Duke vs Notre Dame Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Tuesday, February 14, 2023

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The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (10-15, 2-12 ACC) aim to end a three-game losing skid when visiting the Duke Blue Devils (17-8, 8-6 ACC) at 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, February 14, 2023 at Cameron Indoor Stadium. The contest airs on ESPN.

The Blue Devils match up against the Fighting Irish in a game that Duke is currently a double-digit favorite by 12 points. The game’s over/under is 141.

Duke vs. Notre Dame Odds

Point Spread for Duke vs. Notre Dame

The spread for this matchup is set at 12 points, with oddsmakers listing Duke as the favorite.

Duke vs. Notre Dame Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Duke has -781 odds to pick up the win, while Notre Dame is listed at +537 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 141 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Tuesday, February 14, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Durham, North Carolina
  • Arena: Cameron Indoor Stadium

Duke vs. Notre Dame Betting Trends

Duke has nine wins against the spread in 25 games this season. The Blue Devils have been favorites in 21 games this season and have come away with the win 16 times (76.2%) in those contests. Duke’s games this year have hit the over on 10 of 25 set point totals.

Notre Dame is 5-19-1 against the spread this season. The Fighting Irish have put together a 1-7 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 12.5% of those games). Notre Dame’s games this year have gone over the point total 56% of the time (14 out of 25 games with a set point total).

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Duke vs. Notre Dame Key Players to Watch


Kyle Filipowski paces the Blue Devils with 14.8 points per game and 9.2 rebounds, while also posting 1.4 assists. Ryan Young posts 7.9 points, 6.4 rebounds and 1.4 assists per contest. At the other end, he puts up 0.4 steals and 0.5 blocked shots. Tyrese Proctor is averaging 8.9 points, 2.8 assists and 3.3 rebounds per contest. Jeremy Roach paces the Blue Devils at 3 assists per contest, while also posting 2.5 rebounds and 12.6 points.

Notre Dame

Nate Laszewski leads the Fighting Irish in scoring (14.9 points per game) and rebounding (7), and produces 1.5 assists. He also averages 0.4 steals and 0.6 blocked shots. The Fighting Irish receive 11.6 points, 5.3 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game from Dane Goodwin. Cormac Ryan gives the Fighting Irish 11.8 points, 4.1 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game. He also posts 1.1 steals and 0.4 blocked shots. JJ Starling gives the Fighting Irish 11.8 points, 3 rebounds and 1.2 assists per game. He also puts up 0.8 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Duke Blue Devils

Duke has compiled a 3-11-0 conference record against the spread this season. The Blue Devils are 177th in the nation with 71.5 points per game this year. At the other end, they rank 44th with 64.3 points allowed per game. Duke has been thriving when it comes to rebounding this season, ranking 12th-best in the nation in boards per game (36.4) and 25th-best in boards allowed per contest (27.9).

Offensively the Blue Devils have fared better at home this season, putting up 77.3 points per game, compared to 67.6 per game in away games. Duke is making 6.8 treys per game (246th-ranked in college basketball). It owns a 32.6% shooting percentage (264th-ranked) from three-point land. With a 30.2% three-point percentage allowed this season, the Blue Devils are 25th-best in the nation. They rank 47th in college basketball by allowing 6.1 treys per contest.

In their last 10 contests, the Blue Devils have two wins against the spread, and are 6-4 overall. Four of Duke’s past 10 outings have gone over the total. Duke’s offense has been worse over its last 10 games, racking up 69.4 points a contest compared to the 71.5 it has averaged this season. Duke has been a little suspect on the defensive end of the floor recently, allowing 67.2 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 64.3 it has surrendered this season.

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What you need to know about the Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Notre Dame is 3-11-0 ATS in conference play this year. In 2022-23, the Fighting Irish are 187th in the country offensively (71 points scored per game) and 265th defensively (72.7 points conceded). At 28.5 rebounds per game and 32.3 rebounds allowed, Notre Dame is 332nd and 262nd in the country, respectively.

The Fighting Irish score 72.9 points per game at home, and 70.3 on the road. In 2022-23, Notre Dame is 26th in college basketball in 3-point makes (9.2 per game) and 42nd in 3-point percentage (37%). Giving up 7.1 3-pointers per game and conceding 35.4% from beyond the arc, the Fighting Irish are 172nd and 281st in the country, respectively, in those categories.

The Fighting Irish are 3-7 against the spread and 2-8 overall over their past 10 contests. In its past 10 contests, Notre Dame has gone over the total seven times. Over its last 10 games, Notre Dame is putting up 73 points per game, two more than its season average (71). While the Fighting Irish are allowing 72.7 points per game in 2022-23, they have been worse over their past 10 games, allowing 79 points per contest.

Duke vs. Notre Dame Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Duke, and we expect that Duke will cover the spread (Duke -12). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 141 points.

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How to bet Duke vs. Notre Dame

You can bet on Duke vs. Notre Dame at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Duke vs. Notre Dame picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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