Duke vs Miami Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Friday, March 10, 2023

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The No. 4 seed Duke Blue Devils (24-8, 14-6 ACC) and the No. 1 seed Miami Hurricanes (25-6, 15-5 ACC) will try to move on in the ACC tournament on Friday as they square off at 7:00 PM.

The Blue Devils take on the Hurricanes in a game that Duke is currently a moderate favorite by 2.5 points. The over/under is 145 points for the game.

Duke vs. Miami Odds

Point Spread for Duke vs. Miami

The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with bookmakers listing Duke as the favorite.

Duke vs. Miami Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Duke has -147 odds to pick up the win, while Miami is listed at +124 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 145 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Friday, March 10, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN2
  • Location: Greensboro, North Carolina
  • Arena: Greensboro Coliseum

Duke vs. Miami Betting Trends

Duke is 13-19-0 against the spread this season. The Blue Devils have won in 22, or 81.5%, of the 27 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. Duke has hit the over in 41.9% of its opportunities this year (13 times over 31 games with a set point total).

Miami has 18 wins against the spread in 31 games this season. The Hurricanes are 4-3 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 57.1% of those games). Miami’s games this season have gone over the point total 13 times in 31 opportunities (41.9%).

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Duke vs. Miami Key Players to Watch


Kyle Filipowski paces his team in both points (15.2) and rebounds (8.9) per game, and also puts up 1.5 assists. At the other end, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.8 blocked shots. Jeremy Roach posts a team-leading 3.3 assists per game. He is also posting 13 points and 2.5 rebounds, shooting 41.8% from the field and 33.1% from downtown with 1.4 made 3-pointers per contest. Tyrese Proctor puts up 9.2 points, 3.2 rebounds and 3.2 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.6 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. Mark Mitchell averages 9.2 points, 4.4 rebounds and 1.2 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.7 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.


Norchad Omier is putting up a team-leading 10 rebounds per game. And he is contributing 14.1 points and 1.3 assists, making 59.1% of his shots from the field. Jordan Miller is averaging 15.2 points, 6.2 rebounds and 2.7 assists per contest, making 53.8% of his shots from the field and 36.1% from 3-point range, with 1 treys per game. Nijel Pack is posting 13.2 points, 2.7 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest, making 43.6% of his shots from the floor and 40.2% from beyond the arc, with 2.4 triples per contest.

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What you need to know about the Duke Blue Devils

In Duke’s 21 ACC games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 10 times. With 72.6 points per game on offense, the Blue Devils rank 158th in the country. At the other end, they allow 64 points per contest, which ranks 32nd in college basketball. Duke ranks 11th-best in the nation by grabbing 36 boards per game. In terms of rebounds allowed, it ranks 26th in college basketball (27.9 allowed per contest).

Duke is sinking 6.9 three-pointers per game (231st-ranked in college basketball) this year, while sporting a 33.2% three-point percentage (232nd-ranked). With a 30.5% three-point percentage allowed this season, the Blue Devils are 25th-best in college basketball. They rank 51st in college basketball by allowing 6.2 three-pointers per contest.

The Blue Devils have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 8-2 overall in their last 10 games. Four of Duke’s last 10 contests have gone over the total. In its last 10 games, Duke has been scoring 71.8 points per game, an average that’s a little lower than the 72.6 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. The past 10 games have seen Duke concede 0.6 more points per game (64.6) than its season-long average (64).

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What you need to know about the Miami Hurricanes

Miami is 14-7-0 ATS in conference action this year. The Hurricanes are the 23rd-best squad in the nation in points scored (79.5 per game) and 231st in points conceded (71.7). Miami is 151st in the nation in rebounds per game (32.2) and 55th in rebounds conceded (28.9).

With 7.6 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 37% from beyond the arc, Miami is 156th and 42nd in the nation, respectively, in those categories. In 2022-23, the Hurricanes are 216th in the country in 3-pointers allowed (7.5 per game) and 137th in defensive 3-point percentage (33.2%).

The Hurricanes have a 6-4 record against the spread while finishing 9-1 overall in their last 10 contests. Miami has gone over the total in five of its past 10 outings. While Miami is scoring 79.5 points per game in 2022-23, it has improved that mark over its previous 10 games, tallying 83.2 a contest. The Hurricanes are ceding 76.3 points per game over their last 10 games, compared to their season average of 71.7 points allowed.

Duke vs. Miami Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this game is Duke, and we predict that Miami will cover the spread (Duke -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 145 points.

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How to bet Duke vs. Miami

You can bet on Duke vs. Miami at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Duke vs. Miami picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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