Florida vs. Kentucky Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, January 6, 2024

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The Florida Gators (10-3, 0-0 SEC) will aim to extend a six-game win streak when they host the Kentucky Wildcats (10-2, 0-0 SEC) at 12:30 PM ET on Saturday, January 6, 2024. The Wildcats have won four games in a row.

Florida is a small 3.5-point favorite against Kentucky when the Gators square off with the Wildcats on Saturday. The over/under is 167.5 points for the matchup.

Florida vs. Kentucky Odds

Point Spread for Florida vs. Kentucky

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Florida as the favorite.

Florida vs. Kentucky Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Florida has -162 odds to pick up the win, while Kentucky is listed at +136 to claim victory.

Florida vs. Kentucky Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 167.5 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, January 6, 2024
  • Game Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Gainesville, Florida
  • Arena: Exactech Arena

Florida vs. Kentucky Betting Trends

In Florida’s 13 games this year, it has five wins against the spread. The Gators have been victorious in six of the seven contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season. Florida’s games this year have gone over the point total nine times in 12 opportunities (75%).

Kentucky is 8-4-0 against the spread this year. The Wildcats have been the moneyline underdog just two other times so far this season, and they split the games. Kentucky has hit the over 75% of the time this year (nine of 12 games with a set point total).

Florida vs. Kentucky Key Players to Watch

Florida

Tyrese Samuel puts up a team-leading 8.6 rebounds per game. He is also putting up 14.3 points and 1.8 assists, shooting 64.6% from the floor. Walter Clayton Jr. paces his team in both points (15.2) and assists (3.3) per game, and also posts 3.8 rebounds. At the other end, he averages 1.4 steals and 0.8 blocked shots. Zyon Pullin paces his squad in assists per contest (4.6), and also posts 14.1 points and 3.6 rebounds. At the other end, he averages 0.9 steals and 0.0 blocked shots. Will Richard is posting 11.8 points, 1.4 assists and 3.8 rebounds per contest.

Kentucky

Tre Mitchell leads the Wildcats in rebounding (7.1 per game), and puts up 12.8 points and 3.5 assists. He also puts up 1.1 steals and 1.3 blocked shots. Reed Sheppard is posting 12.5 points, 4.6 rebounds and 4.5 assists per game, making 57.1% of his shots from the field and 56.3% from 3-point range (seventh in college basketball), with 2.5 treys per contest. Antonio Reeves is the Wildcats’ top scorer (19.0 points per game) and assist man (1.6), and posts 4.3 rebounds. Rob Dillingham is No. 1 on the Wildcats in assists (4.6 per game), and posts 14.1 points and 3.7 rebounds. He also posts 1.5 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.

What you need to know about the Florida Gators

Florida compiled an 11-8-0 ATS record in conference play last year. The Gators own a top-25 offense this year, ranking 12th-best in college basketball with 86.3 points per game. Defensively, they rank 249th with 73.7 points allowed per contest. Florida is thriving in terms of rebounding, as it ranks best in college basketball in rebounds ( per game) and best in boards allowed ( per contest).

With 7.6 treys per game, Florida ranks 169th in college basketball. It owns a 33.7% shooting percentage from three-point land, which ranks 179th in college basketball. The Gators are giving up 7.1 threes per game (227th-ranked in college basketball). They are allowing opponents to shoot 33.9% (208th-ranked) from downtown.

What you need to know about the Kentucky Wildcats

In Kentucky’s conference games last year, the combined scoring went over the point total 13 times. The Wildcats are the third-best team in the country in points scored (91.1 per game) and 235th in points allowed (73.4). In 2023-24, Kentucky is best in college basketball in rebounds ( per game) and best in rebounds conceded ().

In 2023-24 Kentucky is 10th-best in the country in 3-point makes (10.8 per game), and seventh-best in 3-point percentage (40.6%). Defensively, the Wildcats are 18th-worst in the country in 3-pointers conceded per game at 8.5. They are 82nd in 3-point percentage conceded at 31.1%.

Florida vs. Kentucky Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this game is Florida, and we expect that Kentucky will cover the spread (Florida -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 167.5 points.

How to bet Florida vs. Kentucky

You can bet on Florida vs. Kentucky at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Florida vs. Kentucky picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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