Air Force vs San Jose State Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Saturday, March 4, 2023

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The Air Force Falcons (14-16, 5-12 MWC) battle the San Jose State Spartans (18-12, 9-8 MWC) at 4:00 PM ET on Saturday in MWC play. The matchup airs on ALT.

Saturday’s matchup between the Falcons and the Spartans features the Falcons as 2.5-point favorites. A 129.5-point total has been set for the game.

Air Force vs. San Jose State Odds

Point Spread for Air Force vs. San Jose State

The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Air Force as the favorite.

Air Force vs. San Jose State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Air Force has -138 odds to pick up the win, while San Jose State is listed at +117 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 129.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ALT
  • Location: Colorado Springs, Colorado
  • Arena: Clune Arena

Air Force vs. San Jose State Betting Trends

Air Force has 17 wins against the spread in 30 games this year. The Falcons have been chosen as favorites in 10 games this year and have walked away with the win eight times (80%) in those games. Air Force’s games this year have hit the over on 17 of 29 set point totals.

In San Jose State’s 29 games this season, it has 19 wins against the spread. The Spartans have been the moneyline underdog 19 total times this season. They’ve gone 8-11 in those games. San Jose State’s games this season have hit the over on 16 of 29 set point totals (55.2%).

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Air Force vs. San Jose State Key Players to Watch

Air Force

Rytis Petraitis paces his team in rebounds per game (5.9), and also posts 10.3 points and 2.7 assists. At the other end, he puts up 0.9 steals and 0.8 blocked shots. Jake Heidbreder posts 14.9 points and 1.6 assists per game — both team highs. He is also averaging 3.1 rebounds, shooting 49.8% from the floor and 40.1% from downtown with 2.3 made 3-pointers per contest. Ethan Taylor is tops on his squad in assists per contest (3.3), and also registers 7.5 points and 3.4 rebounds. Defensively, he tallies 1.0 steal and 0.2 blocked shots. Beau Becker is averaging 7.6 points, 1.0 assists and 3.2 rebounds per contest.

San Jose State

Sage Tolbert is No. 1 on the Spartans in rebounding (7.3 per game), and produces 8.1 points and 0.9 assists. He also delivers 0.6 steals and 0.5 blocked shots. The Spartans receive 9.9 points, 2.8 rebounds and 3.4 assists per game from Alvaro Cardenas Torre. Ibrahima Diallo gets the Spartans 6.6 points, 6.1 rebounds and 0.5 assists per game. He also puts up 0.4 steals and 1.8 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Air Force Falcons

Air Force has put together a 9-8-0 ATS record in conference play so far this year. With 67.0 points per game on offense, the Falcons rank 302nd in college basketball. At the other end of the court, they cede 66.8 points per contest, which ranks 82nd in college basketball. Air Force has found it difficult to grab rebounds this season, ranking -2-worst in college basketball with 26.6 rebounds per game. It ranks 108th by allowing 30.0 rebounds per contest.

The Falcons are putting up 70.1 points per game when playing at home. When playing on the road, they are averaging 62.5 points per contest. Air Force ranks 89th in college basketball with 8.2 threes per game so far this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 80th with a 35.9% shooting percentage from three-point land. The Falcons have been getting things done when it comes to defending against three-point shooting this season, ranking fourth-best in college basketball in treys allowed per game (5.0) and eighth-best in three-point percentage allowed (29.0%).

The Falcons have gone 2-8 in their last 10 games, with a 5-5 record against the spread during that span. In its past 10 contests, Air Force has gone over the total six times. On offense, Air Force has had a tough time putting the ball in the basket over its last 10 games, scoring 63.3 points per contest over that span as opposed to the 67.0 it has put up over the course of this year. The last 10 games have seen Air Force allow 4.9 more points per game (71.7) than its season-long average (66.8).

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What you need to know about the San Jose State Spartans

San Jose State and its opponents have combined to go over the point total 11 out of 17 times this season in MWC action. With 67.8 points scored per game and 66.6 points conceded, the Spartans are 280th in college basketball on offense and 77th on defense. In 2022-23, San Jose State is 34th in the country in rebounds (34.8 per game) and fifth-best in rebounds conceded (26.3).

At home the Spartans are putting up 70.1 points per game, 4.8 more than they are averaging away (65.3). San Jose State is 132nd in the country in 3-pointers made (7.8 per game) and 249th in 3-point percentage (33.1%). The Spartans give up 7.0 3-pointers per game and concede 34.9% from beyond the arc, ranking 152nd and 248th, respectively, in the nation.

The Spartans are 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall in their past 10 contests. In its past 10 contests, San Jose State has gone over the total six times. Over its previous 10 games, San Jose State is posting 67.9 points per contest, 0.1 more than its season average (67.8). The Spartans have fared better defensively over their past 10 games, giving up 66.4 points per contest, 0.2 fewer points than their season average of 66.6 allowed.

Air Force vs. San Jose State Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is Air Force, and we expect that San Jose State will cover the spread (Air Force -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 129.5 points.

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How to bet Air Force vs. San Jose State

You can bet on Air Force vs. San Jose State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Air Force vs. San Jose State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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