Grambling vs Alabama State Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Saturday, March 4, 2023

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The Alabama State Hornets (8-22, 6-12 SWAC) will be looking to end a five-game losing streak when hitting the road against the Grambling Tigers (21-8, 15-3 SWAC) on Saturday, March 4, 2023 at Fredrick C. Hobdy Assembly Center. It airs at 6:30 PM ET.

The Tigers are currently sizable 11-point favorites against the Hornets. The point total for the matchup is 129.5.

Grambling vs. Alabama State Odds

Point Spread for Grambling vs. Alabama State

The spread for this matchup is set at 11 points, with bookmakers listing Grambling as the favorite.

Grambling vs. Alabama State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Grambling has -640 odds to pick up the win, while Alabama State is listed at +458 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 129.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 6:30 PM ET
  • Location: Grambling, Louisiana
  • Arena: Fredrick C. Hobdy Assembly Center

Grambling vs. Alabama State Betting Trends

Grambling has played 27 games, with 16 wins against the spread. The Tigers have come away with 15 wins in the 17 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season. Grambling’s games this year have hit the over on nine of 30 set point totals.

Alabama State has played 30 games, with 14 wins, against the spread. The Hornets have won 19% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (4-17). Alabama State’s games this year have hit the over nine times in 30 opportunities (30%).

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Grambling vs. Alabama State Key Players to Watch

Grambling

Cameron Christon is posting 12.6 points, 1.4 assists and 5.4 rebounds per contest. Shawndarius Cowart is tops on the Tigers at 3.2 assists per contest, while also posting 3.8 rebounds and 11.1 points. Carte’Are Gordon paces the Tigers with 12.7 points per contest and 7 rebounds, while also posting 1.4 assists. Jourdan Smith averages 7.8 points, 4.7 rebounds and 1 assists per contest, shooting 46.9% from the floor.

Alabama State

Ashton McClelland gets the Hornets points, 0 rebounds and assists per contest. He also posts steals and blocked shots. Antonio Madlock is putting up 11.3 points, 6.2 rebounds and 3 assists per game, making 36% of his shots from the field. Alex Anderson is averaging a team-high 3.3 assists per contest. And he is delivering 10.3 points and 4.7 rebounds, making 40.3% of his shots from the field. JordanĀ O’Neal is the Hornets’ top rebounder (7.1 per game), and he produces 8 points and 0.7 assists.

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What you need to know about the Grambling Tigers

Grambling has covered 11 times in 17 matchups with a spread in conference play this season. The Tigers sport a top-25 defense this season, ranking 17th-best in college basketball with 62.2 points allowed per game. Offensively, they rank 271st with 68.4 points scored per contest. Grambling is grabbing 31.2 boards per game (218th-ranked in college basketball) this year, while allowing 29.8 rebounds per contest (99th-ranked).

In home games, the Tigers are putting up 8.5 more points per game (73.4) than they are in away games (64.9). While Grambling ranks in the bottom 25 in college basketball in three-pointers per game with 5 (eighth-worst), it ranks 141st in college basketball with a 35% three-point percentage. The Tigers are ceding 6.2 threes per game (52nd-ranked in college basketball). They are allowing opposing teams to shoot 30.5% (27th-ranked) from three-point land.

The Tigers have an 8-2 record against the spread while finishing 9-1 overall in their last 10 games. Three of Grambling’s last 10 contests have hit the over. On the offensive side of the ball, Grambling has struggled over its last 10 games, scoring 67.4 points per contest over that stretch as opposed to the 68.4 it has racked up over the course of this season. Grambling has been tougher on defense as of late, allowing 58 points per game over its past 10 outings compared to the 62.2 points per game its opponents average in the 2022-23 season.

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What you need to know about the Alabama State Hornets

So far this year, four out of Alabama State’s 17 SWAC games with an over/under have hit the over. The Hornets are the 17th-worst team in the nation in points scored (63.8 per game) and 261st in points allowed (72.8). In 2022-23, Alabama State is 120th in the country in rebounds (32.7 per game) and fifth-worst in rebounds conceded (35.4).

In 2022-23 the Hornets are averaging four more points per game at home (66.3) than away (62.3). Beyond the arc, Alabama State is 310th in the country in 3-pointers made per game (6.1). It is 331st in 3-point percentage at 31.1%. Defensively, the Hornets are 152nd in the nation in 3-pointers allowed per game at 7. They are 184th in 3-point percentage conceded at 33.8%.

Over their past 10 games, the Hornets have two wins against the spread, and are 2-8 overall. In its past 10 contests, Alabama State has gone over the total twice. While Alabama State is posting 63.8 points per game in 2022-23, it has fallen short of that over its last 10 games, amassing 61.8 points per contest. The Hornets are surrendering 67 points per contest in their past 10 games, which is 5.8 fewer points than they are allowing for the season (72.8).

Grambling vs. Alabama State Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this game is Grambling, and we expect that Grambling will cover the spread (Grambling -11). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 129.5 points.

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How to bet Grambling vs. Alabama State

You can bet on Grambling vs. Alabama State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Grambling vs. Alabama State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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