Dallas vs. Oklahoma City Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Monday, May 13, 2024

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In Game 4 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs, the Dallas Mavericks will meet the Oklahoma City Thunder.

The Mavericks are a slight 2-point favorite against the Thunder. The matchup features a point total of 215.5.

Mavericks vs. Thunder Odds

Point Spread for Mavericks vs. Thunder

The spread for this matchup is set at 2 points, with oddsmakers listing the Mavericks as the favorite.

Dallas vs. Oklahoma City Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Dallas has -125 odds to win the game, while Oklahoma City is listed at +105 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 215.5 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Monday, May 13, 2024 at 9:30 PM ET
  • Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
  • TV: TNT

Mavericks vs. Thunder Betting Trends

The Mavericks have covered the spread 48 times over 82 games with a set spread. Dallas has entered the game as favorites 49 times this season and won 37, or 75.5%, of those games. Mavericks games have gone over the total 36 times this season.

The Thunder have compiled a 46-35-1 record against the spread this year. Oklahoma City has won in 10, or 47.6%, of the 21 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year. Thunder games have gone over the total 43 times this season.

Mavericks vs. Thunder Key Players to Watch

Mavericks

Luka Doncic puts up 33.9 points, 9.2 boards and 9.8 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.4 steals (seventh in league) and 0.5 blocks. Kyrie Irving puts up 25.6 points, 5.0 boards and 5.2 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.5 blocks. Daniel Gafford’s numbers for the season are 11.0 points, 7.6 boards and 1.6 assists per contest, shooting 72.5% from the floor (first in NBA). P.J. Washington’s numbers on the season are 12.9 points, 5.6 boards and 1.9 assists per contest, shooting 43.6% from the floor and 32.0% from downtown, with 1.8 made 3-pointers per game.

Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s averages for the season are 30.1 points, 5.5 rebounds and 6.2 assists, making 53.5% of his shots from the floor and 35.3% from beyond the arc, with 1.3 triples per game. Chet Holmgren’s averages on the season are 16.5 points, 7.9 rebounds and 2.4 assists per contest, making 53.0% of his shots from the floor and 37.0% from 3-point range, with 1.6 triples per contest. The Thunder receive 19.1 points, 4.0 boards and 4.5 assists per game from Jalen Williams. Josh Giddey’s averages for the season are 12.3 points, 6.4 rebounds and 4.8 assists, making 47.5% of his shots from the field and 33.7% from beyond the arc, with 1.0 triples per contest.

What you need to know about the Mavericks

With 117.9 points per game on offense, the Mavericks are seventh in the NBA. At the other end, they cede 115.6 points per contest, which ranks 20th in the league. With 42.9 rebounds per game, the Mavericks are 21st in the NBA. They give up 45.1 rebounds per contest, which ranks 25th in the league. The Mavericks rank 19th in the NBA with 25.7 assists per game.

At home, Dallas is averaging 1.7 more points per game (118.7) than it is when playing on the road (117.0). Dallas has a 36.9% three-point percentage this season (13th-ranked in NBA), but it has really provided a lift by making 14.6 treys per game (third-best). Dallas is 18th in the NBA with 13.1 three-pointers allowed per game so far this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 18th with a 36.8% shooting percentage allowed from beyond the arc.

The Mavericks have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread during that span. In its past 10 contests, Dallas has hit the over four times. The Mavericks have seen a decrease in scoring recently, racking up 104.7 points per game in their last 10 outings, 13.2 points fewer than the 117.9 they’ve scored this season. Dallas has been locking down opponents on the defensive end of the floor recently, giving up 106.5 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 115.6 it has conceded per game this year.

What you need to know about the Thunder

In 2023-24, the Thunder are third-best in the NBA offensively (120.1 points scored per game) and ranked 11th on defense (112.7 points conceded). On the boards, Oklahoma City is fourth-worst in the league in rebounds (42.0 per game). It is 23rd in rebounds conceded (44.7 per game). The Thunder are 11th in the NBA in assists (27.1 per game) in 2023-24.

The Thunder are scoring more points at home (123.1 per game) than away (117.0). Beyond the arc, the Thunder are eighth in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game (13.3). They are best in 3-point percentage at 38.9%. Oklahoma City is 22nd in the league in 3-pointers conceded (13.4 per game) and 12th in 3-point percentage defensively (36.1%).

The Thunder have gone 8-2 in their past 10 contests, with a 7-3 record against the spread during that span. Oklahoma City has gone over the total in three of its past 10 games. Oklahoma City is putting up 113.6 points per contest in its past 10 games, which is 6.5 fewer points than its average for the season (120.1). Over their past 10 games, the Thunder are surrendering 95.9 points per contest, 16.8 fewer points than their season average (112.7).

Mavericks vs. Thunder Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is Thunder, and we expect that Thunder will cover the spread (Mavericks -2). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 215.5 points.

How to bet Mavericks vs. Thunder

You can bet on Dallas vs. Oklahoma City at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Dallas vs. Oklahoma City picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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