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The Minnesota Timberwolves will meet the Denver Nuggets in Game 4 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs.
The Timberwolves head into their game as a 2.5-point favorite against the Nuggets. The game’s point total is set at 204.5.
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Odds
Point Spread for Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with bookmakers listing the Timberwolves as the favorite.
Minnesota vs. Denver Moneyline
As for the moneyline, Minnesota has -142 odds to win the game, while Denver is listed at +120 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the total for the game is set at 204.5 points.
Game Time and How to Watch
- When: Sunday, May 12, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET
- Where: Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota
- TV: TNT
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Betting Trends
The Timberwolves are 40-40-2 against the spread this season. Minnesota has been the favorite in 61 games this season and won 46 (75.4%) of those contests. Timberwolves games have gone over the total 41 times this season.
The Nuggets have covered the spread 38 times over 82 games with a set spread. Denver has been victorious in four of the 10 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season. This year, Nuggets games have hit the over 35 times.
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Key Players to Watch
Timberwolves
Anthony Edwards puts up 25.9 points, 5.4 boards and 5.1 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.5 blocks. Rudy Gobert’s numbers on the season are 14.0 points, 12.9 boards and 1.3 assists per game, shooting 66.1% from the floor (second in league). Karl-Anthony Towns is putting up 21.8 points, 3.0 assists and 8.3 boards per contest. Naz Reid puts up 13.5 points, 5.2 boards and 1.3 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.9 blocks.
Nuggets
Nikola Jokic provides the Nuggets 26.4 points, 12.4 boards and 9.0 assists per game. He also averages 1.4 steals (seventh in league) and 0.9 blocks. Michael Porter Jr.’s averages on the season are 16.7 points, 7.0 rebounds and 1.5 assists per contest, making 48.4% of his shots from the floor and 39.7% from beyond the arc, with 2.7 treys per game. Jamal Murray averages 21.2 points, 4.1 boards and 6.5 assists, making 48.1% of his shots from the field and 42.5% from 3-point range (10th in league), with 2.5 triples per game. The Nuggets receive 13.9 points per game from Aaron Gordon, plus 6.5 boards and 3.5 assists.
What you need to know about the Timberwolves
The Timberwolves have been carried by their defense, as they rank best in the NBA by giving up just 106.5 points per game. They rank 18th in the league in points scored (113.0 per contest). With 41.4 rebounds allowed per game, the Timberwolves rank fourth-best in the league. They rank 15th in the league by pulling down 43.6 rebounds per contest. This season, the Timberwolves rank 15th in the league in assists, dishing out 26.6 per game.
In home games, Minnesota is posting 2.0 fewer points per game (112.0) than it is on the road (114.0). Minnesota is sinking 12.6 threes per game this season (15th-ranked in NBA), and it has a 38.7% three-point percentage (third-best). Minnesota ranks third-best in the NBA by allowing 11.4 treys per game. In terms of three-point percentage allowed, it ranks sixth in the league at 35.4%.
The Timberwolves have gone 7-3 over their last 10 contests, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span. Six of Minnesota’s last 10 contests have gone over the total. The Timberwolves have seen a downturn in scoring recently, putting up 109.7 points per game in their last 10 contests, 3.3 points fewer than the 113.0 they’ve scored this season. The last 10 games have seen Minnesota give up 0.9 fewer points per game (105.6) than its season-long average (106.5).
What you need to know about the Nuggets
In 2023-24, the Nuggets are 14th in the NBA offensively (114.9 points scored per game) and sixth defensively (109.6 points conceded). In 2023-24, Denver is seventh in the NBA in rebounds (44.4 per game) and seventh in rebounds allowed (42.3). The Nuggets are third-best in the league in assists (29.5 per game) in 2023-24.
The Nuggets score 118.5 points per game at home, and 111.2 on the road. Beyond the arc, the Nuggets are 25th in the league in 3-pointers made per game (11.7). They are ninth in 3-point percentage at 37.4%. Denver is the second-best team in the league in 3-pointers conceded (11.2 per game) and eighth in 3-point percentage defensively (35.5%).
The Nuggets have gone 6-4 over their past 10 games, with a 4-6 record against the spread in that span. Four of Denver’s last 10 games have gone over the total. Denver has fared worse offensively over its previous 10 games, putting up 108.5 points per contest, 6.4 fewer points its than season average of 114.9. In their previous 10 games, the Nuggets are allowing 106.6 points per contest, compared to their season average of 109.6 points allowed.
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Prediction & Pick
Our pick to win this matchup is Timberwolves, and we project that Timberwolves will cover the spread (Timberwolves -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 204.5 points.
How to bet Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
You can bet on Minnesota vs. Denver at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.
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