-6 overall in their last 10 games. Five of Iowa State’s past 10 games have gone over the total. Iowa State has been racking up 69.4 points per contest in its last 10 appearances, an average that’s a little lower than the 70.1 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. The past 10 games have seen Iowa State allow 4.9 more points per game (66.7) than its season-long average (61.8).

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What you need to know about the TCU Horned Frogs

A total of six TCU conference games this year have gone over the point total. The Horned Frogs are 76th in college basketball in points scored (76.2 per game) and 95th in points allowed (66.8). TCU is 91st in college basketball in rebounds per game (33.5) and 222nd in rebounds conceded (31.7).

At home the Horned Frogs are putting up 77.9 points per game, 3.6 more than they are averaging away (74.3). Beyond the arc, TCU is eighth-worst in the country in 3-pointers made per game (5). And it is third-worst in 3-point percentage at 28.5%. Defensively, the Horned Frogs are 46th in the country in 3-pointers allowed per game at 6.1. They are 32nd in 3-point percentage allowed at 30.6%.

The Horned Frogs have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 4-6 overall over their past 10 contests. In its past 10 games, TCU has hit the over five times. TCU is averaging 73.6 points per contest over its last 10 games, which is 2.6 fewer points than its average for the season (76.2). The Horned Frogs are ceding 71.9 points per contest in their previous 10 games, which is 5.1 more points than they are allowing for the season (66.8).

Iowa State vs. TCU Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is Iowa State, and we project that TCU will cover the spread (Iowa State -5.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 134.5 points.

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How to bet Iowa State vs. TCU

You can bet on Iowa State vs. TCU at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Iowa State vs. TCU picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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